Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/3/5)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/2/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/3/4)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/2/4)-(6/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON O' SANPETE Nov02 Sep01 Aug08     (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00    
2  RINGTONE Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50    
3  FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Nov11 Sep24 Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 1.20 38% 1.60    
4  HEATINTHECAPITAL         (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  SEA OF INDY Oct05 Sep15 Sep08 Apr27 Mar15 (gallegos ramon )CORBETT W 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   11/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRITIST Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (wallace jer)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 1.40 24% 3.20    
2  SANGER Oct20 Aug30 Aug08 Apr28 Apr05 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50    
3  MY CAIRO KID Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  LEVON Oct18 Sep13 Dec26 Dec03 Oct27 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00    
5  A LOT OF VERVE Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 Jul12 Jun29 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-4   11/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS CHARM Oct20 Sep28 Aug02     (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 1.80    
2  MY MOTORHOME Sep13 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CY'S SILKSTOCKING Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 May01 Apr17 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
4  WHAT A JOKE Nov13 Aug24       (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
5  PURR TIGER Nov13 Sep26 Sep01 Aug24 Aug15 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
6  TREASURE OF JEWELS Oct19 Sep29       (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIAN Sep22 Jun09 May18 May05 Apr18 (christian)JENSEN P 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  HEY BARMAID Sep01 Aug25 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
3  SPRINKLES Nov12 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 Jun08 (matt l)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  ASK ALICE Nov11 Oct14 Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT LAVA CAKE Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 (silva-martinez)REYES R 124 2.00    
6  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Oct20 Oct14 Sep02 Aug17 Aug09 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMARETTO DI AMORE Sep12 Sep01 Aug15 Jul14 Jun29 (kereluk edward)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
2  DON'T TELL HYDEE Nov12 Sep15 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  ANYBODY'S CHOICE Aug30 Oct20 Aug27 Jul23 Jun18 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
4  ANNA B Sep28 Aug23 Jun15 Apr04 Mar22 (rojero c)REYES R 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Sep08 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 May25 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.80 35% 1.80    
6  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Nov12 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 Aug10 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN LA GOLD Oct07 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23   (velasquez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONGOLIAN SPRING Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 6% 16.60    
3  YANKEE HUMOR Sep26 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  GOLD EXPRESS Oct23 Oct13 Sep25 Sep07 Aug16 (gleason m)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
SCR  DIAMOND RAPPER Oct24 Oct16 Sep05 May01   (fournier )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
6  SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Nov11 Aug25 Jun28 May25 Apr28 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.60 49% 1.00    
7  APLOMBADO Oct14 Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BONITA DIXIE Nov11 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May02 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
2  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Nov11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
3  LAKER JET Nov11 Oct06 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 (bean robe)JENSEN P 124 4.50    
4  TIZ A TIGER Nov12 Sep08 Aug23 Aug03 Jun08 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 124 5.00    
5  MISS ACCELERATE Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Jul20 Jun22 (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
6  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Sep23 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Jun12 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  CARLA'S HONOR Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 (krasner cin)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.