Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(2/4/6)-(6/3/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/3/1/8)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/8)-(2/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/8)-(2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2/4)-(5/8/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(5/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(5/8/7/6)-(3/2/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/6)-(3/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/6)-(3/2/8/1)-(6/8/5/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/1)-(3/2/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/1)-(3/2/8/6/1)-(3/2/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/1)-(6/8/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/8/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/10/1)-(6/8/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/10/1)-(6/8/5/10/1)-(6/8/5/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Nov06 Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Mar29 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 124 15.00    
SCR  BLAZE FOR DAZE Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 (binning matt)LEWIS M 122 3.00    
3  YAREAKH Oct11 Aug09 Jul18 Jun22 Apr25 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  JUNE BELLE Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 2.50    
5  NO CONVERSATION Nov06 Oct18       (jackson a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00 19% 4.20    
6  COLONIAL ROAD Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 (campbell larry )GILPIN SEAN 122 15.00    
7  I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM Nov06 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Mar29 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
CT-2   11/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST WEEKEND Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep01 Aug23 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00    
2  OVERLY CRITICAL Nov14 Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 Sep01 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  JOHN HALL Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
4  STOMPING MOON Oct22 Sep23 Sep01 Aug15 Jul18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  THE KHOZAN ONE Oct10 Oct03 Aug16 Feb21 Jan13 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 115 2.00    
6  FLY FLY AWAY Nov15 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEADS OR TAILS Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug10 Jul06 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00    
 
CT-3   11/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MO GEE Oct26         (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of QUEEN OF THE LAKE by SALT LAKE)
2  MIKES MO TOWN Oct30 Oct24 Oct05     (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of LETSHOOTPOOL by FREUD)
3  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  FINAL OFFER Nov09 Oct18       (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 115 5.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of JUST SAY GOODBYE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  NO TIME TO BOOGIE Oct26         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  MIDNIGHT KOA Oct26 Sep19       (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  BIGTONTEN Nov11         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of MUNJAZAAT by DAAHER)
8  ROCKET SCIENCE Jul20         (gillespie ryan )BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LAURA'S MOON by MIGRATING MOON)
 
CT-4   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA DIRTY Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 Jun07 May04 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  QUEEN NEFERTARI Nov07 Sep21 Aug22 Jul04 Jun13 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  PAMZ PALACE Nov09 Aug24 Jul17 Jun14 Jun01 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 110 50.00    
4  BORNFORGREATNESS Nov07 Jul06 Jun30 Jun08 May18 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00    
5  MINIME Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50    
6  HONEY PLEASE Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug16 Jul25 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
7  ITALIAN WAR CRY Oct31 Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
CT-5   11/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUP'S TO TAKE Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Aug24 Jul19 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
2  Y'ZIN UP Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 Aug25 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
3  NAY'S ONLY ONE Oct25 Oct03       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
4  JUST CALL ME AL Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Feb02 Jan11 (cromer leslie)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 7% 12.80    
5  SEA OF TRANQUILITY Nov02 Jul13 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.40 12% 7.00    
6  GETTIN SPICY Nov16 Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
7  COURT TUDOR Nov02 Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr25 (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00    
8  GOGO GADGET Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Jun22 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 121 20.00    
 
CT-6   11/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JORDAN Oct17 Mar27 Mar13 Jan31 Dec02 (carson )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
2  MON GATEAU Nov02 Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 Sep01 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
3  ON THE COME UP Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.60    
4  TIZAFASTBULLET Nov07 Oct19 Oct03 Jul13 May31 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
5  STARLITE WALKER Sep19 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 May23 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 52% 0.90    
6  EL DE CHIREL Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KOOL KATHMANDU Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 (albright amy)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 7% 13.20    
8  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Nov07 Oct17 Sep26 Jul06 Jun20 (brown keith )LEWIS M 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
 
CT-7   11/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARSHALL PEANUT Nov07 Sep27 Aug17 Jul20 Jun28 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HUB Oct22 Sep24 Jun02 May09 Apr27 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
3  FURREAL Oct30 Oct10 Sep13 Aug15 Jul04 (curtis larry )LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 62% 0.60    
4  MY HANDSOME MAN Nov14 Jul25 Jul13 Jun20 Jun07 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 30.00    
5  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Oct31 Sep12 Aug29 May18 Apr12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50    
6  LORD OF MISCHIEF Nov04 Oct25 Oct10 Sep22 Aug31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 ★    
7  CASSIUS Nov16 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
8  LITTLE ROO ROO Nov07 Oct12 Sep25 Aug23 Aug11 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  STEAL THE CASH Sep03 Jul01 Jun10 May18 Apr08 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   11/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Aug01 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCOTTO Nov10 Oct13 Oct03 Jun16 Jun01 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
3  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 May12 Apr26 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 15.00    
4  MY BUDDY DUANE Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 Aug24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
5  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 Aug01 Jun28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
6  VALHALLA'S PALACE Nov08 Nov01 Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  LET'S EAT Nov06 Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 Jul04 (gillespie ryan )GILPIN SEAN 122 30.00    
8  RUN FOR REAGAN Nov08 Sep27 Aug16 Jul05 Apr19 (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 17% 4.80    
9  STRONG LIL KOKORO Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 Jun03 May10 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
10  MOON FALL Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 Aug17 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.