Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - January 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (9/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/4)-(9/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/4)-(9/2/5/4)-(9/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/5/4)-(5/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/4)-(5/3/4/7)-(8/2/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(8/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(8/2/4/5)-(6/7/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/5)-(6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/5)-(6/7/5/4)-(1/7/4/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/4)-(1/7/4/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(1/7/4/10/9)-(9/6/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/7/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/10/9)-(1/7/4/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/10/9)-(1/7/4/10/9)-(1/7/4/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/4/10/9)-(9/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/10/9)-(9/6/3/8)-(6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/8)-(9/6/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/8)-(9/6/3/8/2)-(9/6/3/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/3/8)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/8)-(6/2/1)-(1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/5/7)-(6/2/8/4/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(6/2/8/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/2/8/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4/9)-(6/2/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4/9)-(6/2/8/4/9)-(6/2/8/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT THE FIRST TIME Dec28 Nov08 Oct03     (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00    
GALA DANCER         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HEAVEN'S PROMISE Jan02         (kelly blake)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00    
CAYUGA Jan10         (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD MORNING MERCY Aug23 Jul11 Jun08 Jun01   (mcmahon hug)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
THOROLD MISS Dec15 Aug25       (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 120 6.00    
SWEETHEART MOON Nov10 Oct03       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
MARMARA Dec13 Nov28       (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00    
NEW BOOTS Dec29 Dec08 Aug15     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.40 62% 0.60    
 
LRL-2   01/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Sep27 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 126 15.00    
GAMBLING TZAR Dec22 Nov28 Nov02 Sep28 Aug10 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 8.00    
ACE NINE NINE Dec08 Apr12 Mar22 Feb04 Jan13 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
DIVINE ARMOR Dec17 Nov13 Oct29 Jul20 Jun26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 10% 9.20    
EVERETT'S SONG Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 Aug06 Jul07 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
GALATIANS Nov16 Oct27 Sep27 Sep07 Aug18 (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 123 4.50    
MASTER OF NONE Dec29 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 (praden)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
RHUMJAR Dec22 Nov17 Oct12 Sep15 Sep02 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
 
LRL-3   01/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRE OF ANATOLIA Dec14 Dec01       (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 120 2.50    
REAL TALENTED         (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
LATIN REBEL Dec13 Dec01 Oct31     (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00    
KNUCKER PUNK         (mohan david )WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUZZ ADAMS         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLO BY'EM Dec22 Dec01       (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
FLY PELICAN         (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00    
NIGHT PREACHER Nov03 Oct06 Aug25     (salzman )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
LRL-4   01/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Geisha Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAVILUS Nov30 Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 Aug21 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
  (by ORIENTATE out of MAVIA by ROCK SLIDE)
CALL ANOTHER PLAY Dec21 Oct27 Sep07 Aug04 Jul08 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 126 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
ONCOURTCOMMENTATOR Dec21 Oct27 Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CURLIN'S FOX by CURLIN)
GOLD DIGGING BROAD Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 Sep29 Sep04 (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of BRUSHED BY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
ROYAL WHISPER Dec21 Dec15 Nov02 Aug22 Jul20 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
BOURBON BON BAY Dec21 Nov29 Oct12 Aug29 Jul18 (allard edward )TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SHEZA DISH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
TOO MANY KISSES Dec21 Nov17 Oct06 Sep14 Mar16 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of CASUAL KISS by DEHERE)
 
LRL-5   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK TEMPO Dec10 May06 Jul05 Jun07 May06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
CAJUN DREAM Dec07 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug11 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SCR  SHAPE NOTE Jan09 Dec20 Nov17 Oct19 Sep08 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
KING'S RIVER Dec15 Nov15 Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 (albert lind)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH WARLOCK Dec15 Nov16 Oct12 Sep06 Jul14 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 4.00    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Dec28 Nov29 Nov02 Aug23 Jul20 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 126 6.00    
MONDAY MORNING QB Nov28 Oct11 Sep15 Aug11 Jun30 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 126 2.00 18% 4.50    
ICING Dec07 Nov16 Oct25 Aug11 Jul19 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 20.00    
WHISKEY AND YOU Dec15 Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 Aug11 (peacock r)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISTER AGENT Dec28 Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   01/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jennings Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING WOOZY Dec27 Dec06 Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
HITTHEROADJAK Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Aug31 May31 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR JAKS by NOT FOR LOVE)
BIG BLUE LINE Dec14 Oct11 Sep28 Aug23 Jun29 (walden willia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
  (by ATREIDES out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
CAPTAIN QUINT Jul31 Jul08 Jun07 Apr21 Mar30 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
  (by MOSLER out of GANSETT by JUMP START)
CIRCLE P Dec21 Nov30 Oct17 Sep27 Sep08 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
QUINT'S BREW Jun29 Apr05 Mar02     (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MOSLER out of GANSETT by JUMP START)
WHISKEYINTHEJARO Dec21 Dec01 Oct26 Oct11 Feb07 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of BREAD AND BUTTER by PURE PRIZE)
BRILLIANT ICE Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Aug11 Jul26 (eubanks ann)HAMILTON WESTON 124 10.00 6% 15.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LITTLE ICE PATCH by HOUSEBUSTER)
SPEEDYNESS Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 May18 Apr20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.50 41% 1.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
 
LRL-7   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST What Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPENCERIAN Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Oct03 Sep02 (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CURSIVE by GOLDEN GEAR)
MS. BUCCHERO Nov29 Sep14 Jul28 Jun21 May13 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by BUCCHERO out of GIVE GLORY TO GOD by MUTAKDDIM)
DON'T TELL KELLY Oct24 Oct06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SEVEN DAYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
KANT HURRY LOVE Dec08 Jun23 Mar09 Feb17 Dec09 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 126 1.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
HAPPY CLOUDS Nov23 Oct17 Aug23 Jul28 Jun21 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of TWO TO ONE by YESBYJIMMINY)
ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jan02 Nov22 Nov03 Sep01 Aug03 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
 
LRL-8   01/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fire Plug Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF JERICHO Dec06 Nov01 Sep20 Jul28 Jul08 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN REVIEW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NO EASY DAYS Dec31 Dec14 Nov16 Oct10 Sep07 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BRINGINGDOWN BABEL by ROMAN RULER)
REPO ROCKS Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep21 Aug22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
FREEZE THE FIRE Dec21 Nov30 Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 120 12.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SCENARIO ANALYSIS by EXCHANGE RATE)
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Nov27 Oct19 Aug30 Jul24 Jul05 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  FULL IRISH Dec15 Nov15 Oct05 Feb23 Jan14 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 120 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of TO GIVE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ON THE MARK Dec29 Dec06 Nov03 Oct11 Sep27 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of LADY RUSHMOORE by WILD RUSH)
 
LRL-9   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE HAZEL Jan08 Dec20 Oct07     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 4.50    
HOT BOSS Dec21 Dec08 Nov01     (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
KAYA STAR Nov27 Nov04       (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
SWEET WINE Jan02         (kelly blake)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
VINO PAELLA Nov24 Oct06 Aug25     (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 120 3.50    
SWEET NO NO Nov28         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
STAR VENEZUELAN Jan08 Oct23 Oct04     (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 8.00    
BORN CHARMER         (robb j)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 8.00 8% 11.20    
RAVENEX Nov10 May04       (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.