Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/2/5)-(1/4/6/10/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/4/6/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/4/6/10/9)-(6/7/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/4/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/10/9)-(1/4/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/10/9)-(1/4/6/10/9)-(1/4/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/10/9)-(6/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/10/9)-(6/7/4/2)-(9/6/2/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(9/6/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(5/1/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/6/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/2/3/5)-(5/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/3/5)-(5/1/7/2)-(4/1/3/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(4/1/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/2)-(4/1/3/8/9)-(2/9/4/6/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8/9)-(4/1/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8/9)-(4/1/3/8/9)-(4/1/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/3/8/9)-(2/9/4/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/9/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/6/5)-(2/9/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/6/5)-(2/9/4/6/5)-(2/9/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMQUIST Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Sep02 Jul12 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.50 ★    
2  JMR SPEEDY ESCAPE Dec13 Nov17 Nov08 Oct26 Oct04 (chircop steven)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00    
3  MAT MATTERS Dec18 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  DOUBLE NICKEL Dec18 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 (albright r)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALYRIAN SKY Oct04 Sep19 Aug25 Aug04 Jul18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50    
6  MASK PATROL Nov29 Oct16 Sep17 Aug21 Jul17 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
7  WARRIOR TED Dec18 Dec06 Jul01 Apr09 Mar05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 61% 0.60    
 
PEN-2   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY LAD Dec20 Dec04 Oct30 Oct12 Sep18 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  RAPID RESPONSE Dec04 Sep18 Aug02 Jun26 May24 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  INFAMOUS NONO Dec11 Nov15 Oct30 Oct17 Sep20 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 8.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
5  FIRE DOWN BELOW Nov20 Oct22 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 (albright am)INIRIO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INTER MIAMI Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug28 Jul18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 5.00    
7  MARTINKELLY Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 (albright amy)CORA D 123 6.00    
 
PEN-3   01/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER AND THUNDER Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Aug28 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  TWIXTER Dec06 Nov14 Oct25 Oct07 Sep11 (beattie cody)CORA D 123 12.00    
3  WE DONT NEED ROADS Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Aug30 Aug18 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
4  TWO THIRTY FIVE Dec06 Oct25 Sep20 Aug17 Jun26 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 125 6.00 14% 6.00    
5  LAKE NAKURU Dec20 Dec06 Nov14 Oct30 Sep20 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN Dec18 Sep28 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 (agnew naoise)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 5.00 13% 6.40    
7  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Dec18 Nov21 Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
8  BOOK MARKER Dec04 Nov13 Oct10 Sep09 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 10.00    
9  LORD WINSALOT Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (rodriguez migu)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00 9% 10.10    
10  BRETT'S WORLD Dec18 Nov21 Oct24 Sep20 Aug24 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jul02 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Mar05 (rojas l)LLOYD W 123 4.00    
SCR  LEO AND ROYAL Dec07 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Aug19 (knudsen k)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
 
PEN-4   01/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEATIGER Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 Nov05 Oct09 (loaiza ilmar)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 30.00    
2  MOONSET Sep01 Aug23 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HEY WHAT'S UP Oct19 Oct07 Sep03 Aug19 May28 (rosado ro)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
4  NICO LUCKY Dec12 Oct29 Oct15 Oct03 Sep09 (harting chri)BATISTA A 121 8.00 8% 10.80    
5  COUNT DADDY Dec01 Aug24 Aug01 Jul21 Jul13 (keil c)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
6  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Dec12 Oct19 Sep24 Aug17 Jul24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
7  SAINT TEMPLAR Dec18 Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 14% 6.20    
8  CHUCKA MOON Dec12 Nov15 Oct24 Aug15 Aug02 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
 
PEN-5   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVRIL Dec20 Nov14 Oct23     (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
2  SWEET WINE         (kelly blake)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
3  HEAVEN'S PROMISE         (kelly blake)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  PIN SHOT BABE Dec20         (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
5  TESORO ROSSA Dec12         (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MS. LAOBANNIANG         (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
7  FIFTY NINE FIFTY Dec20 Nov14 Oct23     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
8  SEARCH FOR SILVER Dec20         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00    
9  ROSE OF SHARON Dec11 Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-6   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 Sep12 Aug23 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  TAPORICAL Dec20 Dec11 Nov18 Jul04 May15 (martin f)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SECRET SATURDAY Dec20 Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 Sep21 (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.00    
4  TOWN KISSER Nov27 Nov07 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 5.00    
5  JIGGERY POKERY Dec16 Nov15 Nov04 Jun26 Jun04 (castillo )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
6  MUSIC BOX DANCER Dec18 Dec06 Nov13 Oct25 Aug26 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
7  PHOTO HOP Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 Sep13 Aug24 (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 11% 7.70    
 
PEN-7   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TRAFFIC Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 (stites w)CORA D 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  KITTY TIN TIN Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 Oct09 Sep11 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
3  INDEPENDENT Dec18 Nov20 Oct29 Oct02 Aug21 (castillo )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  RAPID RUBY Dec09 Nov14 Oct23 Oct02 Aug24 (pecoraro anthon)VEGA L 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  MASKED HEROINE Dec04 Jul05 Mar13 Feb14 Jan31 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 121 30.00    
6  ZIFFY BUG Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Oct23 Sep19 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 30.00    
7  PEACE OUT Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct04 (meister willi)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 5.00    
8  MARTINI'S BANK Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 Sep18 Aug22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 5% 17.60    
9  DOWSER Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 Nov01 Aug21 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-8   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA D'AMORE Dec18 Oct27 Oct10 Sep27 Aug21 (bryant do)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
2  ANOTHER PINKY Dec06 Nov22 Nov14 Oct24 Dec14 (sullivan el)INIRIO J 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  FLORALOATS Nov21 Jun26 May29 Sep05 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
4  KENTUCKY REIGN Dec06 Nov06 Oct31 Sep27 Sep16 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 7% 13.60    
5  LEO'S PISCES Dec13 Oct02 May29 Mar15 Feb09 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOLCE VELOCE Dec06 Oct31 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DAKOTA SPRINGS Dec06 Oct31 Sep10 Aug22 Jul10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00    
8  TREASURE PEACE Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Sep02 Jun25 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
9  AFTERNEATH Dec06 Nov11 Nov02 Aug29 Aug15 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.