Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - March 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(6/3/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(6/3/9/5)-(3/7/6/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/5)-(6/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/5)-(6/3/9/5)-(6/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/9/5)-(3/7/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/5)-(3/7/6/5/8)-(6/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/7/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5/8)-(3/7/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/5/8)-(3/7/6/5/8)-(3/7/6/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/6/5/8)-(6/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/5/8)-(6/3)-(6/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(7/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4)-(7/5/3/1)-(6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(6/2/3)-(1/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-9   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEUMOM Mar03 Dec02 Oct30 Oct07 Sep21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
EXHALE Mar03 Feb12 Dec02 Oct30 Oct02 (montoya m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
STAR VENEZUELAN Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 Jan08 Oct23 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
FANCY FIDDLE Feb20         (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 19% 4.30    
MANDY'S MISS Feb01 Dec19 Nov27 Oct03   (o'callahan carl)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
NEW BOOTS Mar09 Feb22 Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
ISLAND DREAM GIRL Feb27 Jan08       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-2   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LILLY Feb20 Dec18 Nov20 Aug14 Aug01 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 8.00    
DIVINE ROMANCE Feb20 Jan25 Oct25 Oct09 Sep28 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00    
MON PETIT CHOU Mar04 Feb04 Jan27 Jan03 Nov07 (padilla est)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  SIRANI Feb11 Dec18 Nov21 Nov13 Oct09 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Dec04 Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME CATALAYA Feb28 Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
SWEET MISCHIEF Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 Dec09 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
BELLA PRIMA Feb20 Jan09 Dec04 Oct25 Sep28 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
NO EASY ANSWER Feb20 Dec15 Dec06 Oct25 Sep08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-3   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAPPHIRE PRINCE Feb19         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 8.00    
SCR  HOT ROD KITTY Feb19         (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 10.00    
FIRMANTOWN Feb14 Jul22       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
JUST FOR GIGGLES Feb14 Dec22 Dec01     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 8.00    
SUNSET MONTEZ         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
COME PRIMA Mar07         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
MY DETROIT CITY Feb19 Dec19 Nov14 Oct24 Sep10 (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
CONCRETE JACK         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOLAR GLARE Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 Nov01 (kazamias )HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
10  LOOKIN WILD Feb27 Feb03 Jan14     (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
11  JACE IS NO JOKE Jan24         (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00    
 
PEN-4   03/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMBLE SHANKS Feb21 Jan08 Dec13 Nov21 Oct30 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00    
STORMQUIST Feb21 Jan17 Jan02 Dec18 Nov27 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 4.00    
TREVESSO Oct12 Sep14 Aug04 Jun24 Jun01 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUNANDSCORE Feb26 Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 Jun26 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.00    
ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Mar10 Feb24 Feb12 Jan28 Dec10 (aristone philip)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00    
TAKE THE PLEDGE Feb21 Dec11 Nov20 Sep13 May23 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
PEN-5   03/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN YEARS LATER Feb20 Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Jul09 (nicholson juni)AGUILAR JEAN 125 6.00    
LA LIMA Mar06 Dec20 Oct31 Jul26 Jul12 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00    
BAHAMA PEARL Feb28 Nov11 Oct09 Sep10 Sep02 (soto- martin)TORRES L 115 1.40 25% 3.00    
THUNDER BOSS Mar07 Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
UPTOWN SERAPHINA Mar06 Feb21 Nov20 Aug22 Aug02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 125 3.50    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-6   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT STOP MAN Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Dec07 Jul13 (magee kiero)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 119 3.50    
ONE WAY FARRIOR Feb27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jan08 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug07 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
OLAZABAL Sep24 Aug29 Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. MARSHALL Feb27 Feb06 Dec29 Dec14 Nov17 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
BYK Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Nov02 Sep27 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 2.00 31% 2.30    
GENGHIS Jan03 Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.50    
 
PEN-7   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY FROST Mar06 Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 50.00 5% 19.00    
MISS ALEX Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 (penaloza miguel)CHIAPPE R 125 20.00    
AMIRATI Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY PRINCESS Feb27 Jan31 Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 (rodriguez jo)TORRES L 115 4.50    
SCOTT ALAIA Dec13 Nov11 Jul22 May04 Apr23 (ippolito ma)INIRIO J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LISA'S PALACE Mar06 Feb19 Jan17 Dec06 Nov13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 125 2.50    
LADRO DI FICHI Mar06 Feb06 Jan08 Dec20 Dec11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 1.40 65% 0.50    
FOREST MAIDEN Feb20 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Oct23 (linder louis )OCASIO M 125 6.00    
 
PEN-8   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXEY G Mar07 Feb19 Jan15 Dec20 Oct25 (kravets m)CORA D 121 15.00    
TIME OF OUR LIVES Mar07 Dec18 Dec06 Oct31 Aug21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
LOUELLA STREET Feb27 Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
SWEET MAEVE Feb19 Jan03 Dec06 Nov06 Oct24 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 121 3.00    
KESTENNA (GB) Feb19 Jan31 Dec10 Oct30 Oct09 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 12.00    
DONATE LIFE Feb07 Jan23 Dec04 Oct13 Oct04 (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-9   03/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSSINGTON Feb25 Jan07 Nov29 Nov12 Oct16 (linder louis )RIVERA D 125 3.50 34% 2.00    
NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD Jan08 Dec12 Nov20     (montford lesl)ROJAS MARTINA 125 30.00    
MAGIC PATH Feb27 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Sep04 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
AWESOME HARRY Feb27 Jan09 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 1.80    
LUCKY PRINCE Jan08 Dec14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep15 (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 4.00    
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Feb27 Jan09 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (beattie san)RAMOS O 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADDED MISCHIEF Feb28 Feb05 Nov23 Nov09 Nov17 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 125 10.00 6% 16.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.