Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/6)-(4/8/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/6)-(4/8/9/3/5)-(2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/8/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/3/5)-(4/8/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/3/5)-(4/8/9/3/5)-(4/8/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/9/3/5)-(2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/3/5)-(2/1/3)-(8/9/7/5/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(8/9/7/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(8/9/7/5/1)-(9/6/3/8/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/9/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/5/1)-(8/9/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/5/1)-(8/9/7/5/1)-(8/9/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/5/1)-(9/6/3/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/5/1)-(9/6/3/8/2)-(7/6/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (9/6/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/8/2)-(9/6/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/8/2)-(9/6/3/8/2)-(9/6/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/3/8/2)-(7/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/8/2)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/4/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/5)-(7/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(7/4/1/8)-(2/5/4/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/8)-(2/5/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/5/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6/8)-(2/5/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6/8)-(2/5/4/6/8)-(2/5/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED TOUGH Jul26 Jun13 Apr27 Apr13 Dec01 (ledet erne)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
SPRY CHARLIE Aug23 Jul19 Jul05 Mar03 Oct07 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALL SAINTS Oct26 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00    
WILLIAM GUSTAVO Aug23 Aug09 Jun19 Nov18 Aug10 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 6.00    
DADDY'S FINEST Oct26 Aug22 Aug01 Jun13 May02 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 4.50    
ZAPAWAY Oct10 Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 May28 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
PINEHURST (IRE) Sep16 Aug01 Jun14 May18 Apr26 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
TRIPLE RED ACES Oct26 Oct12 Sep16 Aug23 Aug14 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
DED-2   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTAR GIRL Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul14 Jun16 (litfin vero)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00    
COSTA LADY Oct17 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
DR. BOO Oct18 Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOOTOO TOURIST Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 (wong jonat)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 2.50 54% 0.90    
GIANT TUDE Oct17 Sep09 Jul26 Jun07 May23 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MRS. MACOMBER Sep26 Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 119 5.00    
CHARMING KAT Aug23 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 May15 (flugence henry)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
TAP IRON FIST Oct12 May01 Apr06 Mar21 Feb09 (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
CRAFTROOM Oct17 Sep09 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 3.50 5% 18.00    
 
DED-3   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID DEELITE         (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of KENZIE'S A DEELITE by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS May23 Apr25 Mar08 Jan25 Jan04 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
MR PAYROLL         (ali an)VARGAS P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of FOREIGN GIRL by RUN PRODUCTION)
MAJESTIC PALACE Oct11 Aug15 Jul25 Jan05 Dec09 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MAJESTIC FANTASY by CAHILL ROAD)
COUNTRY HUMOR         (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 117 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of VEIL OF TEARS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
NAME THE TIME         (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 124 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of AQUALANE SHORES by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
DED-4   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jun29 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUCHO MARVIN Oct12 Aug02 Jul06 May18 May01 (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
UPTOWN SOCIAL Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jun26 Jun01 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
HALF OURS N STORMY Oct16 Aug03 Jul19 May15 Apr19 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
ONE PUTT RICHIE Oct12 Sep17 Sep03 Aug25 Aug13 (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOVER BOY Sep21 Sep06 Aug19 Jul27 Jun21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
HOLY BAYOU Oct12 Aug23 Jul30 May31 May06 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 5% 18.00    
COROT Oct16 Jun09 May25 May09 Apr13 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 59% 0.70    
CAZADERO Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 Jun21 May09 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
10  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Aug23 Jul18 Jun27 May17 Mar16 (cano juan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 3.00    
SCR  HOSTILE AFLEET Oct23 Oct12 Jun16 May10 Apr18 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.00    
 
DED-5   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELUSIVE D'ORO Aug09 Jul20 Jun21 Jun16 Jun02 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 6.00    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Sep26 Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 Jun10 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
DOCTOR LEO Jul20 Jun08 Apr24 Feb03 Dec20 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00 12% 7.00    
MR B QUIET Oct19 Sep09 Aug26 Jul12 Jul03 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
FAST VERDICT Oct19 Sep23 Sep11 Aug19 Jul23 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Aug16 Jun17 Jun03 May22 Apr26 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
BIG BROTHER Oct12 Sep26 Sep09 Aug21 Jun02 (bryant george)FUSILIER C 124 20.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Oct18 Sep27 Sep15 Aug24 Aug02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 12% 7.30    
BODE'S LIGHT Oct19 Aug09 Jul06 Apr18 Mar06 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 124 3.00 22% 3.70    
10  BARAHIN Jul27 Jun28 Jun06 May22 May02 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  FAHAN Oct19 Jul06 Jun15 May22 May03 (noel dane)BIRZER E 124 6.00    
SCR  HANKS Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 May17 May03 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 124 2.50    
 
DED-6   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Sep11 Aug08 Jul07 Jun15 Mar20 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 2.50    
CALL ME Q Sep22 Aug24 Aug05 Jun03 May13 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
DANCIN WITH ANGELS Sep11 Aug11 Jun21 Mar22 Oct13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.00    
ATRAS Sep25 Jul12 Jun29 May27 May11 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Aug15 Jul20 Mar03 Feb08 Jan04 (romero mark)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAGICAL MARK Oct12 Jun14 May03 Feb02 Dec01 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
DOUBLE BARREL MAN Jun07 May10 Apr13 Mar14 Feb03 (castillo ri)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
DED-7   11/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE SLEEP Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 (robbins ray)POMPELL L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAN CHICO Oct19 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May09 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
LIVE AFFAIR Oct25 Jul16 Jun25 Jun01 May04 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
PITCH AND RUN Oct25 May04 Feb25 Jan04 Dec14 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Oct23 Sep16 Sep04 Aug17 Jul25 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50    
AVERY'S GEM Oct10 Sep10 Aug17 Jul19 Jun21 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00    
TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 May09 (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
JOSEPH H Jul05 Jun21 May02 Apr11 Feb25 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS GYPSY Sep26 Sep04 Aug12     (gomez rafael )LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
KOKOMO STARLET Oct10 Sep16 Aug26 Apr04 Mar03 (jackson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  DISCREET DEAL Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 May06 (bruno j)PEREZ CARLOS 114 20.00    
SASSY SPRY Jan27 Sep12 Sep02 Jul21 Feb22 (thomas lee)THORNTON G 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
BIG BLUE ANGEL Sep03 Aug16       (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
DIAMOND COUNTRY Oct17 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 (thompson k)RAMIREZ JR 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAUCY GEM Aug16 Jul27 Jun22 Jun06 May16 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Aug16 Jul25 Jun22 Jun06 May24 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAGICAL DEAL Jun29 May17 May04 Feb23   (segura kearney)STOKES J 119 15.00    
10  SPECIAL FEATURE Oct10 Aug16       (averett ronni)VARGAS P 119 12.00    
SCR  COUNTRY GEM         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 10.00    
SCR  DOLLY'S HARBOR May22         (bernard john)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.