Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/5/1)-(6/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/3/5)-(1/4/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/6)-(3/5/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/5/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2/6)-(1/5/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2/6)-(1/5/7/2/6)-(1/5/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2/6)-(3/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2/6)-(3/5/9/4)-(6/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-6   WIN (3/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/9/4)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/4)-(6/1/4)-(2/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/3/4/1)-(3/9/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1)-(3/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   11/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOYS OF SUMMER         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 69% 0.40    
2  TOADY HOPPER Oct31 Oct16 Oct04 Sep13 Aug31 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50 ★    
3  HARRISON C Oct16 Aug20 Jul03 May07 Apr23 (dotolo david)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOPPERTULLIO Oct22 Oct14 Sep25 Sep09 Jul11 (mosco robert)RANGEL JOEZER 122 3.50    
5  MARINE PATROL Nov02 Oct16 Oct08 Aug15 Apr17 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00    
6  ROSSINGTON Oct16 Sep23 Aug28 Jul04 Jun17 (linder louis )RIVERA D 122 3.00 ★    
7  CAUTELOSO Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Jul24 Jun18 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 120 6.00    
 
PRX-2   11/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SQUAD Oct29 Oct02 Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 (lake scott )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  VILLANITO Oct28 Sep16 Aug16 Jun04 May21 (padilla este)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  BOINTHEBACK Oct29 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (lake sc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00    
4  MENDELSFLY Oct29 Sep20 Aug28 Jun26 May28 (velazquez d)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 10.00    
5  SURFBOARD Oct29 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (flores-cob)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  KHOPESH Oct28 Sep16 Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 (guerrero m)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 3.00    
 
PRX-3   11/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEY GIRL Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 (martine)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.00    
2  MO TOWN ANNIE Oct28 Oct09 Aug28 Jul24 Jun15 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
3  AMALFI LADY Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Jul24 Jun26 (christman ki)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 7% 13.80    
4  SIRENETTA Nov04 Oct23 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 (gallimore trevo)BOWMAN ADAM 122 2.50    
5  CONNELMAURA Oct28 Oct18 Oct05 Sep23 Sep04 (solis jacinto)MOYA F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIAM'S KISS Oct28 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 (rosado roberto)AGUILAR JEAN 117 1.80 68% 0.50    
 
PRX-4   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOTTED BULL Nov02 Sep07 Aug16 Jul07 Jun01 (serey juan)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  ALMOND CIDER Oct31 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul21 (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00    
3  MARATHONER Oct25 Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul03 (montoya marya)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
4  LOOKIN' SUPER Oct22 Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 Jul27 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  MUNDO MIX Oct28 Oct17 Sep25 Sep15 Aug24 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
6  PYLON Nov05 Oct16 Sep30 Sep18 Aug04 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 2.50    
7  CAPTAIN CHAZZ Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 (mercedes pedro)AGUILAR JEAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   11/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLLIEMEISTER Oct22 Sep30 Jul23 Apr06 Feb23 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.50 59% 0.70    
2  CRAFTY DON Oct25 Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WIZARD SERRAT Oct29 Oct07 Sep11 Aug27 Jul01 (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
4  CATCH MY VIBE Oct22 Oct08 Sep09 Aug28 Apr22 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
5  WHISKEY PRIZE Oct08 Sep11 Aug21 Jun24 Jun03 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.50 6% 15.40    
6  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Oct29 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Aug01 (tapsas ilias)OTERO AAROM 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JEBOLOGIST Oct28 Jul24 Jul17 Jul08 Jun17 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLDEN WILDCAT Oct14 Sep09 Jun18 Jun04 Apr15 (padill)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50    
9  WE READY Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Jul24 (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00    
 
PRX-6   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEY Nov02 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 Sep09 (betancourt )DE KEMICH 117 20.00    
2  WARRIOR'S VOW Nov02 Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 Jul01 (penaloza mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
3  NUEDORF Oct21 Sep25 Sep09 Aug30 Aug19 (padilla hugo)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  MAGICAL JAIME Oct21 Sep04 Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 (soto c)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  RABBIT Nov02 Oct21 Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
6  TOUGH WORKOUT Nov02 Oct21 Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 (lake sc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00    
SCR  FACTOR U AND ME IN Sep26 Aug23 Jul26 Jul10 Jun25 (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 119 3.50    
8  SO CLOSE SO FAR Jun18 May21 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 (brown r)AGUILAR JEAN 114 4.00    
9  SCAMP WALKER Oct31 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (padilla este)BURKE JERMAINE 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
PRX-7   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICOLOUR Oct28 Oct16 Sep18 Aug10 Jul15 (kirby t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  CARRY GRANT Oct17 Oct08 Aug31 Jun25 Jun03 (nicholso)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ARSENIC AND LACE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
3  ATROCIOUS Oct28 Aug24 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
4  LECANTO Oct28 Oct05 Aug31 Aug25 Aug10 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
5  ST PETE'S PASSION Oct17 Sep25 Aug10 Jun29   (martin w)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PASSION POINT by POINT GIVEN)
6  HARBOUR BRIDGE Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 Jul28 Dec16 (hetrick kr)RIVERA R 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
 
PRX-8   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTSKARI Oct05 Sep21 Aug10 Jul05 Jun24 (gonzalez cla)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECURED LANDING Nov01 Sep02 Jun18 May27 Apr01 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  PRINCE OF CHILL Oct22 Oct14 Sep18 Aug26 Aug01 (padilla esteban)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  TRAFFIC MASTER Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 Jul23 Jun26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  PATRIARCHAL Oct16 Oct01 Sep18 Aug18 Jun20 (padilla e)VARGAS A 122 4.50    
6  ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Oct28 Oct16 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (jones c)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
7  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Oct16 Sep16 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 (tzortzakis e)AGUILAR JEAN 115 8.00    
8  NONEEDTOWORRY Oct28 Sep24 Sep02 Jun26 May14 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 15.00    
 
PRX-9   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO DREAMS Oct14 Sep30 Aug24 Jul27 Jul09 (chacon gusta)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Oct14 Sep10 Jul23 Jun24 May27 (gonzalez-)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHELSEA WALL Oct16 Sep12 Aug19 Jun20 May25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 61% 0.60    
4  MENDED WE STAND Oct09 Jul02 Jun17 May14 Apr23 (lake scot)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
5  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 Jun04 Apr30 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
SCR  TURN ON THE CHARM Jul23 Jun20 May21 Apr22 Apr10 (betancourt eli)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 5.00    
SCR  MISS M M Oct29 Sep28 Aug30 Jul13 Apr12 (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00    
8  IFIHADACHANCE May23 Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.00    
9  VALIANT MAJESTY Oct15 Sep04 Aug20 Aug01 Jul02 (soto- martine)SILVERA RUBEN 125 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.