Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (8/1/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/9/6)-(8/1/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/9/6)-(8/1/3/9/6)-(8/1/3/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/1/3/9/6)-(2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/4/5/6)-(7/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(7/1/2/8)-(2/1/7/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-4   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/8)-(2/1/7/4/9)-(7/4/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/1/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4/9)-(2/1/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4/9)-(2/1/7/4/9)-(2/1/7/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4/9)-(7/4/8/9)-(2/3/8/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-6   WIN (7/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/1/9)-(7/4/8/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/3/8/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/9/7)-(2/3/8/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/9/7)-(2/3/8/9/7)-(2/3/8/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-8   WIN (1/6/3/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2/4)-(1/6/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2/4)-(1/6/3/2/4)-(1/6/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2/4)-(1/6/4/5)-(3/8/11/7/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-9   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(3/8/11/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-10   WIN (3/8/11/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/11/7/5)-(3/8/11/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/11/7/5)-(3/8/11/7/5)-(3/8/11/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   03/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAUZETA'S FLAME Nov25 Oct11 Sep12 Aug02 May04 (chavez larry)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of FAUZETA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  KLIMT'S GIRL Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 (buechler simon )NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
3  DISTORTED CAT         (gutierrez t)ORTEGA O 121 15.00 13% 6.70    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of DISTORTED BEAUTY by INVASOR (ARG))
4  GIRLS DON'T CRY Mar07 Feb20       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
  (by CROSSBOW out of LADY DON'T CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  ROSE A Oct06         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
6  TONI THE GRRREAT Jan10 Nov26 Nov04 Oct20 Oct12 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of POLITE SMILE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  STREET COLORS Mar07 Feb16 Jan17 Jan03 Nov26 (roje)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OCEAN COLORS by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  ITSGRANDSALAMITIME         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by PONTIFF out of COPY BEGONE by DEMON WARLOCK)
9  FERRARI MONEY Feb21         (hernandez)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABLE TO SMILE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
SUN-2   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG EVENT Jan24 Oct02 Sep12 Aug24 May19 (morales danny)PURCELL KELSI 124 5.00    
2  BAJA BOOGIE Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Jan03 Dec16 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 1.60 36% 1.70    
3  PLEASE THE COURT Mar07 Jan30 Oct25 Sep13 Sep01 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
4  WIND RIVER Feb20 Feb07 Jan23 Jan03 Dec03 (gomez steve)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG MAC DADDY Oct18 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 May18 (sedillo carl)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00    
SCR  DECK HUMOR Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 Dec10 (lambert t)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
7  DUBRONSKY Feb07 Jan03 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 (martinez edwin )ROSENDO J 124 3.00    
 
SUN-3   03/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT DANGER Jan10 Dec03 Oct04 Nov15 Oct23 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
2  PLAYING FIELD Mar07 Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 Dec03 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  FINGLAS LAD Feb28 Feb07 Sep30 Sep09 Sep01 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 2.00    
4  AWESOME BID Feb20 Jan31 Jan17 Nov19 Oct05 (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
5  CYCLONE MESA Nov11 Sep29 May19 Apr13 Mar07 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MENTIROSA Feb28 Feb20 Feb07 Jan09 Jan03 (gutierrez taurino)JAIME R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  THIRSTY ECHO Feb20 Jan31 Jan17 Dec09 Nov19 (gomez ste)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
 
SUN-4   03/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERVEZA Feb28 Feb16 Jan23 Jan10 Dec18 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THRUTHESTORM Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Oct27 Oct11 (gonzalez c)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VALENTINO WHO Dec16 Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.00    
SCR  LATIGO ELLIS Mar07 Feb21 Jan24 Jun16 May12 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50    
5  JEEPS STRIDE Jan24 Jan03 Nov25 Aug23 Jul20 (marr h)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
6  GRIFTER Jan24 Nov27 Nov11 Sep29 Sep18 (rojero c)JAIME R 124 15.00    
7  STORM BAYOU Nov12 Apr04 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
8  COMING ABSTRACTION Feb16 Jan24 Dec18 Dec04 Oct25 (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAU VERO Feb16 Feb06 Jan17 Oct09 Sep15 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
2  SHUG'S ROCKET Feb16 Jan24 Jan09 Dec18 Nov19 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  M G M'S LUCKY Jan10 Dec17 Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
4  ARTFUL CRITIC Feb16 Jan16 Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 (buechler simon )NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 7% 12.50    
5  THE LAST FEAT Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Aug23 Mar08 (singh johnny)JAIME R 124 20.00    
6  HOLLYWOOD TIZ Feb13 Jan23 Jan03 Oct27 Oct20 (marquez l)ROSENDO J 124 10.00    
7  B R KIDD ROCK Feb16 Jan16 Jul20 Jun07 Apr16 (dennison h)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
8  DANJERUS STORM Feb16 Jan03 Dec04 Nov19 Oct05 (gutierrez)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 20.00    
9  SHAME ON SAM Jul20 Jun16 Apr07 Mar29 Mar21 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-6   03/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT IN FRONT Feb13 Jan24 Dec03 Oct18 Oct02 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.50 ★    
2  JOHN JOHN Feb13 Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov18 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
3  RUNNING BEAR Feb13 Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 (salazar miche)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
4  STELLA BOY Feb06 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct16 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
5  TIME TRAVELIN Feb06 Dec16 Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
6  NOGAL CANYON Feb16 Feb07 Sep01 Aug03 Jun08 (hernandez)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
7  RUNDOFT Feb28 Jan23 Dec02 Nov12 Jul28 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00 51% 1.00    
8  NESARA Feb13 Jan17 Dec18 Sep01 Jul26 (cross gary)VALDEZ S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  VOLS Feb06 Dec16 Nov05 Oct02 Sep05 (hernandez juan)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET EM RIP Feb13 Jan23 Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 (olguin ever)JAIME R 124 12.00    
2  THREE MARTINIS Jan23 Dec02 Oct02     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 57% 0.80    
3  COMFORT J BYRD Jan24 Jan09 Dec16 Nov25 Nov19 (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  GIMME MONEY Feb13 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov05 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 6.00    
5  EL OCHO Feb18 Jan21 Dec11 May12 Apr20 (dominguez angel )MEDELLIN A 124 20.00    
6  HARRYS CHANCE Jan23 Jan09 Dec10 Nov05 Sep26 (hudson je)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
7  SPEND AGAIN Feb21 Jan24 Jan09 Dec10 Nov19 (roje)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOVESUNFAIR Feb06 Jan23 Jan09 Dec16 Oct02 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MICKEYS TRAIL Feb13 Jan24 Dec18 Dec10 Dec02 (salazar miche)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  JETFIRE Feb28 Jan17 Dec16 Oct19 Jan13 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
 
SUN-8   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWBERRY WHISKY Dec09 Nov25 Oct16 Mar22 Feb09 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  SMARTSREALGOOD Apr07 Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Nov27 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
3  PROBATE Feb06 Jan10 Sep14 Aug16 Jul27 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
4  ROLL PENNY ROLL Jan31 Jan16 Jan03 Nov25 Nov04 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Feb06 Apr27 Apr13 Mar21 Mar08 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00    
6  DAUX Jan31 Dec17 Mar21 Feb23 Jan05 (marr h)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
7  MISTER WU Jan23 Dec18 Dec02 Oct20 Sep26 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
8  DORA'S STORM Feb06 Oct05 Sep22 Sep05 Jan26 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
9  SPEED BUMP BOB Jan10 Dec04 Nov05 Oct20 Aug16 (constant ronald)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
10  STORM LEADER Feb06 Jan23 Dec09 Nov04 Oct16 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
 
SUN-9   03/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET OF FLAGS Feb06 Jan10 Nov12 Nov04 Aug24 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ONEFORTHEDITCH Mar06 Feb06 Jan24 Dec16 Nov26 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
SCR  I'M A DREAMER TOO Jan16 Dec04 Nov05 Oct09 Sep07 (gutierrez j)TORRES J 124 20.00    
4  BLAZING TO GOLD Feb28 Jan17 Nov26 Nov04   (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 10% 9.30    
5  REAL GOOD MAGIC Feb06 Jan10 Nov26 Sep28 Sep14 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AZTEC SUN Jan10 Dec16 Jul28 Jun01 Mar08 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 32% 2.20    
7  CASH FOLLOWS ME Jan23 Dec10 Jun14 Mar29 Jan18 (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
8  PALS WILD LIBERTY         (douglas nat)ORTEGA O 124 10.00    
9  LEAP YEAR NIGHT Feb28 Feb16 Feb06 Jan16 Oct12 (martinez edw)MEDINA ANTHONY 119 20.00    
10  BEER MONEY Feb04 Jan08 Dec08 Nov29 Sep14 (valerio ra)ANDRADE JR 124 10.00    
 
SUN-10   03/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY EYES Jan24 Jan09 Oct05 Sep05 Mar21 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
2  HES HIGH OH SILVER Feb13 Dec18 Dec10 Nov12 Oct06 (salazar m)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
3  FEIST Feb06 Jan23       (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 53% 0.90    
4  RAIL RUNNER Feb06 Jan17 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 124 6.00    
5  BET U MONEY Jan30 Jan09 Dec18     (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARK ME IN Feb06 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Oct25 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
7  HANDMEDOWN D'ORO Feb28 Feb13 Nov12 Dec12   (aldavaz jaime)ROSENDO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHAMPS MONEY Feb06 Jan16 Dec10     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 11% 7.90    
9  RIG IT RIGHT Jan17 Jan09 Dec03 Oct16 Sep22 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
10  JAZZY RED Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec09 Nov26 (gutierrez taurino)JAIME R 119 20.00    
11  LUCKY MONEY Feb06 Dec02       (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 121 20.00 7% 12.60    
12  DESERT WATCH Feb06 Dec18       (marr h)TORRES J 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.