Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - December 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (2/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/8)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/8)-(2/7/4)-(2/5/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(2/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(2/5/8/7)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/7)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/7)-(5/2/1)-(3/6/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/6/2/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/6/2/10/4)-(14/6/8/2/12) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (3/6/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/10/4)-(3/6/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/10/4)-(3/6/2/10/4)-(3/6/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/2/10/4)-(14/6/8/2/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/10/4)-(14/6/8/2/12)-(2/5/9/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (14/6/8/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/6/8/2/12)-(14/6/8/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/6/8/2/12)-(14/6/8/2/12)-(14/6/8/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/6/8/2/12)-(2/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (14/6/8/2/12)-(2/5/9/3)-(3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/3)-(2/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/3)-(2/5/9/3)-(2/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/9/3)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/3)-(3/5/6)-(7/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HEIGHTS Nov29 Sep08 Jul27 Jul21 Jul04 (serey ma)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
NOT SO HOLY Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Aug10 Jul06 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 1.60 61% 0.60    
GOLDEN AL Dec07 Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 Oct16 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 121 30.00    
SIN PERMISO Nov10 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 Aug15 (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 121 30.00    
WHISKEY ROW Nov30 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 8% 11.40    
LAST SECOND LOUIE Nov29 Oct19 Sep13 Aug18 Jul18 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 126 2.00    
CORONATION TIME Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Aug24 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
SECRET SATURDAY Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 Sep21 Sep13 (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   12/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKERS ROSE GOLD Dec04 Oct26 Oct10 Sep24 Sep10 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 121 12.00    
LOTTIE DENO Nov17 Oct04 Aug31 Aug02 Jun27 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
SCR  ARIEL MOON Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep02 Aug16 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60    
JOYFUL KITTEN Dec06 Oct27 Mar15 Jul13   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 6.00 7% 12.90    
JUST THE THING Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep08 Aug23 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 114 12.00    
DORIS' SLAYING IT Oct17 Sep28 Sep02 Jun02   (cortez e)ALVELO C 126 15.00    
PRINCESS LUCIA Nov28 Nov02 Aug17 Jun22 May31 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 125 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
LRL-3   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDI SUE Dec07 Nov09 Oct16 Oct03 Sep14 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
GOLDEN PHILLY Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 Aug26 Aug02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
MOCHA DIANE Dec01 Oct02 Aug27     (albert li)CARRASCO R 119 20.00    
TIGER FOREVER Nov03 Oct11       (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 122 12.00    
FIRST PEARL Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 Jul13 Jun29 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
GOLDEN AURORA Nov28 Nov10       (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 115 12.00    
REMEMBERING LIZZY Dec01 Oct19 Sep21 Aug25   (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADE Dec07 Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Sep05 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  INSTITUTION Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Sep21   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 3.50    
 
LRL-4   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE GOLD Dec01 Dec09 Dec01 Jul07 Jun10 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEF MOGUL May13 Apr02       (de horacio)TORREALBA JG 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
BERMUDA RUN Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Aug10 Jul12 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 125 4.00    
TRUE FAITH Aug24 Aug10 Jun21 May27 Apr25 (walter)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 6.00    
BUSTINO SANTINO Nov26 Oct28 Sep23 Sep13 Jul31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 40% 1.50    
UNIWINNER Nov15 Oct20 May19 Apr30 Mar24 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 125 3.00    
 
LRL-5   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY OF STRATFORD Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Oct04 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
BAD TEMPER Dec07 Nov08 Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 (perri gina)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 9% 10.20    
BABY SOX Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 (shankle )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Nov29 Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 Aug02 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Dec11 Nov29 Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 (walters john )FUENTES ERICK 115 30.00    
LADY SERENITY Nov15 Oct31 Oct20 Oct05 Sep20 (salzman e)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
OUT OF LUCK Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 (smith jas)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
FAINOR'S FILETS Dec07 Nov29 Jun09 May09 Apr13 (corrales jose)MENA E 122 12.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Nov29 Nov08 Sep27 Sep01 Aug10 (kee will)RODRIGUEZ L 112 30.00    
10  MARLEY'S GHOST Dec08 Nov29 Nov17 Oct20 Sep15 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  BREAKING RULES Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 Sep20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 125 15.00    
12  TRY IT AGAIN Nov07 Sep10 Sep02 Jul28 Jun30 (rodriguez rud)VILLA FAVINHO 119 4.50    
 
LRL-6   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RASCALLY REBEL Dec06 Nov29 Nov10 Oct27 Oct10 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
BORLETTI (IRE) Nov29 Nov15 Oct10 Aug14 Jun23 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
VAGABOND SHOES Mar29 Feb17 Nov24 Nov02 Sep10 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 6.00    
GET LIKE MIKE Dec06 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 122 6.00    
SCR  COUNT DADDY Dec01 Aug24 Aug01 Jul21 Jul13 (keil caitlin)ALVELO C 118 30.00    
SHAPE NOTE Nov17 Oct19 Sep08 Aug03 Jul05 (dilodovico da)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 5.00 13% 6.80    
HAZEDNCONFUSED Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Jul20 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 30.00    
MINISTER FOR MAGIC Dec06 Nov17 Nov10 Oct13 Sep20 (walter)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
MISTER AGENT Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep20 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 4.00    
10  BOX N BEN Nov29 Nov17 Sep13 Aug31 Aug11 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE FISH Nov17 Sep29 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00    
12  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 (davis s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  WIN NO JOKE Dec13 Dec01 Nov03 Oct17 Sep27 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 119 6.00    
14  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Dec13 Nov15 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 125 6.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER May05 Jan13 Nov11 Aug31 Jul22 (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00    
SCR  DANCE FOR GREEN Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep20 Aug17 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 30.00    
 
LRL-7   12/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD ON FIRE Dec01 Nov15 Oct25     (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
BRIGHT CHARGER Dec01 Nov15 Oct30 Oct10 Sep29 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
BREWMASTER Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 Sep14 Aug03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ENABLER Dec01 May05       (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
SPEZIA'S SON         (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MIDNIGHT KOA Dec11 Nov27 Oct26 Sep19   (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
SCR  FIST FIGHTING FRED         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
MIKES MO TOWN Nov27 Oct30 Oct24 Oct05   (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 122 12.00    
VERNOR'S JUNCTION Nov13 Oct27 Aug31     (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00 11% 7.70    
 
LRL-8   12/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARTED MAP Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 (chircop steven)GOMEZ KEVIN 115 8.00    
NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Nov17 Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Jul24 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.50    
LIGHTNING BOSS Nov30         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 61% 0.70    
SET FOR LIFE Dec01 Nov15 Oct17 Oct02 Jun15 (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
ALL THE HARDWAYS Nov28 Oct25 Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.00 10% 8.80    
DATS MR. TAP Nov28 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14   (singh somraj)MENA E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIL SEBASTIAN Nov28 Oct12 Sep28 Aug25   (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 119 3.50    
 
LRL-9   12/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEARLY A LADY Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 (wilson gregor)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 5.00    
SCR  CUNDI Nov17 Nov03 Jul06 May27 Apr26 (corral)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 20.00    
STORM CREED Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 (parram de)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00    
TIA MAYIN Nov17 Oct25 Oct12 Aug16 Aug01 (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 121 30.00    
TROUBLED DREAMS Nov17 Nov08 Apr04 Mar24 Mar02 (mckenzie danie)PEREZ XAVIER 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
LACHICAFORTEQUILA Dec07 Nov28 Nov17 Oct19 Sep14 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 125 1.40 18% 4.50    
A LOTTA MOXIE Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Jul20 Jun14 (keefe timothy )TORREALBA JG 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
LYSTRA Dec07 Nov16       (anderson p)CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00 5% 18.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.