Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(6/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/7/5/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(6/7/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(6/7/5/9/3)-(1/7/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/9/3)-(6/7/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/9/3)-(6/7/5/9/3)-(6/7/5/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/5/9/3)-(1/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/9/3)-(1/7/8/6)-(3/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(3/2/7)-(1/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(1/2/4/5)-(10/7/5/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5)-(10/7/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5)-(10/7/5/3/9)-(9/8/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (10/7/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/3/9)-(10/7/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/3/9)-(10/7/5/3/9)-(10/7/5/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/5/3/9)-(9/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/3/9)-(9/8/7/2)-(1/6/3/10/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (9/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/7/2)-(1/6/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/6/3/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/10/2)-(1/6/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/10/2)-(1/6/3/10/2)-(1/6/3/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREW D'ORO Sep01 Aug09 Jul15 Jun13 Aug08 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  CANO'S BABY Jul20 Jul11 Jun07 May03 Apr11 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
COOLKID Apr06 Mar14 Feb10 Feb01 Dec01 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
NO BLUSHING HERE Oct03 Sep13       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
KURUMI GO GO Oct03 Aug15 Jun13 May25 Apr26 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
BRAVE SAND RIDER Aug14 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr06 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
BUFF'S CAT Jul05 Mar23 Nov15 Sep22 Sep07 (pennella m)GILPIN SEAN 124 30.00    
GALLANT CREEK Sep18 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   10/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICA CHUCK Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jun15 (maldonado joe)BATISTA C 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HERE COMES RUSTY Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 Jun20 (schottr)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
HE'S ON FIRE Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 Jul25 Jul10 (mancilla )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
ARMY CADET Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug21 Jul12 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  BIG SMILE Oct03 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50    
INDULGE Sep20 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 (simone mi)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
MONCRIEF Oct19 Sep29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 (robb troy)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
ROLL ON OUT Oct03 May04 Apr19 Feb23 Feb08 (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BOSS ALLEN Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Oct05 Sep13       (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
TOODLESWASMYNAME Sep12 Aug09       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
BULL RIDER Sep12 Aug23 Jul25     (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PASCUALA by NICANOR)
DIRECT APPEAL Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
BOLD ROCK Oct04 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
T REX UNION Oct05         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 17% 4.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MS. T REX by TWIRLING CANDY)
JOHN'S NOTION Oct04 Sep12 Aug09     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
BOLD DESERT Oct12 Sep21 Sep13     (johnson d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
 
CT-4   10/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT YOUR WAY Oct04 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May02 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  ALWAYS CONNECTED Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug01 (richards )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
THUNDERTURTLE Jun29 Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
SCR  CONGRESS HALL Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul20 (mcfarlan)RODRIGUEZ L 115 6.00    
SWEET TALIA Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 May27 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
DUNDER BOSS Aug27 Jul19 Jun21 May24 Apr26 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
QUANTICO CREEK Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun08 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00 19% 4.10    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Oct12 Sep27 Jul08 Jun08 May23 (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
CT-5   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOGO GADGET Oct11 Sep14 Jun22 Apr25 Nov02 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 119 20.00    
NAY'S ONLY ONE Oct03         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
RUDD'S ROCKET Oct05 Sep14 Jul20 Jun27 May16 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
FUNKLE Apr05 Mar15 Jan11 Dec02 Mar09 (robbin)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.00    
SCR  NO CONVERSATION Oct18         (jackson a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 15.00    
BLAZE FOR DAZE Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 (binning matt)LEWIS M 116 5.00    
KVELLION Aug24 Jul29 Jun17     (gazzier)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROARK Oct05 Sep04 Aug17     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 10.00    
 
CT-6   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Aug09 Jul25 May16 Mar28 Jan05 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 48% 1.10    
NOID Oct09 Sep27 Aug24 Jul30 Apr22 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
GOLDEN APPEAL Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
HURRICANE ALERT Sep27 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 3.50 7% 14.10    
AUBURN MILL Oct10 Sep21 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SARGENT KOBE Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 May23 May03 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50    
MISSIONARY Oct12 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Jul20 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
 
CT-7   10/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JILLYS WAY         (huet k)GILPIN SEAN 122 15.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of MY JUDITH MARIE by FLATTER)
MAKING MISCHIEF Sep14 Aug14 Jul31 Jul03   (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNT NEVIS by EMPIRE MAKER)
DOUBLE SPIRIT         (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
ITZAYANA         (mangual manolo)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TIZ THE ARGUMENT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
ROSELYNN JANE Oct05 Sep14       (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DR WINN KYI by FORT PRADO)
BUSTIER         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FASHIONABLYAWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
POINT UNLIMITED Oct05         (haynes m)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HOLY SELENA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SISTER STARDUST         (carson laura)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TOPAZIO by MORE THAN READY)
DIGITS         (perez joseph)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  MOLLY FACTOR Sep14         (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MAU by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  INFERNO Aug25 Aug01       (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HEAVENLY SONG by SEPTIEME CIEL)
SCR  OH YOU FANCY HUH         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of GLITTER N BOWS by OXBOW)
SCR  GOLD DART Jul27         (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
 
CT-8   10/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WASHINGTON'S UNION Oct11 Sep29 Aug12 Jul28 Jun15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
LOGSTRADAMUS Oct04 Aug24 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIMO Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jun16 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 124 15.00    
PAPA LINGUINE Oct12 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 Mar23 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
SCR  PENGUIN PARADE Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
VAGABOND VIRGIN Oct04 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 12% 7.50    
SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Oct03 Aug15 Jul04 May18 Apr13 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
JUDGEMENT DAY Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Jul20 Jun27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
CT-9   10/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACHELORETTE Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 1.40 25% 2.90    
THE MONEY MACHINE Sep13 Aug09 Jul11 Apr26 Apr05 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CELTIC REVIVAL Oct04 Sep13 Jul18 Jun19 May17 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
TURBO MILLIE Oct05 Sep18 Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
SISTER SPIRIT Oct04 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 (aylor william )CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
VINO DOLCE Oct04 Sep13 Jul19 Jun22 Jun13 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 115 5.00 18% 4.60    
SWEET FACTOR Oct14 Oct04 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 (mancilla )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
PASS THE CASH Sep28 Sep05 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
WAVERLEY Sep13 Jul19 Jun14 Apr26 Mar16 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
10  TINA TINA TINA Oct11 Aug24 Jul28 Jul06 Jun15 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Oct04 Aug17 May05 Apr19 Feb25 (walters)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.