Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/2/5)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/6/3/1)-(1/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/1)-(1/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/1)-(1/8/4/5)-(4/3/10/2/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/5)-(4/3/10/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/5)-(4/3/10/2/5)-(6/5/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-5   WIN (4/3/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/10/2/5)-(4/3/10/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/10/2/5)-(4/3/10/2/5)-(4/3/10/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/10/2/5)-(6/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/10/2/5)-(6/5/7/8)-(8/7/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8)-(8/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEW O' MISCHIEF Apr17 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Sep01 (lucarelli fra)COUTON JULIEN 122 2.00    
REBEL GAL Jan27 Dec23 Dec05 Aug18 Aug10 (bullock st)CASTILLO E 114 10.00 17% 4.70    
NO ORDINARY TIGER Mar24 Feb05 Dec06 Oct27 Sep15 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
POLE TO POLE Jun23         (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
WEST COAST BULL Jan16 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13   (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 119 1.80    
 
EMD-2   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  G DAWG Feb26 Jan22 Jan09 Aug23 Jul27 (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
PASS THE CROWN Oct14 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
JACOB YEN Apr02 Feb18 Jan23 Jan08 Dec11 (birdwell tena)COUTON JULIEN 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
PAKAS SECRET Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Dec27 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
ENGLISH MEADOW Aug25 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 (leonard ro)CASTILLO E 113 6.00 17% 4.70    
TRAVEL THE MAP Mar15 Jan31 Jan05 Dec18 Feb02 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 123 2.50    
 
EMD-3   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTYSHADESOFTIGER Aug25 Aug11       (lucarelli fra)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLY BY JOHN         (harwood m)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
ADIOS JOJO Sep07         (gibson howar)OROZCO E 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  TIZ DYNAMIC         (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00    
RUBY N RAY         (thomas ruby)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED Dec04 Sep01       (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
GOIN' SOUTH Nov17 Oct27 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
SMILE DONT WINK Mar31 Mar10       (peery debbie)CRUZ M 119 10.00    
 
EMD-4   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESKAR Mar07 Feb02 Jan05 Dec06 Nov08 (maravilla )MONROY FRANCISCO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
EARTHLY TIGER Apr19 Mar25 Mar12 Feb05 Jan16 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
BENNY BUCKETS Apr15 Apr03 Mar11 Feb22 Feb05 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
STAY LIT Feb02 Nov29 Oct26 Aug18 Jul14 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAYRUZ TRIBUTE Feb24 Jan07 Dec12 Nov11 Aug31 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOT JOURNEY Mar02 Feb02 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 (maravilla jo)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
THANKS MAGGIO (ARG) Mar23 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Sep01 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 15.00    
LAURA'S KIDOUGH Mar15 Sep14 Jul03 Jun14 May11 (markle dan)DURAN F 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
EMD-5   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARD YOUR SPOT         (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of FIND YOUR SPOT by NATIONHOOD)
SAPPHIRE LADY         (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UTU UNBRIDLED out of U S S CORAL SEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
COCONUT DREAMS Aug03 Jul06 Jun22     (martinez b)DURAN F 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MALIBU CAT by MALIBU MOON)
CAPE BLOSSOM Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jun09   (martinez david )CRUZ M 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
KIR ROYALE         (cooper kay)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of MAGICAL SPELL by INCLUDE)
ROCKYSCENTS Aug31 Aug09 Jul14     (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 121 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RONDA ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
ABOVE ALL ELSE Apr10 Jan24 Nov22 Oct18 Aug10 (peery debbie)MONTALVO C 125 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of REVEL IN THE WIN by RED BULLET)
MISS DOUBLE DOWN Apr10 Mar04       (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of DANCE WITH EFFIE by CHHAYA DANCE)
CURLIN'S SONG         (maravilla jo)OROZCO E 125 10.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of BIRTHDAY SONG by PARADE GROUND)
10  CANTPUTAPRICEONFUN         (wright blain)HALDAR J 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of IMPECUNIOUS by VRONSKY)
 
EMD-6   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LAD Feb17 Dec15 Nov30 Mar29 Mar01 (puentes jo)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
SQUARE CAT Mar23 Feb21 Jan26 Dec08 Oct14 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
NO D'ORO Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 Dec08 Nov24 (trujillo vict)COUTON JULIEN 122 6.00    
CREATIVE BID Feb11 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 4.50    
COMPANY'S DREAM Apr16 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
UNCLE LEON Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Feb06 Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 Nov27 (essex charle)OROZCO E 122 10.00 9% 10.80    
MAN OVERBOARD Jan03 Dec18 Dec01 Nov02 Oct04 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
 
EMD-7   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE VENUS Mar28 Jan31 Nov29 Nov09   (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
THIRSTY NIC Mar28 Mar07 Dec01 Nov08 Sep28 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 121 4.00    
CAIRO GOLD Feb15         (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND Jul28         (thomas)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 118 8.00    
RUBY RENDEZVOUS Aug18 Jul07 Jun22     (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 121 10.00 14% 6.10    
DYNAMIC FIRE Aug25 Aug09       (birdwell tena)COUTON JULIEN 121 6.00    
MOONLIGHT GREY Apr19 Mar25 Mar04 Sep06 Aug18 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
ROMAN BRONZE Mar30 Mar07 Jan31     (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.