Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/3)-(3/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/3)-(3/9/1/6)-(10/8/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/1/6)-(10/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/6)-(10/8/5/7)-(7/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (10/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/11/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/11/5/7)-(10/8/11/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/5/7)-(7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/7)-(7/9/1)-(4/8/2/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/1)-(7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/1)-(4/8/2/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1)-(4/8/2/9/6)-(9/4/1/7/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/8/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/9/6)-(4/8/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/9/6)-(4/8/2/9/6)-(4/8/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/2/9/6)-(9/4/1/7/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/9/6)-(9/4/1/7/11)-(2/4/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (9/4/1/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/7/11)-(9/4/1/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/7/11)-(9/4/1/7/11)-(9/4/1/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/1/7/11)-(2/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/9)-(2/4/1/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/9)-(2/4/1/11/9)-(2/4/1/11/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNIN N GUNNIN Nov30 Oct29 Sep15 Jul29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  ARSONIST Sep29 Sep05 Aug23     (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
3  RUNRATE Dec05 Oct30       (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOT A WORD Oct17 Sep28 Sep13 Jul14   (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
5  NINTH ISLAND Nov15 Oct02       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  SECURED Nov18 Oct02 Aug25     (calhoun will)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50    
7  BOHEMIAN COWGIRL Nov30 Nov02 Sep04     (davis sha)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
 
HOU-3   01/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY SAN LEON Nov26 Oct11 Jan20 Nov02 Oct04 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WA WA WEE WA Jan05 Dec15 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
3  MARIAH'S CANDY Dec12 Nov25 Nov01 Sep21 Aug27 (gelner jayde )CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  JUST ADORABLE Dec06 Nov25 Nov08 Oct10 Sep18 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
5  RUBY THE DESTROYER Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 3.50    
6  DREAM TOWN Dec04 Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 Feb02 (rangel raul)SANCHEZ OBED 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jun23 May18 Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
8  MATH MYSTERY Nov29 Nov13 Oct03 Aug24 May10 (davidson n)PARKER L 121 2.00    
9  LET HER BUCK Dec11 Nov15 Oct23 Sep27 Aug23 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
HOU-4   01/19/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Oct24 Sep25 Aug25 Jul28 Jul06 (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
2  DUDE PERFECTA Sep25 Jul04 Jun16 Apr05 Mar08 (j)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
3  OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Dec04 Nov14 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (villafran)TRIANA JR 121 30.00    
4  TIZ FABULOUS Oct02 Aug29 Aug13 Jun22 May28 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
5  IN BOND WE TRUST Dec04 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 Aug22 (davidson bren)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Nov21 Oct21 Oct04 May29 Apr28 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
7  EL BLAZE Nov09 Oct11 Sep19 Oct19 Sep22 (martin steve)DIEGO V 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul06 Jun15 May18 Jan21 Dec23 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  PERLIANO Jan05 Dec04 Oct26 Oct02 Sep14 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.50    
10  EXECUTIVE POWER Dec13 Oct17 Oct08 Aug06 Jul21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 57% 0.70    
11  BIG WAVE JAMES Oct26 Oct05 Jul04 May18 Apr18 (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 121 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-5   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY DREAMIN Nov25 Nov14 Oct17 Oct02 Sep05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  INDIAN CAT Dec21 Nov23 Oct10 Aug24   (gelner jayde)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  CONFIDING Nov06 Oct17 Sep14     (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00    
4  BOSS DOWN Nov26 Oct31       (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 122 30.00    
5  HOT GUNNER Jan04 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 Sep29 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
6  MISSING ROCKS Dec14 Oct17 Oct03 Sep05 Aug17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50    
7  DOMINANT SPIRIT Dec13 Oct25 Sep12     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.40 71% 0.40    
8  CHEROKEE SUNRISE Dec13 Nov30 Oct23 Oct05 Aug31 (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
9  LUCKY TAPITURE Nov01 Sep27 Aug31     (lee mark)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   01/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A STRIKER Oct17 Oct03       (eoff terry)HUCKABY RONNIE 117 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
2  BEEVILLE         (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 15.00 11% 8.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of STAGE STOP by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  CLAY'S HATCHETT Dec06         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of INDY CHEERS by A.P. INDY)
4  FINE TUNED Oct10         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  COWBOY CADE Dec13 Nov08 Oct02 Sep12 Aug16 (lee mark)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
  (by WILBURN out of LEXICAT by BRICKTOWN CAT)
6  CAUSE MIMI SAID Dec06 Oct31 Oct03     (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SWEETEST APPEAL by GRAYDAR)
7  KEYS GOLDEN SONG Jan04         (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MISS PERDIDO KEY by BROKEN VOW)
8  SECRECY IS EVIL         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PSEUDONYM by HARD SPUN)
9  GO GO BOSS         (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  I'M ENTICING Dec04         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of DAZZLE HER by STREET SENSE)
 
HOU-7   01/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A DREAMER         (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of BEAN PEACEFUL by WAR FRONT)
2  DEVIL DARLING Nov30         (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of CAUSE TO WONDER by ESKENDEREYA)
3  BY REQUEST Dec12 Nov29 Nov15 Nov06 Oct23 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 122 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
4  ENCHANTING Oct17         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HAPPY MESA by SKY MESA)
5  SILIVAS Jan10 Dec04 Oct19 Sep13 Aug23 (eoff terry)HUCKABY RONNIE 117 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FLIPSTER by PRESS CARD)
6  MISS MOZETTI         (pish danny)PARKER L 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROAD TIGER by QUALITY ROAD)
7  MAYBE SO Dec05 Nov18       (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of EDIT by NAHUEL)
8  WAVER Oct23 Aug12 Jul13 Jun28   (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of WEDDING JITTERS by BROKEN VOW)
9  RAZORS EDGE Dec27 Dec05 Nov15 Oct19   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of CABBAGE KEY by A.P. INDY)
10  ICED UP Dec07         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ZERO TO SIXTY by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
11  DEADLY BEAUTY         (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BUTTON GIRL by MIZZEN MAST)
 
HOU-8   01/19/2025 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THICK HAZE Oct19 Sep21 Aug25 Aug15 Jul28 (rob)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 20.00 6% 15.50    
2  CLIFF DIVER Jan03 Nov21 Oct16 Sep21 Sep07 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00 57% 0.70    
3  WILTON Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 Nov09 Oct24 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
4  SHOTSHELL Dec18 Dec10 Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Jan11 Dec13 Oct22 Jul24 Jun22 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.00    
6  BROTHER REID Jan09 Dec16 Nov15 Jun14 May18 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 3.50    
7  WITT'S TAQUITO Aug24 Jul21 Jun30 May31 May11 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 121 6.00    
8  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jan03 Aug26 Jul31 Jun30 Jun22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
9  COURAGEOUSLY Apr07 Jan10 Nov29 Oct25 Aug27 (fogarty desmo)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHAMAYIM Dec27 Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 Oct03 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00    
11  PALUXY Dec13 Oct19 Oct04 Sep04 Aug16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.