Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Miles City
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MC-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
MC-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
MC-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-9   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-11   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MC-2   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLLINS AVE Sep22 Sep07 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 (evans kas)IRONEYES R 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  IMPULZIVE STORM Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 (matt jess)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00    
3  SOUTH SEA Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  BIG ENDER Jun24 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19   (hurley )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NACHO GRANDE Jul28 Jun09 Mar14 Mar07 Feb23 (conway laura)BANDA F 126 8.00    
6  THE BONDSMAN May04 Jun30 Jun22 Jun14 May19 (cross p)BEETEM BRIAN 126 3.50    
 
MC-4   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ART'S RED WAVE Mar14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 Jul29 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 121 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PERFECT ART by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  KORRA'S BREEZE Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 Jun09 Jul29 (hurley tris)MCKENZIE CONNIE 121 7.00 10% 8.80    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
3  FINBARFUREY May04 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun01 (hurley )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of AUTOMATIC AUDIT by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
4  WHEELER COUNTY KID Apr11 Mar28 Mar16 May03   (brewer st)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUIEN out of DEUCE COUPE by ROANOKE)
5  HINT OF FRIPPERY Feb26 Feb03 Jan06 Dec18 Sep24 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 119 2.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KATY'S REVENGE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
MC-5   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMORAL Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Mar15 Mar01 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 124 6.00 75% 0.30    
2  ATTILA THE STAR Feb21 Feb07 Jan16 Sep07 Jun09 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 4.00 ★    
3  RIVERSPORT Apr12 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Mar01 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
4  LETS ROCK N STROLL Mar28 Mar22 Mar01 Nov01 Sep29 (brewer stanley )WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00    
5  STEALING HEARTS Oct09 Sep24 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (conway laura)BANDA F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DRUMADOON Apr04 Mar15 Mar01 Oct20 Sep22 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 3.00    
 
MC-6   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORTE May04 Sep14 Sep08 Aug17 Jun30 (ducheneau)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 7.00 9% 10.10    
2  CAPTAIN DON May04 Mar21 Mar07 Feb22 Nov02 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 126 2.00    
3  THINKN BOUT DRINKN May04 Oct06 Sep02 Aug18 Jun01 (champagne cora)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00    
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM May04 Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep28 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  AS LUCK HAPPENS Feb04 Jun28 Jun08 May19 Mar19 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
MC-7   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J'S LITTLE MAN Apr19 Apr06 Mar23 Feb22 Jan17 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
2  MANY AMBITIONS Sep21 Sep07 Sep02 Aug03 Jun30 (evans k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50    
3  BIG BLUE NOTE Jan29 Dec27 Dec02 Jul27 Jul21 (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 119 7.00 9% 10.70    
4  SERENDIP RULER May02 Apr12 Mar30 Feb22 Nov17 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 5.00    
SCR  AMERICAN SMOOTH May04 Apr05 Mar28 Mar01 Feb05 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 124 7.00    
 
MC-8   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF THE ICE May04 Oct06 Sep13 Sep07 Aug18 (ducheneau)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA May04 Feb19 Jan13 Jan01 Dec17 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  FULL MOON BEACH May04 Mar29 Mar16 Nov01 Oct25 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00    
4  FESSY May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  COZZOLANI Apr18 Mar10 Feb15 Jan09 Dec07 (cavanaugh pe)BANDA F 121 7.00 5% 19.00    
 
MC-9   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYNESPUN May04 Feb20 Jan24 Dec19 Jul27 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 124 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Sep10 Aug28 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 (champagne cora)WOOD DAKOTA 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  GONEWITHTHEBREEZE May04 Aug03 Jul27 May18   (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 6.00    
4  SWEET LADY LANA Jun01 May12 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 (matt r)CARDENAS JACOB 124 4.00    
5  BRINEE May04 Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 (cross ken)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.00    
6  DREAM TRAP Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb15 Jan24 (johnson)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
MC-11   05/11/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR CLOVER GAL Apr05 Mar29 Mar21 Mar15 Mar08 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 124 7.00 6% 15.00    
2  BOURBON TIGER Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jun09 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50    
3  BIG TIPPA Apr25 Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 Jan02 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
4  PEPPERMINT SISTER May04 Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jul20 (champagne c)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  IMA TROUBLE MAKER May04 Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 Jan09 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.