Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - February 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(3/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(3/2/7/8)-(5/7/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(5/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/4)-(1/7/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(1/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(1/7/5/6)-(8/2/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(8/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(8/2/5/4)-(3/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/4)-(3/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/4)-(3/6/2/7)-(10/3/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(10/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/7)-(10/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/7)-(10/3/5/7)-(10/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UBETCHAMISTER Dec27 Dec10       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
INFERNO Jan29 Jan10 Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
OVERNIGHT EXPRESS Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 Oct23 Oct05 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 118 4.00    
MAKING MISCHIEF Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
SATURN'S GHOST Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 Nov17 Oct05 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00 22% 3.70    
NEED A MIRACLE Feb01 Jan16 Dec07 Nov09 Sep21 (leaf robe)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 15.00    
BUSTIER Jan10 Dec14 Nov16 Oct25   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
CT-2   02/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP YOUR HEART Feb07 Jan10 Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 (chapman james)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Feb19 Jan30 Dec14 Oct05 Sep19 (murdock s)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.00 33% 2.00    
CROWN THAT SAINT Jan24 Jan15 Dec11 Nov22 Oct31 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 42% 1.40    
THANK YA PETE Feb14 Feb05 Jan24 Jan03 Nov30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00    
PERNO Jan24 Jan02 Nov25 Nov11 Oct29 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
BRYSONS OPTION Jan23 Oct31 Oct09 Jul27 Jul03 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 5.00    
BENISSIMO Jan29 Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Oct19 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUSHWICK BRUISER Aug20 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May04 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   02/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Jan23 Dec22 Dec14 Nov15 Aug23 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 9% 10.60    
WELLING Feb05 Jan16 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
READYSEEKGO Feb06 Jan17 Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
MARTINI MARTIN Feb09 Jan26 Dec04 Nov19 Oct24 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
DISPUTED CLAIM Jan24 Dec27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 33% 2.00    
PRACTICAL SENSE Feb05 Jan16 Nov28 Oct26 Oct10 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
VALHALLA'S PALACE Feb05 Jan15 Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 21% 3.80    
MY SLICK NICK Feb05 Jan16 Dec11 Jul19 Jul12 (conn p)DIAZ JR 120 30.00    
SCR  ROAD SLEW Feb05 Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 Nov22 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   02/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIEL MOON Feb19 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep02 (trombetta)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Jan15 Dec13 Nov21 Sep26 Jul25 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 5.00    
UNCONSCIOUS MIND Sep26 Jul11 Jun20 Apr20 Mar13 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
MISS MENETES Feb01 Jan10       (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
CARIBBEAN COMEDY Feb07 Dec14       (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 1.60 25% 2.90    
BLESSED CANDY Jan26 Dec01 Nov16 Aug31 Jul27 (machado antonio)ACOSTA D 116 12.00    
MUDSLIDE Jan25 Dec14 Oct10 Aug28   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
MOLLY FACTOR Feb07 Jan15 Oct25 Sep14   (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
 
CT-5   02/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN POWER Jan29 Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Jul12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
KING KONTIE Feb05 Dec13 Aug31 Jul20 Jun16 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
NICO Feb05 Aug22 Jul12 Jun15 Feb19 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
HOPPING HENRY Feb05 Jan29 Nov29 Nov02 Sep13 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Nov02 Oct12 Sep13 Aug23 Jul19 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
FANCY CONCHO Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Feb08 Dec13 Nov22 Oct12 Sep19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
ROCKET APPEAL Feb19 Feb05 Jan25 Jan03 Dec13 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 124 5.00    
 
CT-6   02/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA B WILD Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
LITTLE MAGGIE Feb07 Dec06       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
POPPY MAC Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Nov02 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
SAUCY BOSS Jan31 Jan10 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLIMATE CHANGE Jan10 Sep12 Aug15     (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
JEANNETTE THE JET Oct24 Oct04       (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 15.00    
OVER THE BULL Jan11 Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 1.80    
COAL COUNTRY Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 Nov06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
 
CT-7   02/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN G Feb07 Nov29 Jun27 Jun02 Apr11 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Nov21 Oct18 Sep02 Aug17 Nov29 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
DUNCAN IDAHO Jan29 Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Jun15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
LITTLE ROO ROO Feb07 Jan29 Dec14 Nov27 Nov07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Feb07 Oct06 Jun27 May06 Apr21 (mcentee)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
HONEYQUIST Jan29 Nov07 Oct12 Jul20 Jun15 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 16% 5.30    
FULLY CONNECTED Feb07 Oct21 Jun02 Apr06 Feb23 (lane ri)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING ROAD Feb05 Jan15 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  PAMZ PALACE Feb05 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov09 (rangel ri)HERNANDEZ H 122 50.00    
BULL'S LEGACY Feb08 Jan31 Jan15 Dec04 Nov22 (rideout)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
GIRLS PERFUME Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 (boggs j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
MAD SWANN Feb05 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 6% 16.30    
LUZIA Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00    
SHE SHE'S SHADOW Feb05 Jan18 Dec03 Nov20 Nov05 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
REZQUIA Feb05 Dec12 Oct25 Aug30 Aug21 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
SCR  SUPER SPIRIT Aug23 Jul27 Feb15 Jan07   (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
10  MITOLE CANDY Feb08 Jan15 Dec04 Nov14 Oct05 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.