Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - December 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/6)-(8/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/6)-(8/4/3/2)-(4/8/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/2)-(4/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/2)-(4/8/2/1)-(7/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/1)-(7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/1)-(7/6/4)-(6/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(6/2/3/5)-(4/1/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(4/1/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(4/1/7/8/10)-(1/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8/10)-(4/1/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8/10)-(4/1/7/8/10)-(4/1/7/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/7/8/10)-(1/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/8/10)-(1/8/7/6)-(3/6/1/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/6)-(3/6/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/6)-(3/6/1/4/5)-(4/7/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/6/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4/5)-(3/6/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4/5)-(3/6/1/4/5)-(3/6/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4/5)-(4/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/1)-(4/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/1)-(4/7/9/1)-(4/7/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT TODDY Nov16 Jun28 Jun07 Mar23 Mar01 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug17 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
RACING HOT LINE Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Jul19 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
TIME TO CHOOSE Nov06 Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug17 (reyes d)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPYDYLEGS Nov16 Oct30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun08 (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 4.00    
SCARE DEM Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 Aug24 Jul20 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
SHOOT THE BREEZE Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
GREATANDGOOD Nov16 Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   12/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER PUNCHER         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TAVRIDA by CURLIN)
JUBA'S TAJ         (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of FORINT by TOUCH GOLD)
THE COLDEST ONE         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
BLESSINGS BESTOWED Nov15 Oct26       (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
SAPPHIRUS Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep13   (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
SCR  JUST A WIZARD         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
YANKEE DOODLE KID         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.50    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MAGIC FILLSTHE AIR by MORE THAN READY)
T REX UNION Nov15 Oct25 Oct05     (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MS. T REX by TWIRLING CANDY)
DEMBE ZUMA         (carlisle )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
 
CT-3   12/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTHA'S HEART Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug09 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PHAT CHANCE FANCY Nov15 Oct31 Jul21 Feb21 Feb02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA J 122 8.00 24% 3.30    
EVERYDAYISAGIFT Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 (aylor natash)LEWIS M 120 30.00    
WHISKEY WILD Nov16 Oct30 Sep21 Jul25 Jul11 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 1.40 24% 3.10    
BALI HAI Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 (scott alf)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Nov29 Nov09 Oct19 Oct03 Sep26 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 6.00    
KAPADOKYA Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
BLUE TRILLION Nov13 Oct03 Sep08 Aug17 Jul14 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
CT-4   12/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMYS GUNSMOKE Oct19 Sep27 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 8.00    
MO MOSCATO Nov08 Oct10 Aug30 Jul12 Jun13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
MR. BUSTA Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
BRISTOL CHANNEL Nov20 Nov06 Nov29 Nov03 Oct28 (covello andr)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAMMER Jul05 May18 May04 Feb23 Feb14 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
UNCLE CHINITO Nov07 Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
PINK DINGHY Nov20 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
CT-5   12/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OZONE Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun29 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Nov02 Aug31 Jul19 Jun15 Jun02 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 8% 11.30    
NEW YORK PANTHER Nov10 Oct11 Sep21 Aug31 Aug01 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEO AND ROYAL Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Aug19 Jul22 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 10.00    
SHARP SHOT Nov22 Nov02 Sep20 Jul10 Jun13 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Nov06 Oct10 Sep02 Aug22 Jul19 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 0.60 61% 0.60    
INDIMAAJ Oct31 Sep21 Aug22 Jul19 Jul06 (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   12/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERNIGHT EXPRESS Nov09 Oct23 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  POINT UNLIMITED Oct25 Oct05       (haynes er)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
NEED A MIRACLE Nov09 Sep21 Aug23     (robb gina)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
SANDI SUE Nov09 Oct16 Oct03 Sep14   (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00 41% 1.40    
BELLA CREED Nov08 Oct16 Oct09     (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 122 12.00    
WINE SNOB Nov03 Oct16       (bailon nesv)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 15.00    
ARYAAM Sep26 Aug26       (ramgeet)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 9% 10.00    
MAKING MISCHIEF Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug14 Jul31 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOONSHINE MAMA Oct24 Oct05 Sep13     (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
10  SISTER STARDUST Nov16 Oct25       (carson laur)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL GRUMPY Nov20 Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
PALACIO Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 (tobin l)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 (venham lyn)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
SYMPTOMATIC Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 Sep12 Aug24 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
DREAM STREET ROSE Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Sep01 Aug22 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Nov17 Oct12 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAALA Jun23 May30 Feb28 Jan04 Nov29 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
HERE'S A QUARTER Nov06 Sep28 Aug17 Jul16 Jun23 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00 9% 10.10    
 
CT-8   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC WARRIOR Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Aug22 Jul12 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
RADAR ALERT Nov23 Sep11 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
GREEN BEANS Nov10 Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 Jul25 (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
BLOOD BROTHER Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 Jul04 Jun16 (viands stace)LEWIS M 120 10.00 6% 15.40    
CHASENJOHNATHAN Nov06 Sep22 Aug26 Jun03 Apr27 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
STOP BEING GREEDY May18 Apr30 Apr09 Mar08 Feb17 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  TOWN HOT Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 50.00    
HOLD UP Oct31 Sep14 Jul06     (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
GOLDEN AL Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00    
10  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Nov21 Oct05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
 
CT-9   12/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LADY IN RED Nov05 Sep18 Aug15 Jun18 Feb21 (harting chri)LEWIS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN RIVER Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 Aug10 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
HEY MACARENA Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 Jul20 (pennella m)CRUZ KELVIN 124 30.00    
BIG BOLT Nov23 Nov16 Oct10 Sep12 Aug31 (smith c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 Sep04 Aug14 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 20.00    
FIREBOLT Oct24 Oct07 Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 12.00    
DAWN'S CREED Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
TANGERINEGINGER Nov16 Oct27 Oct19 Sep27   (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 0.60    
BOUNTY KILLAH Sep04 Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Nov17 (richards marvin)GILPIN SEAN 124 10.00 6% 14.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.