Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(6/7/9)-(8/2/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/9)-(6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/9)-(8/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9)-(8/2/9/1)-(3/7/8/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/9/1)-(3/7/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/1)-(3/7/8/1/5)-(10/2/1/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/1/5)-(3/7/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/1/5)-(3/7/8/1/5)-(3/7/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/8/1/5)-(10/2/1/4/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/1/5)-(10/2/1/4/6)-(6/7/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (10/2/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/4/6)-(10/2/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/4/6)-(10/2/1/4/6)-(10/2/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/1/4/6)-(6/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/4/6)-(6/7/4/9)-(3/6/9/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/9)-(3/6/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/9)-(3/6/9/4/2)-(2/4/9/10/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/6/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/4/2)-(3/6/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/4/2)-(3/6/9/4/2)-(3/6/9/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/9/4/2)-(2/4/9/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/4/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/10/6)-(2/4/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/10/6)-(2/4/9/10/6)-(2/4/9/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNKLE Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Apr05 Mar15 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
CASTLE OF CORK Dec06 Nov23 Nov15 Sep21 Jun27 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00    
NO CONVERSATION Dec06 Nov27 Nov06 Oct18   (jackson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
GOING TO OMBRA Dec06         (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
YAREAKH Nov27 Oct11 Aug09 Jul18 Jun22 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
ROARK Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
STRIKE THREE Sep14 Aug15       (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-2   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIREDINI Dec27 Dec07       (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of LITTLEFIREFIGHTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  NEAR DARK Jan26         (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of CHASE ME NOW by TIZNOW)
COWGIRL NATION Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Mar27   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  SWAN Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
CORRI FELICE Nov10 Oct20 Sep15 Aug18 Jul05 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE SHOW ONLY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
JUST A RAINBOW Nov22 Nov01 Aug23     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of GRISHAM by GRINDSTONE)
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Nov22 Nov01 Sep06 Aug14 Jul07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CURLIN out of NAKANO TAKEKO by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Nov16 Oct23 Oct09 Sep01 Aug19 (capps steve)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
SENZA FINE Dec14 Nov12 Oct06 Sep10 Aug07 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
 
CT-3   01/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS SEE YA Dec04 Jan11 Dec02 Nov11 Mar25 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
BRD COMPUTING Nov30 Nov15 Oct30     (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 5.00 32% 2.20    
DISCREET DEVIL Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 (rodrigu)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Dec04 Nov13 Oct18 Sep27 Sep21 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
JACK CLOUD Dec13 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Dec20 Nov27 Nov18 Oct19 Oct08 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
SCR  CURB THAT TIGER Dec08 Oct05 Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Dec04 Nov19 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 (clouston edward)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
TAP YOUR HEART Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 Oct14 Oct08 (chapman k)LEON A 122 3.50 7% 12.50    
 
CT-4   01/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MENETES         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HEARTS OF RED by LION HEART)
INFERNO Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 Aug25 Aug01 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HEAVENLY SONG by SEPTIEME CIEL)
DOUBLE SPIRIT Dec14 Nov16 Oct25     (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MRS. MANICOTTI Oct31 Oct07 Sep24     (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
CAYUGA         (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of MEADOW GEM by QUALITY ROAD)
SHE DON'T TELL         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIZA TOO by OLMODAVOR)
FIELD OF ROSES         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FIELD OF FLOWERS by CITY ZIP)
POINT UNLIMITED Oct25 Oct05       (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HOLY SELENA by GHOSTZAPPER)
BUSTIER Dec14 Nov16 Oct25     (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FASHIONABLYAWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
CT-5   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE WITH THE WYN Dec13 Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 Oct19 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
CATALINA CRUZIN Dec18 Dec04 Oct23 Oct07 Aug30 (pecoraro anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Dec28 Dec06 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (leaf rob)RODRIGUEZ L 113 15.00    
MADDIE TEN Dec29 Dec06 Nov29 Jul05 Jun01 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 2.50 6% 15.80    
LIME STAR Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 (conn p)CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 Oct19 Oct10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SISTER SPIRIT Dec06 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug09 (aylor l)MAWING A 122 30.00    
SWEET SENSATION Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 Aug28 Jul24 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
DREAM OF GOLD Dec06 Jun14 May17 Apr26 Mar30 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
10  RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Dec06 Nov09 Aug22 Jul12 Jun13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SHORT OF DINERO Dec04 Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00    
SCR  DETERMINED BLUE Dec28 Nov30 Oct25 Oct12 Sep22 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80    
 
CT-6   01/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COLDEST ONE Dec07         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
GIMMETHATSUGAR Dec06 Nov15       (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 6.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
SCR  BULL RIDER Dec06 Oct25 Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PASCUALA by NICANOR)
SWIFT WATERS Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep13 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
THE HOUND Jan04 Dec06 Nov15     (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TWO TURN TAMMY by JERSEY TOWN)
DIRECT APPEAL Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
BOLD DESERT Dec06 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Sep13 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
RENEGADE RABBIT Nov22 Oct26 Oct05     (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
SAPPHIRUS Dec07 Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep13 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
 
CT-7   01/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID REASON Nov14 Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 Aug03 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
O K SMARTY PANTS Dec06 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
UPSWELL Jun28 Jun07 May09 Apr11 Mar10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
PHANTOM QUEEN Dec06 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Dec06 (cornwel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
CASTLE TOY Dec06 Nov01 Oct24 Sep28 Sep21 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 8.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Dec06 Nov26 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 27% 2.60    
BREAKING RULES Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 Sep20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
FORGOTTEN GIFT Dec13 Nov29 Oct20 Oct12 Sep01 (frock cha)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
MORNIN' BOSS Dec08 Nov19 Oct30 Sep15 Aug18 (clouston edw)LEWIS M 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
10  CRACKALACKING Dec10 Aug08 Jul13 Jun13 May23 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   01/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSALA         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
I'M A COOL QUEEN Dec06 Nov06       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CLIMATE CHANGE Sep12 Aug15       (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
COAL COUNTRY Dec06 Nov15 Nov06     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by JUBA out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
SCR  ZIPADEEDOODA Oct23         (delong ben)WHITACRE B 122 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
PRESHOW HYPE         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
LUNA MARY         (schiano-dicola ra)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
PISTOL PENNY Dec12 Nov02 Oct24 Oct04   (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
COLLECTING ANGELS Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
10  SAUCY BOSS Dec12 Nov20 Nov06     (johnson jamey )REYNOLDS C 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
11  KAYLEE'S FIREBALL         (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
SCR  PEACH PARFAIT         (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  CREED CALLING         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
SCR  POOGIE         (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.