Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/1)-(2/6/5/7)-(7/2/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(7/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(7/2/4/1)-(3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/1)-(3/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/10/8/1/2)-(1/6/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/10/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/1/2)-(4/10/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/1/2)-(4/10/8/1/2)-(4/10/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/8/1/2)-(1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/10/8/1/2)-(1/6/3)-(1/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/4/3)-(2/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/9/3)-(1/4/9/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/5/4)-(9/2/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(9/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/8)-(9/2/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/8)-(9/2/3/4/8)-(9/2/3/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Sep21 Sep13       (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Sep13         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  T REX UNION         (runco c)HO WESLEY 122 3.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MS. T REX by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  SWIFT WATERS Sep13         (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  FLYIN MAYAN         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MS MANANA by GRAEME HALL)
6  STORMIN' RUNNER Sep04 Aug24       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of MISS ALLISON by TIZNOW)
7  RENEGADE RABBIT         (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
 
CT-2   10/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN HOOK Aug09 Jun29 May24 May02 Apr11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00    
2  MITOLE CANDY Sep20 Aug22 Aug15 Oct27 Oct06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
3  GIRLS PERFUME Aug24 Jun14 May24 May03 Mar27 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
4  PARALLAX VIEW Aug24 Jun14 Apr27 Mar15 Feb01 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.00    
5  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Sep18 Sep03 Jul25 Jul06 Jun14 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 15.00 6% 14.60    
6  JUST HAVE FAITH Aug24 Jun14 May02 Apr05 Mar14 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
7  POUR ME A DRINK Sep14 May30 May02 Mar27 Jan13 (ramos mi)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY NOT DIXIE Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  MACNICK TIME Sep20 Sep13       (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
3  KEEP SHINING ON US Sep12 Aug15       (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
4  SUMMON THE GLAM Sep12 Aug15       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  GOLDEN PLUNGE         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  POPPY MAC Sep12 Aug15 Jun28     (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
7  JUBA B WILD Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28   (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
8  MOONSHINE MAMA Sep13         (contreras javi)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
 
CT-4   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A WHIM Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
2  CURB THAT TIGER Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 Jun13 May23 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 3.50 ★    
3  PINNACLE REEF Aug01 Jul06 May25 May03 Mar13 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 61% 0.60    
4  DR RENDEZVOUS Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 May18 May02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEVERFOLD Sep18 Sep03 Aug17 Aug01 Jun28 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 ★    
6  TIME TO CHOOSE Sep26 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun28 (reyes ruben)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 5.00    
7  PONTICELLO Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Feb16 Nov04 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
8  RAISE A RUCKUS Sep26 Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 May31 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
SCR  MY BUDDY DUANE Sep13 Aug24 Jul26 Jun24 Jun18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
 
CT-5   10/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAKULA         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MITOLE out of WEALTH CREATION by SUPER SAVER)
2  FEAR THE FACTS Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 May24 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LILBOURNE ELIZA by ELUSIVE CITY)
3  BULLRING BULLY Sep19         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GREATER PLAN by SECRET CIRCLE)
4  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Sep19 Aug25 Jul19     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 26% 2.80    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  BIG MO GEE         (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of QUEEN OF THE LAKE by SALT LAKE)
6  OVERNIGHT EXPRESS Sep14 Aug23 May23     (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TAPCEPTIONAL by CONCORD POINT)
7  POINT UNLIMITED         (haynes ernes)LEWIS M 114 20.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HOLY SELENA by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  ROSELYNN JANE Sep14         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 119 15.00 15% 5.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DR WINN KYI by FORT PRADO)
9  MIKES MO TOWN         (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LETSHOOTPOOL by FREUD)
10  CORRELATION Sep15 Aug05       (brion keri)ACOSTA D 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
 
CT-6   10/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTROLLED TEMPER Sep21 Jun21 May24 Apr11 Mar21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 68% 0.50    
2  LINDA'S TAJ Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (dollinger-sthr li)HO WESLEY 120 2.50    
3  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY SISTER CLURRIE Dec13 Nov22 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 (william)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
5  MIDNIGHT PASS Sep14 Aug10 Jul11 May18 Apr25 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
6  MARTHA'S HEART Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STOLEN LAUGHTER Sep14 Aug10 Jun28 Jun01 May05 (figgins oll)CESPEDES JHORMA 108 4.00    
8  KAPADOKYA Sep14 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 ★    
 
CT-7   10/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC WARRIOR Sep19 Aug22 Jul12 Jun21   (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
2  RUDD'S ROCKET Sep14 Jul20 Jun27 May16 Apr25 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 121 4.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
3  BROTHER JACKSON         (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of SISTER MIMI by HENNY HUGHES)
4  EL MORITO Sep26 Aug15       (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
5  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Sep19 Aug24 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
6  PEDAL TO THE MOON Jul12         (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
7  ROARK Sep04 Aug17       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 4.50    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DIXIE DAZZLE by PEAK DANCER)
SCR  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Sep26 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Feb02 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 121 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
9  BID ON BLUE Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 May10 Apr19 (brown keith )LEWIS M 119 6.00 ★    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SYNERGIST by SMOOTH BID)
 
CT-8   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CALL ME AL Sep21 Feb02 Jan11 Nov03 Oct13 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
2  SHOOT THE BREEZE Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 4.50 52% 0.90    
3  W V LAD Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 May03 (gazzier kri)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 0.60    
4  LOVE IS WICKED Sep21 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 Jun22 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 Jun22 (obed-letts ketu)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
6  TOWN HOT Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 May16 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
 
CT-9   10/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIESTE Sep19 Aug16 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
SCR  ODDS OF JOY         (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  CARMELIZED Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 Jun08 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
4  BUTTERFLY WORLD Sep19 Aug16 Jul25 Jun30 Jun20 (brown ronney )BATISTA C 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  SWISS HORIZON Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May24 May02 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 30.00    
6  HOLD DEM Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 Jul12   (pyke joseph)GILPIN SEAN 121 20.00    
7  IMADHI Sep19 Aug16 Jan24 Jan03 Oct12 (bourne j)CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
8  HOLY MOAT Mar06 Feb23 Feb02     (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  HEART STOPPING May30 Apr06 Mar20 Feb23   (brown ronney)LEWIS M 116 1.20 38% 1.60    
10  ITSUPTOME Sep19 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.