Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - February 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/7/6/2)-(4/6/5/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/2)-(4/6/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/2)-(4/6/5/8/10)-(7/4/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/6/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/8/10)-(4/6/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/8/10)-(4/6/5/8/10)-(4/6/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/5/8/10)-(7/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/8/10)-(7/4/5/3)-(2/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(2/5/6/4)-(1/4/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(1/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(1/4/2/8)-(4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/8)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/8)-(4/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT UNLIMITED Feb01 Jan10 Oct25 Oct05   (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.40 57% 0.70    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HOLY SELENA by GHOSTZAPPER)
LOVING GAZE (IRE) Dec05 Oct19 Sep14     (lane j)BATISTA A 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of FIXED GAZE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GOLD DART Dec14 Nov16 Jul27     (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
SCR  SHE DON'T TELL Jan10         (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIZA TOO by OLMODAVOR)
DANCING DAKOTAH Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 Sep28 Sep02 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of KODIAK KATIE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA Feb01 Jan24 Nov28 Jul06 Jun16 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LAURA'S THUNDER Jan29 Jan04 Dec11 Nov10 Oct26 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CT-2   02/22/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYDAYISAGIFT Feb08 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
MARTHA'S HEART Feb08 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILD GIRL Feb10 Dec13 Oct10 Sep19 Aug13 (neilson wallace)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
CRACKALACKING Jan30 Jan10 Dec10 Aug08 Jul13 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 5.00    
LOVE THE SAUCE Jan07 Dec13 Nov16     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 36% 1.80    
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Feb08 Jan11 Aug07 Jul17 Jul02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Jan29 Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct03 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-3   02/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY FOR JUBA Feb14 Jan03 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
SCR  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Jan25 Jan03 Dec11 Oct30 Oct18 (peltroche v)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
AUBURN MILL Feb06 Jan17 Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 Aug09 Jul25 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
REMYS SHOWTIME Feb06 Jan16 Jan03 Nov21 Nov01 (craig armont)DIAZ JR 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb06 Jan16 Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
SARGENT KOBE Feb06 Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 (lane j)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Feb14 Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 Nov21 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Feb06 Jan16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov04 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
10  CAYENNE CREEK Feb06 Jan16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov01 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   02/22/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIENITE Feb01         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CORAIL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
IMYOURHUCKLEBEARER Feb01         (baird m)HERNANDEZ H 122 12.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
A REASON TO PARTY Feb01 Jan11       (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
CONNECT THE DOTS Dec06 Nov15       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
YOU ROTTEN JOKER         (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of LUCKY CANDY by LUFTIKUS)
DEMBE ZUMA Jan31 Jan03 Dec07     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
RAY OF SUNSHINE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
FUNGO FUNGO Feb13         (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-5   02/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROARK Feb06 Jan10 Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Feb06 Jan25 Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 (rose davi)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
CASTLE OF CORK Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov23 Nov15 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.50    
BULL RIDER Jan24 Dec06 Oct25 Sep12 Aug23 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BAD BRASS Feb13 Jan16 Nov16 Oct26 Aug16 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Feb08 Jan25 Dec12 Nov15 Oct20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM Nov27 Nov06 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   02/22/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT KOA Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 Oct26 Sep19 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
STORE SALE Feb05         (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 11% 8.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIFTHATNARRAGANSET by CAIRO PRINCE)
FEAR THE FACTS Feb05 Jan15 Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LILBOURNE ELIZA by ELUSIVE CITY)
STAY FROSTY Feb08 Dec19 Nov29 Oct26   (ennis john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FROSTED out of COURT APPEAL by WORLD APPEAL)
SCR  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
MY YOKE Feb05 Jan15       (perez ernesto)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
CASE ACE Feb05 Dec06 Nov17 Nov05 Jul22 (rideout)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LONGSTOCKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
BIG MO GEE Feb14 Feb05 Jan15 Dec05 Nov27 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of QUEEN OF THE LAKE by SALT LAKE)
 
CT-7   02/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XHILARATINGPURPOSE Jan31 Jan18 Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
WHALE OF A TIME Jan16 Nov22 Feb08 Dec14 Nov12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Jan31 Jan16 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
LUCKY BOP Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 Aug20 Jul29 (craig e)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 53% 0.90    
BAHITI Feb07 Jan18 May21 May02 Apr11 (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
TRUE INDY Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 Nov14 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 124 5.00    
SYMPTOMATIC Feb06 Dec07 Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 2.50    
 
CT-8   02/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN MARTIN Jan24 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26   (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
ABOLITIONIST Feb06         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of GRACEWOOD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Feb06 Jan17 Dec11 Nov20 Sep26 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 6% 14.50    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
PEDAL TO THE MOON Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 (pyke joseph)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
WISH ON JUBA Feb01         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
THE COLDEST ONE Feb06 Jan31 Jan10 Dec07   (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SWIFT WATERS Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 (kirlew lenwort)GILBERT KYLE 116 20.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
MEGS GOLDEN BOY Feb06 Jan23 Jan17 Dec11 Nov16 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 124 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.