Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - March 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/1/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/1/4/6)-(5/7/1/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-2   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(5/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(7/3/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/3/8/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/3/8/5/1)-(7/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (7/3/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/5/1)-(7/3/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/5/1)-(7/3/8/5/1)-(7/3/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/5/1)-(7/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/5/1)-(7/2/5)-(4/8/10/5/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
HAW-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(4/8/10/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/8/10/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/10/5/9)-(4/8/10/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/10/5/9)-(4/8/10/5/9)-(4/8/10/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALLAPOOSA Nov02 Oct13 Aug11 Jul25 Jul06 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
2  SHAMAN SEZ Jan16 Dec20 Oct13 Sep02 Aug17 (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.80    
3  CAPTAIN'S FLAG Jan07 Dec21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 ★    
4  CUPID'S WAR Mar06 Feb13 Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  MINIMO Mar10 Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-2   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM TROY Mar08 Jan25 Dec14 Nov05 Oct15 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 12% 7.00    
2  MY LAST ESCAPADE Feb05 Jan16 Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
3  RAMESSES Feb13 Jan23 Dec11 Nov06 Sep28 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
4  WESTEROS Mar02 Feb15 Jan18 Dec04 Oct06 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PLUNDER Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 Oct20 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
6  RAGNOW Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 Sep20 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BERKUS (FR) Feb17 Feb02       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
 
HAW-3   03/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT MAN Nov18 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALVIN Nov02 Oct15 Oct10 Sep01 Aug08 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
3  LINE TO GAIN Feb01 Jan17 Nov04 Mar02 Jan27 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
4  MYSTIFIER Feb08 Jan17 Dec13 Sep28 Sep12 (rosin w)REYES FRANK 122 4.50    
5  BREAKOUT STAR Mar11 Jan25 Dec11 Oct28 Oct16 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
6  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Dec04 Nov12 Oct26 Oct15 Oct03 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SLAVA UKRAINI Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-4   03/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEADS Mar08 Jan25 Jan02 Dec12 Oct23 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  TALL GIRL Feb22 Feb08 Jan15 Jan03 Dec06 (slager mike)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
3  STARINA Jan20 Dec28 Oct08 Sep20 Aug18 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.20    
SCR  VISIONISTA Mar20 Jan04 Dec15 Aug01 Jun16 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 8.00    
5  CURLS NITE OUT Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 Oct20 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 116 6.00    
6  MO SMOKING Mar03 Feb17 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
HAW-5   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARL G Oct12 Sep17 Sep07 Aug17 Mar28 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 6% 15.80    
2  SON OF GRACE Oct13 Sep26 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 20.00    
3  ONE WAY HOME Nov02 Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 Aug24 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  MISTER CHARMING Oct19 Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 Aug01 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
5  ALYANAABI Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 Jul28 Jul09 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Sep05 Aug15 (campbell joel)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
7  ONE PUTT RICHIE Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Oct12 Sep17 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
8  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun22 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
9  HATCHET CREEK Aug22 Jul21 Jun29 Sep12 Aug16 (dizeo dino)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
10  RISKY BOY Jan03 Dec13 Sep22 Aug22 Jul28 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND FALLS Mar13 Feb12 Dec20 Nov27 Aug24 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
2  ELODINE Feb14 Jan16 Dec26 Dec06 Oct17 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Mar05 Feb12 Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 (campbell j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD ADIOS Dec04 Oct31 Oct19 Sep12 Jul06 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
5  JOYZELLA Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 Jul25 (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLATHEAD FINALE Dec19 Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 Aug31 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
7  CALLAS Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Dec07 Oct30 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 10.00 47% 1.10    
 
HAW-7   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIXIE PENNY Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 Sep24 Aug20 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
SCR  PALACE MAGIC Dec08 Nov12 Oct21 Sep21 Sep05 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
3  MAMBA OUT Dec21 Nov29 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
4  BE MY BESTIE Feb16 Dec21 Sep05 Jul02 Jun08 (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  APRIL'S GEM Mar13 Jan31 Jan05 Oct13 Oct06 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY LADY SLEW Feb01 Jan05 Oct13 Aug22 Aug01 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00    
7  WILD TAPIT Mar12 Feb05 Nov05 Oct17 Aug22 (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
8  GO STORMIN GIRL Dec08 Nov05 Sep29 Sep22 Sep05 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
9  HEAVENLY HASH Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 Jul06 (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  AWESOME SUNDAY Jan25 Dec08 May25 May04 Apr13 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00 14% 6.20    
11  CAIRO SUMMER Oct13 Sep26 Sep15 Sep08 Aug04 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.