Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - April 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(11/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (11/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/2)-(11/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/2)-(11/3/6/2)-(11/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/3/6/2)-(2/6/4/9)-(3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/9)-(3/1/6)-(9/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/1)-(9/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/1)-(9/7/1)-(9/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(3/10/6/9/2)-(12/14/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-7   WIN (3/10/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/9/2)-(3/10/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/9/2)-(3/10/6/9/2)-(3/10/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/6/9/2)-(12/14/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-8   WIN (12/14/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/14/8/2)-(12/14/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/14/8/2)-(12/14/8/2)-(12/14/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING COYOTES Apr19 Feb16 Jan12 Jul13 Jun15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
CLOUDY PAST Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 Jan25 Jan04 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 118 8.00    
FLYING CAESAR Mar30 Mar14 Feb16 Feb07 Jun28 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60    
PAINTED LAD Mar29 Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 Jan12 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
BABY OF THE FAMILY Mar30 Feb28 Aug12 Jun02 May12 (martin james )FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
FANDO Mar28 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 (uriegas henr)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   04/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAINTBRUSH Apr06 Mar07 Feb15 Nov23 Jul06 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 6.00    
CASHMERE DANCER Mar09 Jan26 Nov08 Oct26 Jul07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LA VIKINA Mar23 Jun18 May28 May03 Jan05 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00 17% 4.90    
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL Mar23 Feb22 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE BLING Apr17 Apr06 Mar02 Feb15 Feb06 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
SAN MATEO KAT Mar07 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Oct11 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  GEOMETRIQUE Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Dec04 Nov13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
SCR  FELLA'S SISTER Mar23 Mar02 Feb22 Jan25 Nov26 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 124 15.00    
DESERT GLOW Apr06 Mar02 Feb22 Feb02 Sep25 (rengstorf t)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
10  MISSION BELLE Mar02 Feb15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 124 5.00    
11  GASTOWN Apr10 Mar07 Jan31 Dec15 Nov23 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
LS-3   04/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE IM THE KING Mar29         (baldillez ale)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
HI PLAINS HUNK Mar29 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan24 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 118 1.40 54% 0.90    
KEEP A COPY Mar21 Feb22       (dupuy allen)REYES R 118 20.00    
UBSINGINTHEBLUES Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Jul04 Jun21 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOC HENRY RIDGE Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb23 Jan11 (mendoza v)BENAVIDES D 124 8.00    
ADELYN'S ROCKING         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
C J'S MISCHIEF Mar02 Feb09 Nov30 Jul14 Jun28 (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00    
SCR  IRISH BILLY Mar21 Feb20 Jan08 Nov14   (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00    
NOTIME FORMISCHIEF Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Nov14 Oct23 (mo)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-4   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVER Feb28 Jan19 Oct23 Aug12 Jul13 (asmussen ste)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of WEDDING JITTERS by BROKEN VOW)
GREY MARKET Feb07         (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KRISTABELL Mar09         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 54% 0.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
WHITE PEONY         (diodoro robert)REYES R 122 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TURTLE TRAX by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER Jan10 Nov09 Sep08 Aug17 Jun28 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FARINGDON CIRCLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DAMASCUS ROAD         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PEACE PRESERVER by WAR FRONT)
SCR  MATILDA'S MARK         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of ROLL ON MATILDA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
 
LS-5   04/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IBERIAN RUNNER Mar22 Mar02 Feb16 Jul13 Jun01 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Apr06 Mar15 Mar01 Jan17 Sep14 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
SCR  CRAZY RIDGE Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
NIGHTWIND Mar07 Feb23 Feb01 Jan04 Jul13 (young s)GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
BANDERA BLING Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
COLONEL YORKE Mar16 Mar01 Jan24 Jan03 Dec07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 1.80    
UP UP AND AWAY Mar02 Feb02 Jan10 Nov22 Oct11 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SILVER ASSASSIN Apr17 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 4.00    
SUPERSECRETWEAPON Mar22 Jan24 Jul13 Jun28 May04 (hurley tina)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
LS-6   04/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S EXTRA Apr05 Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Feb21 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 Jan24 Jul06 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 3.00    
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Mar28 Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 Jan12 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.50    
I'M ON EDGE Apr05 Feb07 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
YODA WINNER Mar30 Mar08 Feb21     (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 Jan17 Jan03 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
BAILEYS SHOT Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Jan25 Dec12 (hibd)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FOOLISH AFFAIR Mar28 Mar08       (gourneau jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00    
SCR  DAZZLING DUCHESS Mar28 Feb15 Oct26 Sep25 Aug21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 118 10.00    
 
LS-7   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATA MOON Mar30 Feb24 Jan19 Dec21 Nov21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 1.60    
FLASH MASTER Mar21 Feb28 Jan04 Nov23   (gourneau jerry)REYES R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
OKLAHOMA LOGIC Feb07 Oct28 Sep24 Aug25 Jul27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  ARSONIST Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 Sep29 Sep05 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
MISS MAVIS Apr05 Mar21 Feb16 Feb01 Nov08 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
TAPIT FIRST Mar21 Feb28 Jan17 Oct04 Apr24 (asmussen ste)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
STUBBY Mar27 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Jan17 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 20.00    
CUTE LITTLE DEVIL Feb20 Jan10       (marr jo)FUENTES T 122 15.00    
MY BOY VANDER Feb28 Feb15 Sep05 Jun29 May26 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 16% 5.50    
10  GLOBAL ALLURE Mar21 Mar09 Feb07 Nov13 Sep01 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
LS-8   04/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLD BOYS CLUB Mar07 Feb07 Jan12 Nov14 Oct23 (davidson sara)JUAREZ J 118 20.00    
NO TROUBLE (IRE) Mar16 Feb28 Jan04 Dec17 Nov04 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOOD SWIMMER Apr06 Oct18 Sep20 Aug31 Aug22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00    
EXCAPING THE BLUES Apr06 Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Jan05 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
SCR  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Apr04 Mar07 Jan31 Jan05 Nov19 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00    
BIG NICKEL Mar28 Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec07 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00    
ROYAL COACH Mar21 Feb14 Jan10 Dec19 Oct23 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00    
SALTWATER COWBOY Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 (diodoro robert)REYES R 124 4.50 8% 12.20    
SCR  NEWS AT NINE Apr06 Mar07 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 2.50    
SCR  SPECIALSORTASTORM Nov06 Oct26 Sep28 Aug24 Jul20 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 120 10.00    
SCR  MOON CAT Apr06 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00    
12  TX CODE Mar30 Feb21 Jan12 Nov25 Oct10 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
13  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Apr06 Mar02 Feb22 Jan17 Jan05 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00    
14  MO SATURDAYS Apr17 Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.