Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(5/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(5/1/7/3)-(6/5/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(6/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(6/5/4/1)-(5/9/10/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(5/9/10/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/1)-(5/9/10/2/3)-(3/2/4/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (5/9/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/2/3)-(5/9/10/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/2/3)-(5/9/10/2/3)-(5/9/10/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/10/2/3)-(3/2/4/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/10/2/3)-(3/2/4/10/9)-(8/9/1/4/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-5   WIN (3/2/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/10/9)-(3/2/4/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/10/9)-(3/2/4/10/9)-(3/2/4/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/4/10/9)-(8/9/1/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/10/9)-(8/9/1/4/10)-(4/5/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (8/9/1/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/4/10)-(8/9/1/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/4/10)-(8/9/1/4/10)-(8/9/1/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/4/10)-(4/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/4/10)-(4/5/9/8)-(1/5/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/8)-(4/5/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/8)-(4/5/9/1/8)-(4/5/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/9/8)-(1/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/8)-(1/5/7/6)-(7/4/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(7/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/10/1)-(7/4/6/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S TAJ Oct05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 (dollinger-s)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 4.50    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 15.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul25 Jun29 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
TIZ THE REASON Sep28 Aug24 Aug02 Jun28 Jun06 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 124 10.00 13% 6.40    
DING DING Sep28 Aug22 Jul04 May09 Mar20 (sanderson s)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
CASTLE TOY Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 Aug18 Jul25 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 4.00    
MIDNIGHT REGRET Jul20 Jul04 Jun08 May10 Apr06 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU YEARS Jul13 Jun20 May24 Nov17 Oct27 (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
MISS ARGENTINA Sep20 Aug16 Mar15 Mar06 Feb24 (gomez anali)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
PALACIO Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 (tobin edwin)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 Jul26 Jun28 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
DREAM LEADER Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jun29 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.20 47% 1.10    
TAPTAP Sep20 Aug21 Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
DREAM STREET ROSE Oct04 Sep01 Aug22 May30 May16 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 14% 6.00    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   10/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZE FIGHTER Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul06 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Oct04 Sep12 Aug10 Jul06 Jun16 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 12.00    
SCR  INSIDE RISK Sep12 Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 Jun20 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 120 50.00    
IMPERIAL KING Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jun27 May24 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
ADVANCE CASH Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
HEY BOOTS Oct04 Sep12 Sep02 Aug09 Jul12 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.00 30% 2.40    
OUTKISSED Sep29 Sep02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
SCR  THE KHOZAN ONE Oct10 Oct03 Aug16 Feb21 Jan13 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 113 8.00    
 
CT-4   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP SHINING ON US Oct05 Sep12 Aug15     (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
GOLDEN PLUNGE         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
POPPY MAC Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 Jun28   (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
PISTOL PENNY Oct04         (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
MARILYN MOONROE Sep20         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
LUNAR TICK Sep13 Aug15 Jul18     (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
JUBA B WILD Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
MOONSHINE MAMA Oct05 Sep13       (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
MACNICK TIME Oct05 Sep20 Sep13     (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
10  JEANNETTE THE JET Oct04         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 9% 10.80    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of YODELSONG by THORN SONG)
 
CT-5   10/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 May30 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
BALI HAI Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 117 5.00 26% 2.80    
NONESUCH GIRL Sep26 Aug29 Jul02 Jun13 May02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
BREAKING BULLET Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 Apr25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
HONEY PLEASE Sep28 Sep12 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
P B FOXY Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 May30 May04 (venham d)MAYHEW W 120 12.00    
SCR  BECCA BELLE Sep26 Sep14 Mar15 Feb28 Jul23 (garber ow)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
LOVELY LUCY Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Mar13   (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
GOLD ALLIANCE Oct11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS PEARL HART Oct03 Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 Jun06 (comi ral)RODRIGUEZ L 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  LEGEND OF LIGHT Oct02 Sep13 Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
 
CT-6   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY ANNA Sep27 Sep02 Aug01 May24 Apr27 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
DANZIG TOO Oct11         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 15.00    
TIZ A HOTTIE Oct04         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
JUNE BELLE Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jun20 (tobin l)GILPIN SEAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUNT THE FLOWERS Oct11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun08 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00    
FLATTERING WAY Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 Oct06 Sep15 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SHESA BABE Oct04 Sep21 Aug01     (barber bobb)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 20.00    
PIPE DREAMIN Oct04 Sep21 Aug01 Feb23   (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
QUINN ELIA Sep14 Jul25 Jun07 May24 May17 (schiano-dicola ra)HO WESLEY 121 1.80 10% 9.20    
10  SHAMELESS VISIONS Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jun08   (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CECIL THE GREAT Sep27 Aug23 Jun01 Apr20 Mar08 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
TUP'S TO TAKE Sep27 Aug24 Jul19 Jul11 Jun21 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00    
DENIZETTI Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 1.40 66% 0.50    
SHOOT THE BREEZE Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50 12% 7.60    
TOWN HOT Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 20.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Oct05 Sep21 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00    
JUST CALL ME AL Oct05 Sep21 Feb02 Jan11 Nov03 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BID ON BLUE Oct05 Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 May10 (brown keith )LEWIS M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   10/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
STILL GRUMPY Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 Aug10 Jun29 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.50    
FRENCHIES GOLD May09 Feb28 Jan31 Nov04 Oct13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 Jun20 May30 (venham d)BATISTA C 118 10.00    
LONA LEE Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
CUT HIM LOOSE Aug22 Jul26 Jun08 May16 Apr18 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 2.00 12% 7.50    
SYMPTOMATIC Sep12 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun08 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
 
CT-9   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY N SMART Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 Jul26 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SALLY GIRL Oct11 Sep20 Jun05 May10 Nov03 (reynolds )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
IN RETROSPECT Oct11 Oct03 Aug17 Jul26   (jones e)HO WESLEY 121 10.00    
LUCKY IN LOVE Oct12 Oct04 Aug14 Jul18 Jul07 (simone mi)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
MAIDENS BLUSH Oct03 Sep12 Jul06 May30 May04 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
KISS ME MORE Oct03 Aug16 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (carlisl)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
EIGHT OZ MOCHA Sep02 Aug24 Jul18 Jul06   (farrior anth)LEWIS M 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
LADY TOURIST Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
SCR  HIDDEN RIVER Oct11 Sep20 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 119 30.00    
10  IRISH ANGEL Sep18 Aug24 Aug12 Jun22 May27 (milosev)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 3.50    
11  ALI'S HANNAH Sep12 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 116 20.00    
SCR  SEVENS UP Sep14 Aug20 Jun24 Jun11   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Oct03 Sep17 Sep04 Oct26 Oct19 (morris neil)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.