Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Tuesday - October 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (5/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/3)-(10/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/3)-(10/4/5/3)-(4/1/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (10/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/3)-(10/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/3)-(10/4/5/3)-(10/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4/5/3)-(4/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/3)-(4/1/8/5)-(10/3/4/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5)-(10/3/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/5)-(10/3/4/5/7)-(1/6/2/3/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (10/3/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/5/7)-(10/3/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/5/7)-(10/3/4/5/7)-(10/3/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/4/5/7)-(1/6/2/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/4/5/7)-(1/6/2/3/4)-(10/3/2/5/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-5   WIN (1/6/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3/4)-(1/6/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3/4)-(1/6/2/3/4)-(1/6/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3/4)-(10/3/2/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3/4)-(10/3/2/5/1)-(9/8/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-6   WIN (10/3/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/5/1)-(10/3/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/5/1)-(10/3/2/5/1)-(10/3/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/2/5/1)-(9/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/5/1)-(9/8/3)-(4/1/3/2/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-7   WIN (9/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/3)-(9/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/3)-(9/8/3)-(9/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/3)-(4/1/3/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/1/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2/8)-(4/1/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2/8)-(4/1/3/2/8)-(4/1/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH'S COURT Aug15 Jul18 Jun13 May10 Apr26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  IMMA MADI TUE Sep16 Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 May30 (ney john)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Sep03 Aug14 Jun28 Jun08 Mar12 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NATURALBORNSENDER Sep18 Aug14 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
MISS ST. CLAIRE Nov08 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 May19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
HOT GOLDEN GIRL Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun08 Mar08 (prejean raymond)STOKES J 120 10.00    
SHEZA HOT STORM Aug16 Jul06 Jun15 Apr10 Feb23 (woodley ca)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Jun20 Apr13 Jan11 Nov25 Nov02 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M ALL MIXED UP Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
10  RAISE THE ALARM Oct11 Aug10 Jun27 Apr10 Feb21 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00    
 
DED-2   10/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKABOUT Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May04 (broussard j)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00    
SCR  TENSAS LUCY Aug01 Jun15 May24 Mar24 Mar02 (gabriel terr)MURRAY M 115 3.00    
THE PRETTY SISTER Aug10 Jul04 Jun20 May16   (woodley j)ROSIER R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
JILLY'S WEST Aug01 May17 Apr25 Apr06 Mar15 (alberto an)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 20% 3.90    
YOU HAVE NO IDEA Sep20 Sep06 Aug12 Jul14 Jun29 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  CABO COWGIRL May29 Jan26 Dec29 Jun11   (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 20.00    
BABY JANE Aug16 Jul25 Jul05 May23 May01 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
TAKE HER AWAY Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Jun06 May18 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 115 12.00    
MOION Aug01 Jul09 May31 May22 May01 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.50    
10  DIAMOND DEAL Aug17 Jul20 Dec31 Nov17 Oct13 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
DED-3   10/29/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXINGTON RIVER Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
BRANDON'S BEST Sep23 Sep04       (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
HALF GUILTY Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 Feb08 Jan13 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 4.00    
LEROY LOU         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 124 8.00 46% 1.20    
LOUISIANA BARGAIN Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BERNDT MARSHMALLOW Sep16 Sep04       (kanhai joseph)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
ASTRONEER Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Sep03   (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00    
WITCHOLOGY Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05   (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00 7% 13.00    
TWICE AS SASSI Jun21 May25       (thomas lee)MAGNON H 122 20.00    
SCR  BLUME Sep23 Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 Feb10 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00    
SCR  ZONG'S FAVOR Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 Jul02 May22 (shamsie )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
DED-4   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Aug09 Jun29 May18 Apr19 Apr05 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
CABRO TORO Sep18 Aug07 Jul02 Jun05 Jan18 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00    
INSIGNIS Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 May11 Jan12 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 5.00 11% 8.30    
LIFE ON THE NILE Jul31 Jun10 May18 Apr26 Apr05 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
ELLS May22 May09 Apr25 Mar07 Feb09 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 3.50 8% 12.00    
GOBOT Sep17 Aug07 Jun05 Mar20 Feb10 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 112 8.00    
PLAY MASTER Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May17 Mar06 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKALL Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 (melancon donal)PEREZ CARLOS 115 12.00    
JIMMIE'S HALO Sep18 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 117 20.00    
10  GHOST COWBOY Sep10 Aug13 Jun22 Jun14 May09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Sep18 Aug14 Jun29 Jun07 May18 (richard russell)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC WARRIOR Sep17 Aug21 Jul29 May13 May04 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
 
DED-5   10/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CHERYL'S SONG Aug16 Jul12 Jun22 May29 May04 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of ZE LADE by ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE)
MISS DEALORITY Aug16 Jul12       (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.50 8% 11.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of MISS DEALBREAKER by LYDGATE)
LASSIE BEE Aug24         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LASSIE OF MINE by MINESHAFT)
CONGRATULERA Jul20 Jun22       (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PACHANGERA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
C. F. TINNY DEAL         (ali a)EDISON JOCELYN 117 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of BELLAMY ROADSTER by BELLAMY ROAD)
OCEAN JET Aug16 Jun29 Jun15 May24 Apr10 (averett ronnie)THORNTON G 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of SALTY'S OFFICER by OFFICER)
DOUBLE GEM         (courville ricky)ROSIER R 122 12.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of BARBSLILGEM by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
CLASSIC DEAL Jul16         (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of LADY BLUE BELLE by MINARDI)
AUBREE'S HALO Sep04         (schultz terry)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of ESTHER CARL by SEFAPIANO)
 
DED-6   10/29/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL SWEET THANG Oct11 Aug17 Jun21 Jun01 Apr12 (morrell cy)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Jul18 Jun20 May30 May11 Apr25 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 118 15.00 10% 9.20    
TIZ DONEGAL Nov17 Oct26 Sep02 Jul22   (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
LEADING THE CAUSE Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
SOUTH SIDE Aug02 Jun20 May29 May09 Apr25 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUD ON MY BOOTS Oct10 Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
THREE GOLD PIECES Aug09 Jul11 Jun20 May09 Apr25 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 10.00    
DEN'S GOOD GRACE Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 May16 Apr05 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
GO CATS Aug17 Jun29 Jun23 Apr13 Mar29 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
10  UNCLE REG Sep07 Aug15 Jun30 May24 Apr26 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
DED-7   10/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUYV Aug31 Jul27 Jul03 Jun01 May11 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00    
SCR  CHINA         (camarena car)EDISON JOCELYN 113 20.00    
HEATED ARGUMENT Jul03 Jun05 May05 Apr13 Mar21 (gonzalez n)BIRZER E 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  RIPTIDE ROSE Jul19 Jul03 Jun11 Dec09 Sep11 (silva walt)RAMIREZ JR 112 20.00    
JUMPIN JUDY Jul12 Jun06 Apr10 Feb13 Jan05 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 2.50    
SCR  FREE DROP MADDY Jul12 May19 Feb25 Jan26 Dec09 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
SWEET ALYSSA Oct07 Aug29 Jul28 Jul06 Jun07 (husak j)STOKES J 120 6.00    
FINAL QUEST Jun01 May03 Mar24 Feb21 Aug05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
FLASHY MEG Jun01 Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 Oct12 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 30% 2.40    
 
DED-8   10/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CANTAROS Sep16 Aug26 Jul01 Jun04   (melancon d)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
GRACE'S VISION Jun27 Jun08 May30 May14 May02 (shamsie mike)HERNANDEZ V 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET TEE Aug22         (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 114 6.00 9% 9.80    
CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Sep10 Aug16 Jul26 Jun22 May24 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
TRUE CONTENDER Sep24         (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 114 8.00    
VINCENT'S GEM Aug24 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29   (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00    
DON'T BLINK TWICE Jul03 May18 Feb21 Jan25 Dec06 (lara jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SHE'S THE SHERIFF Sep04 Aug23 Jun14 May22 Apr27 (silva walter)ARANA KELVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MO TOM Aug22         (daigle walter)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00    
10  KAT'S PRINCESS Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 May30 (toups brent)BIRZER E 121 6.00    
SCR  SASSY SPRY Jan27 Sep12 Sep02 Jul21 Feb22 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 121 4.50    
SCR  DEBBO Sep16 Aug09 Jul26 Jun08 May15 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.