Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/6/5)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/6/2)-(2/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/4/3/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(1/3/4)-(7/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(7/5/3/6)-(2/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6)-(2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/4)-(2/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/12/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUFFIN NUTS Mar21 Feb12 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
2  SMARTY ALEX Feb07 Sep25 Sep11 Aug06 Jul23 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BIG SCULLY Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 May16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.00    
4  ALL TOGETHER Feb13 Jan03 Dec11 Nov23 Nov02 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 117 4.00 43% 1.30    
5  TONTERIA May01 Apr16 Mar20 Mar03 Feb02 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00    
 
LAD-2   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLACK ACE Feb21 Jan15 Dec07 Nov05 Aug13 (alberto )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
2  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Apr24 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.00 41% 1.40    
3  SCRAPBOOK Feb13 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 113 30.00    
4  KITIARA Apr25 Mar21 Feb24 Jan24 Jan03 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50    
5  SERIOUSLY SASSY Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov22 Oct23 (singh s)SINGH R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARINA Feb13 Jan18 Dec28 Dec04 Nov05 (arey anthony)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 Nov24 (gibson jona)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 3.00    
 
LAD-3   05/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAPELLETE Mar16 Mar06 Feb20 Dec29 Oct30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
2  CLEVER RACE Apr26 Apr05 Dec27 Sep24 Sep02 (nixon thomas )PENA JONUELLE 113 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV Apr19 Mar09 Dec29 Dec14 Aug31 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 118 1.20 38% 1.60    
4  SIR SAWYER Apr19 Mar14 Feb12 Jan24 Jan02 (arey antho)BATISTA X 118 15.00    
5  KATHLYNS PHALANX Mar09 Feb02 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
6  CRAWFISH BURL Apr19 Mar06 Feb13 Jan24 Dec28 (jeansonne ju)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
LAD-4   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILKY'S DANCE Sep02 Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
2  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Mar21 Dec03 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.00 31% 2.30    
3  VIOLENT RIVER Apr11 Feb19 Jul04 Jun19 May15 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  TRIPLE TREA Mar21 Mar06 Jan17 Dec27 Oct10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  PURE MALICE Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 Dec14 Nov30 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 15.00 5% 18.50    
6  OVER CALENDARED Mar13 Feb28 Feb08 Jan26 Dec29 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
7  LETSHAVEONEMORE Mar21 Feb22 Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 (diodoro ro)BATISTA X 123 2.50    
 
LAD-5   05/12/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BERLEY May03 Mar19 Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 123 2.00 51% 0.90    
2  WILTON May03 Mar08 Feb02 Jan19 Jan03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00    
3  HE GOTS TO GO Mar23 Mar06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  SHAMAYIM Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Mar12 Nov22 Sep23 Sep09 Aug14 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
6  CASTILLE May03 Feb07 Jan17 Dec28 Oct31 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  BLUE BOON Jun30 Jun09 May10 Apr07 Mar08 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 123 2.50    
 
LAD-6   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLAMOUR POWER Mar14         (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREE COVER by CONGRATS)
2  PITCHATIZZY Feb19 Dec13 Nov08 Oct12   (dunn henry)BATISTA X 118 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of PITCHER by LION TAMER)
3  LINCOLN'S TARGET         (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of LINCOLN HIGH by LANGFUHR)
4  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Mar19 Mar03 Jan28 Jan10 Oct16 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
5  LADY SANTA MARIA         (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 7% 13.30    
  (by STEALCASE out of ACADIAN DRIFTWOOD by FOREFATHERS)
6  SOME KIND OF GLORY         (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SAY SOMETHIN GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  THE RAIN IS GONE Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Dec29   (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.80 65% 0.50    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of VICOLA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
LAD-7   05/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY PEARL Apr18 Mar03 Feb20 Jan12 Dec21 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
2  DEROUTANTE Mar16 Nov29 Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL Sep23 Sep11 Jul31 Jul02 Jun08 (schmidt denis)PENA JONUELLE 121 20.00    
4  SMART IZZY Mar20 Mar03 Feb13 Jan12 Dec21 (hatche)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BENT HALO Mar06 Jan05 Nov26 Oct30 Sep14 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 126 8.00    
SCR  UTSIRA May04 Apr05 Mar14 Feb23 Jan26 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 126 5.00    
7  TOOTOO TOURIST Feb27 Jan17 Nov07 Sep23 Sep02 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 126 6.00    
8  C. C. HARBOR Mar02 Feb01 Dec15 Aug20 Jun03 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.