Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/4/8/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/4/8/1/2)-(8/2/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1/2)-(6/4/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1/2)-(6/4/8/1/2)-(6/4/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/8/1/2)-(8/2/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/1/2)-(8/2/5/9)-(8/4/1/9/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/9)-(8/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/9)-(8/2/5/9)-(8/2/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/9)-(8/4/1/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/9)-(8/4/1/9/6)-(8/5/4/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (8/4/1/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/9/6)-(8/4/1/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/9/6)-(8/4/1/9/6)-(8/4/1/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/1/9/6)-(8/5/4/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/9/6)-(8/5/4/3/2)-(6/7/2/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (8/5/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3/2)-(8/5/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3/2)-(8/5/4/3/2)-(8/5/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3/2)-(6/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/3/2)-(6/7/2/1)-(7/3/1/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/1)-(7/3/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/1)-(7/3/1/2/9)-(9/4/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/3/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2/9)-(7/3/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2/9)-(7/3/1/2/9)-(7/3/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2/9)-(9/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/5)-(9/4/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/5)-(9/4/3/7/5)-(9/4/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINEY GHOST Dec11 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 Aug17 (aylor l)MAWING A 122 15.00    
CATCHING STARS Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug22 (reyes r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 6% 17.10    
BESOTTED Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 Jun13 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
SUPER BOURBON Dec13 Nov23 Oct30 Sep27 Sep07 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
THANK YA PETE Nov30 Nov08 Sep28 Sep06 Aug30 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
SCR  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 Jul26 Jul06 (frock )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00    
DREW D'ORO Oct25 Sep01 Aug09 Jul15 Jun13 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GRAND AGAIN Dec01 Nov17 Aug09 Apr18 Mar21 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIT OF BLESSINGS Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 Sep19 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
ODDS OF JOY Nov29 Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 Oct11 (jones e)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
LUZIA Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 Aug22 Jul26 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
HOLY MOAT Nov29 Nov20 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
S S CASINO GIRL Nov29 Jun27 Jun06 Mar27 Mar06 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
MISS ARGENTINA Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 Sep20 Aug16 (gomez a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
ODDS ON MISCHIEF Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Sep20 Aug15 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
BUTTERFLY WORLD Nov29 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
 
CT-3   01/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF LUCK Dec11 Nov06 Oct30 Oct18 Sep26 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
INSIDE RISK Dec14 Dec05 Sep12 Aug17 Aug09 (caison l)MAWING A 122 4.00 8% 11.50    
TALKING TEDDY Oct30 Sep28 Aug15 Jul11 Jun01 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 124 10.00    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Dec11 Oct30 Oct18 Aug15 Aug03 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
JIMMY THE KID Dec14 Nov13 Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Nov20 Oct17 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
KARMA BUS Dec11 Oct30 Oct03 Aug03 Jul11 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50    
LUCAGO Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 Sep06 Aug18 (gotera car)LEON A 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
YABBA DABBA DUDE Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Sep30 (heath geo)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHED UP Nov22 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep21 (bass w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
TIMMY Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep14 Jul05 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
CANDY FOR JUBA Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Aug17 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 4.50 13% 6.60    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Nov01 Oct11 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
TIMO Nov29 Nov08 Oct25 Sep25 Sep03 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 5.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Nov29 Nov06 Oct17 Sep20 Aug17 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 1.80 54% 0.90    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   01/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY PASS Nov29         (groves)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 30.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of CAMPAIGN VOWS by BROKEN VOW)
GAMBLING FEVER Dec13 Jan26 Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
PEDAL TO THE MOON Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
PAINT THE ALLEY         (gomez r)PELTROCHE F 116 12.00 11% 7.90    
  (by LUKES ALLEY out of DEVONSPAINTEDLADY by DEVON DEPUTY)
SLEW THE LION         (perez ernesto)BOCACHICA O 116 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CALLMEALION by LION HEARTED)
DEMBE ZUMA Dec07         (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
CANO'S BABY Jul20 Jul11 Jun07 May03 Apr11 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 124 30.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
SUPER PUNCHER Dec07         (carlisl)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TAVRIDA by CURLIN)
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Nov29 Nov15 Nov07 Sep21 Aug24 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.40    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
 
CT-6   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIANNA QUEEN Dec11 Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 Sep22 (inirio o)STANLEY O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
RIDE THE RAPIDS Dec11 Nov29 Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 (ramos ago)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGE NURSE Nov29 Nov12 Oct07 Sep17 Jul25 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00    
LACE REVOLUTION Dec12 Nov29 Nov09 Nov25 Nov09 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORWARD Dec22 Dec13 Dec06 Nov17 Sep27 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
DIVINE FASHION Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec27 Nov21 Nov05 Oct18 Sep01 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
WATERLOO ROSE Dec12 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.50    
 
CT-7   01/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN PARADE Nov04 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
PERSONABLE Nov20 Sep13 Jun29 May30 Mar27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 6% 16.00    
FANCY CONCHO Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 Oct31 Jul26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
FOOL FOR THE CITY Dec02 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Aug26 (inirio o)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
BUBBA GRUMP Nov22 Oct31 Aug24 Jul19 Jun27 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME Nov21 Nov01 Oct12 Aug24 Aug10 (craig armonte)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
XCELLENT START Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
BOSS E BOOGS Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct12 Aug23 (wilhelm tabi)DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
HURRICANE ALERT Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROCKET APPEAL Dec13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct18 Aug24 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERTURTLE Nov20 Oct25 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Sep17 Aug13 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
MISS ANTIETAM Nov29 Oct09 Sep23 May31 May18 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
BOUNDTOBEOK Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
BEST VIRGINIA Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 Oct04 Sep28 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONGRESS HALL Dec11 Nov17 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 120 30.00    
BRAVO ZULU Dec11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 Jul08 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NURSE RACHETT Dec11 Nov20 Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 50.00    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep05 Dec14 (ramgeet r)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
10  PASS THE CASH Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Sep28 Sep05 (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  GOLDEN HEART Dec08 Nov17 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Sep27 Sep01 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Dec11 Nov29 Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 (walters j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
SCR  NAMI Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Oct05 (sanchez-)RODRIGUEZ L 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.