Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/6/3)-(7/6/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/6/3/4)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/4)-(2/3/1)-(6/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(6/7/3)-(1/10/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/10/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/5)-(1/10/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/5)-(1/10/3/2/5)-(1/10/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIFF WITH JIMMY Apr26 Apr12 Mar09 Feb14 May22 (asmussen stev)PENA JONUELLE 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
STEAL ME OVER Mar12 Jan27 Jan01 Nov28 Sep18 (schmidt denise)SINGH R 120 8.00    
PIGGY TALES UP Jan04 Nov18 Oct09 Jul27   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.20 29% 2.50    
KERRIGAN'S TOUCH Feb14 Jan31 Dec21 Nov29 Nov02 (nelson eri)BATISTA X 123 4.50    
SHELLEY'S MONEY Mar08 Jan01 Nov09 Jul12 May29 (duhon o)BOREL H 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  RUN DREAMING Nov22 Oct30 Aug31 Aug20 Jul24 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00    
 
LAD-2   05/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS GYPSY Feb08 Jan16 Jan02 Nov29 Nov07 (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 119 10.00    
BREAK OUT SISTER Feb22 Feb08       (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
PATIENT EMILIE Apr21 Apr13 Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEAMER Apr05 Mar21 Mar03 Feb08 Jan24 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.20 66% 0.50    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL HALO Mar19 Feb06 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 121 1.50    
I'D BE HONORED Apr13 Mar23 Mar01     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
LAD-3   05/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN LARRY Apr26 Mar07 Feb14 Feb02 Jan18 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50    
UNCLE NICK Feb06 Nov06 Oct24 Oct12 Sep12 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
UNANIMOUSLY Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 Nov06 Oct19 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50 14% 6.20    
THUNDER ROAD Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 Jan02 Nov27 (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAIL THE CAT Feb08 Jan17 Jan02 Aug20 Jun05 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 30.00    
OVERANALYTICAL Mar13 Feb06 Jan12 Dec20 Aug26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
PATH TO SUCCESS Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Oct12 (wong jonatha)BARRERA J 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-4   05/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX S Mar12 Feb17 Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 (gomez jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZAPATA (IRE) Mar21 Apr14 Mar23 Jan20   (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.00 70% 0.40    
TWO WEEKS NOTICE Mar12 Jan18 Nov23 Sep14 Aug13 (burkes bob)RAMIREZ JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHAHTA CITIZEN Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb07 Jan12 (dixon tim)PENA JONUELLE 113 30.00    
CATHY'S BOY Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul17 Jun28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 4.00    
HEAT LIGHTNING Feb14 Apr05 Mar02 Feb10 Jan13 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 125 4.50    
CRUE'S N CONTROL Apr26 Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 Jan04 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 125 5.00    
 
LAD-5   05/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZION Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Aug05 May29 (hatcher natha)PENA JONUELLE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Oct26 Aug05 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 121 20.00    
COOL QUARTET Mar06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec28 Sep29 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
ROCKALL Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Oct29 Sep26 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
COLONEL BARTON Apr04 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 Jan05 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.50    
WIND NINETY NINE Oct06 Jun25 Jun17 May25 Apr18 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.00 36% 1.80    
SHANKINSTINE Feb15 Jan17 Dec19 Oct25 Oct12 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 113 30.00    
 
LAD-6   05/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY HIT Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec13 Nov27 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 118 8.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Feb16 Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Jul30 (wong jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
SPEIGHTFUL ONE Apr10 Mar23 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 123 15.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHARP CHARLIE Feb21 Feb01 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 118 1.80    
AMPITUP Apr17 Mar19 Jan30 Jan09 Dec13 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
WISHERT Feb07 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Oct16 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
FIESTY FIST Feb13 Feb01 Dec11 Nov15 Oct25 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-7   05/05/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TALKIN SLICK Mar23 Jan31 Jan09 Nov22 Oct18 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
REXINATOR Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 (hatcher d)BOREL H 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRIENDLY HINT Apr18 Feb08 Jan09 Dec12 Nov16 (dunn henry )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 5.00    
SCR  C F JIMMY RAY Apr17 Mar09 Feb06 Jan16   (husak gary)BATISTA X 118 30.00    
LINCOLN PRODUCTION Apr11 Dec17 Dec01 Sep11 Jul29 (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
NELLE TUE MANI Apr19 Feb20       (pedigo randy)RENGIFO JOHAN 118 30.00    
CHASTE ONE Mar13 Feb27 Dec08 Sep09 Aug05 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00    
TACLOBAN Apr10         (goins garl)RAMIREZ JR 113 20.00    
DUE WE DARE Feb12 Jan18 Dec18 Sep09 Aug13 (pedigo randy)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
10  PRINCE PERFECTA Feb12 Jan04 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.