Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/3)-(3/5/1)-(3/7/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/7/1/4)-(1/7/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/10)-(1/7/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/10)-(1/7/10)-(1/7/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(3/8/7/4)-(10/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4)-(10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/2)-(10/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/3/2)-(10/3/2)-(10/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY ROCK IT Apr05 Mar22 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
2  GOLDEN GRIT Mar16 Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  KING ADOLIS Mar22 Feb16 Jan11 Dec05 Oct24 (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
4  ESSAY Mar30 Feb21 Jan25 Dec13 Nov16 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
5  BERGHEIM Apr05 Feb16 Jan25 Nov25 Nov08 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 1.60    
6  MIDNIGHT HUMOR Feb16 Jan25 Jul13 Jun09 May26 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   04/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Mar02 Jan18 Nov30 Aug17 Jun29 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
2  ZED Feb08 Dec04 Nov25 Sep18 Aug31 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
3  BEGGIN FOR TROUBLE Mar28 Mar16 Feb28 Jan11 Sep28 (rengstorf ton)RIVERA SANTOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUND OF VICTORY Mar28 Mar09 Feb08 Nov22 Oct06 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00    
5  ROYALIST Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Jan18 Nov14 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00    
6  TWENTY ONE SKIDOO Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan17 Nov13 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  HUMOR ME NOW Mar16 Feb07 Apr19 Mar15 Mar01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.70    
 
LS-3   04/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOD KNOWS WHY Mar30 Mar16 Feb23 Jan25 Nov26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  IMMA GOING TO WIN Apr09 Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 Jan18 (rangel raul)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
3  LET HER BE Feb13 Jan10       (marr jo)FUENTES T 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  NOBLE AWARE Mar22 Mar02 Jan24 Jan03 Oct02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50    
5  AVALING Mar30 Mar16 Feb23 Feb07 Jul07 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  SHE'S CANDIFIED Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 Jul06 Jun09 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 2.50    
7  INDY LA PRIMERA Mar30 Mar16 Feb21 Jul12 Jun21 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
SCR  ANGEL IN THE AIR Mar30 Mar15 Sep11 Aug30 Jun22 (castellano)PEREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
 
LS-4   04/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILY SMILES Mar05 May01 Mar20 Feb29 Dec20 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
2  YVONNE'S MISS Mar23 Feb28 Oct11 Aug30 May10 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
3  LOOKINFORBARGAINS Mar21 Feb23 Jul28 Oct14   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  MARIAH'S CANDY Apr07 Mar23 Mar01 Jan19 Dec12 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT LADY Mar23 Aug24 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 8.00    
6  SHOW ME THE CANDY Feb28 Feb05 Oct30 Aug28 Jun12 (bryant geor)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
7  ENCHANTED NILE Apr11 Feb13 Jan15 Nov25 Oct11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
LS-5   04/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONDER WAVE (IRE) Apr04 Feb23 Dec28 Nov19 Oct19 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
SCR  RITZY MISCHIEF Apr04 Mar09 Feb07 Oct02   (clary rena)DIEGO V 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  RUNRATE Mar22 Jan19 Dec05 Oct30   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIME TO TAP by TAPIT)
4  ANDREA DIANE Feb15 Jun08 May11 Apr27   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HARD LOVIN WOMAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  COFFEE KISSES Mar30 Mar09 Jan19 Oct26   (young bob)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GEMINI R N by MINESHAFT)
SCR  BALMORHEA Apr04         (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MS. RUBIN by SKY MESA)
7  SUGARCOAT Mar22 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 (davis h)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KALAHARI CAT by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  LA RONALDA Y G Apr04 Feb01 Jan12 Oct19 Sep28 (me)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
9  MAYBE SO Mar30 Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 Jan19 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 118 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of EDIT by NAHUEL)
10  VIOLET KITTEN Mar22 Feb07 Aug03 Jul06   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  ROYAL SUBJECT Mar22 Mar09 Feb01 Oct10 Aug18 (eoff terry)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROO LIKE YOU by BELONG TO ME)
 
LS-6   04/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Mar23 Feb08 Jan18 Jan02 Dec20 (baldillez al)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAMIAN Feb12 Dec18 Jul06 Jun16 May26 (stidham h)MECHE COLE 119 20.00    
3  TRADE TRAVELER Mar29 Mar21 Mar02 Jul14 May26 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
4  FIST BUMP RIDGE Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan17 (rivera j)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00    
5  FIRST CAPE Apr10 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jul29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
SCR  WIN'S IMAGE         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 10.00    
7  CHASING THE RUSH Mar09 Feb22 Jan25 Jan03 Jun28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
8  REDFORTYSEVEN Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan25 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
LS-7   04/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAB'S HUMOR Mar08 Feb19 Jan30 Dec21 Nov21 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  BRASS SPUNKY Mar08 Feb14 Jan31     (dupuy allen)REYES R 122 20.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of READUM N REAP by YOUR EMINENCE)
3  EDGE CHASER Apr05 Mar08 Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of CONQUEST BEBOP by SCAT DADDY)
4  COWGIRL DREAM Mar23 Mar08 Jan24 Jan03 Jul07 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of DYNAMIC COWGIRL by DYNAMEAUX)
5  CLARISIT Apr05 Mar08 Feb14 Jun29 May25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 2.50    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLAMOROUS CLARISSA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
6  MOON CRATER Mar08 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ICY CALM by CURLIN)
7  R S AMERICAN TIDE Apr05         (ruggeri nicol)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN CODE out of POINT OF NO RETURN by CONCORD POINT)
8  LOVE ME SOME CANDY Apr05 Mar08 Feb14     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TELL ME U LOVE ME by MY GOLDEN SONG)
 
LS-8   04/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEMPLE Jan03 Nov24 Aug24 Sep09 Jan28 (ramirez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.50    
2  TED Apr08 Mar18 May11 Apr21 Mar26 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLIFF DIVER Apr06 Mar08 Feb09 Jan19 Jan03 (rengstorf tony)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
4  LEGENDARY LORE Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 Oct09 Aug26 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  COASTAL BRINK Apr06 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.50    
SCR  HOLD MY BEER BRO Mar01 Feb02 Oct03 Sep20 Aug26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
SCR  INTERSTELLAR Mar08 Feb28 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 4.00    
8  MOR LANA SPIRIT Jul12 Jun08 Apr21 Apr06 Feb25 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
SCR  ESTABLISHED Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Jan05 Dec08 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
10  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Mar24 Feb13 Jan11 Nov02 Oct16 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
11  PROWLING TIGER Apr06 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Mar18 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50    
SCR  BROTHER REID Apr18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan09 Dec16 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.