Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/3)-(5/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/3)-(5/7/8/6)-(4/6/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/6)-(4/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/6)-(4/6/2/5)-(5/4/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/5)-(5/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/5)-(5/4/8/9)-(7/4/9/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/8/9)-(5/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/9)-(7/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/9)-(7/4/9/10)-(7/1/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/10)-(7/4/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/10)-(7/4/9/10)-(7/4/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/10)-(7/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/10)-(7/1/2/4)-(1/8/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/3/4)-(7/1/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(1/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/6/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/2)-(1/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/2/7)-(1/6/8/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S NOTION Sep12 Aug09       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
2  BOLD ROCK Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 Jul19   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
3  SAPPHIRUS Sep21 Sep13       (rofe jean)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
4  JACK'S ALOHA Sep12         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BRAEFIELD by HARD SPUN)
5  DIRECT APPEAL Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04   (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 12.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04   (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  BABY BOSS ALLEN Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04   (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  MANNY TOO Sep12 Aug09 Jul19     (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 7% 13.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-2   10/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADS OR TAILS Sep12 Aug10 Jul06 Jun16 May31 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 12.00    
2  ISLAND D'LITE Sep18 Sep02 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (mcmaho)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
3  MONTAUK DADDY Aug17 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
4  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Aug28 Jul26 Jun08 May03 Apr05 (mangual manolo)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
5  HEY BOOTS Sep12 Sep02 Aug09 Jul12 May17 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  PRIZE FIGHTER Sep12 Aug09 Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADVANCE CASH Sep12 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  IMPERIAL KING Sep12 Aug09 Jun27 May24 Apr13 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
CT-3   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF ARCHES Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 Jul11   (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 10.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BREEZY ARCH by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
2  TIZ A HOTTIE         (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 19% 4.40    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
SCR  DANCESWITHGREATNES Sep21         (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 50.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of FEEL LIKE DANCING by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
4  THE GODMOTHER Sep21         (gomez r)LARROSA G 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by JUBA out of DREAMS OF FREEDOM by DENIS OF CORK)
5  HOUSE ALERT Sep14 Aug10 Jun29     (rofe jean)LEWIS M 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
6  PIPE DREAMIN Sep21 Aug01 Feb23     (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VIA AURELIA by MARQUETRY)
7  SHESA BABE Sep21 Aug01       (barber donald )CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LIL BALDIE by RUGBY)
8  FULL OF CHARM Sep14 Jun29 Jun07 May17 Jul20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 121 1.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
9  ADDY MAE Sep14 Jul25 Jun21     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUCHO BLESSINGS by MACHO UNO)
 
CT-4   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNDTOBEOK Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (adorno l)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
2  RIDE THE RAPIDS Sep27 Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 Jun21 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
3  STYLISH PAINT Sep14 Aug02 May31 Dec06 Nov10 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
4  QUANTICO CREEK Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun08 May17 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 4.50 9% 10.80    
5  SPEEDY BUBBLES Sep14 Aug09 Jul25 Jun29 Jun07 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 53% 0.90    
6  WINDSOR'S PLAY Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 May23 May09 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
SCR  AFLEET DIVA Sep13 Aug24 Jul20 Jun13 May13 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 10.00    
8  BEST VIRGINIA Sep28 Aug09 Jul11 May09 Mar20 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 6% 15.80    
9  CLEARLY VISIBLE Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   10/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUSHING KAYLA Sep13 Aug15 Jul19     (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  GOLDEN PLUNGE         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  RUNAWAY GOLD         (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LIL CHAMP by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
4  JEANNETTE THE JET         (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of YODELSONG by THORN SONG)
SCR  GINGER TWIST Sep13         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SKETCH BOOK by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  WHY NOT DIXIE Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  HIT THE SNOOZE Sep13 Aug25       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  PISTOL PENNY         (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
9  LOOK AHEAD Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28   (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
10  MOON ROX         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TONI ROX by BROKEN VOW)
11  SANABEL ISLAND Sep13 Aug15       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
SCR  MOONSHINE MAMA Sep13         (contreras javi)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
 
CT-6   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM LEADER Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jun29 May30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  DREAM STREET ROSE Sep01 Aug22 May30 May16 Apr18 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  SISTER WINNIE Sep14 Aug10 Jul11 Jun08 May30 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 ★    
4  PALACIO Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 (dillon jac)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWIPE THAT CANDY Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 Jun07 (rideout anth)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
6  LUZIA Aug22 Jul26 Jun20 Nov29 Sep23 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
7  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Aug22 Jul27 Jun20 May30 May04 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
8  JUJU ON DA BEAT Sep19 Aug24 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
9  PHILMARY CASTLE Aug22 Jun08 May17 Apr18 Feb15 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGEMENT DAY Sep19 Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 May09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  CIDERHOUSE WAY Sep19 Jun08 Apr05 Mar16 Dec16 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOT FUDGE SONDE Aug28 Jun15 May10 Apr18 Mar23 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
4  BEJUCO Aug16 Jul25 Jun26 May23 May10 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
5  LOGSTRADAMUS Aug24 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 Dec05 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50    
6  VAGABOND VIRGIN Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 May16 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 Jun29 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 124 15.00    
8  CAGE MATCH Aug09 Jul02 Apr20 Mar09   (ramgeet r)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CT-8   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO DOLCE Sep13 Jul19 Jun22 Jun13 May30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  CELTIC REVIVAL Sep13 Jul18 Jun19 May17 Mar22 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  STYLISH ANNA Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 Jul31 Jul17 (richards r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
4  SISTER SPIRIT Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Mar16 (aylor william )CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
5  SPECIAL NOTE Sep12 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 May22 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 15.00    
6  PAYNT YOUR WAY Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May02   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  THE MONEY MACHINE Sep13 Aug09 Jul11 Apr26 Apr05 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  INTERCEPTION Sep19 Aug15 Jun21 Jun06 May16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
9  PYROTECHNICS Sep14 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
SCR  LINDA'S TAJ Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (dollinger-sthr li)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.