Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - October 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4/2)-(1/6/8/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/4)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(6/3/2)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/4/3)-(7/5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/5/3/6)-(2/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6)-(2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6)-(2/7/8)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(2/4/1)-(1/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/8/2)-(7/8/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(7/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(7/8/2/4)-(5/11/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/4)-(5/11/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-9   WIN (5/11/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/7/9)-(5/11/7/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/7/9)-(5/11/7/3/9)-(5/11/7/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/02/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADER OF MEN Sep04 Jul23 Jun26 Jun05 Apr27 (aristone phili)MOYA F 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
SUPER JOHN Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Jul22 Jun29 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50    
SAINT MARCO Sep17 Sep10 Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 4.00    
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 Jul28 Jul19 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND PICK Sep04 Aug16 Jul22 Jul15 Jun12 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
MEGA CHARLIE Sep11 Jun08 May28 May13 Apr16 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
LONG GRAY LINE Sep17 Sep04 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 (maymo aleja)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
SEMPER FIDELIS Sep07 Aug17 Jun07 May22 May03 (klesaris)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00 10% 9.40    
FEDERAL CASE Jul19 Jun11 May22 May10 Apr08 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
 
PRX-2   10/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVEL GUIDE Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 (santaella-cal)RANGEL JOEZER 122 20.00    
ZONA DE AMIGOS Sep23 May22 Apr29 Apr22 Mar13 (penaloza miguel)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHECKING BOXES Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 May22 (rosado roberto)AGUILAR JEAN 114 1.80 26% 2.90    
PLENTY OF TIME Sep16 Sep08 Jun16 Mar12 Feb22 (castillo mi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.00    
MILAGROSO Sep24 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (king cla)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
SOPHIA'S PRINCE Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 Mar22 Feb11 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
PRX-3   10/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST MULE Sep04 Jul09 Jun17 Jun10 May13 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
UNADULTERATED Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 Jun10 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Sep25 Sep04 Jul01 Jun03 May22 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY UNION Sep25 Sep02 Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 (velazquez a)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.50 18% 4.60    
GANGSTER RAP Sep16 Aug09 May10 Apr19 Apr07 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50    
SCR  PRINCESS SOPHIE Jun26 Jun03 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 (crook-demasi k)AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.00    
 
PRX-4   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER AGENDA Sep17 Aug16 Aug01 Jul17 Apr10 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
CAPTAIN CHAZZ Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (mercedes pedro)AGUILAR JEAN 117 15.00    
HOTPOT Sep11 Jul24 Jul02 Jun11 May18 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 8% 11.40    
PARDSY Jul23 Jun16 May29 May07 Apr16 (soto c)GONZALEZ JR 122 10.00    
REJECTED AGAIN Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
CRYPT Sep10 Aug14 Jul28 Jul15 Jun25 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOUPER FLY OVER Sep18 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jun26 (tapsas i)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
 
PRX-5   10/02/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECKITUP Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 1.80    
MY BROTHER CHARLIE Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun04 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
RUMAWAY Sep23 May28 May21 Apr29 Apr02 (hogan willi)RAMOS O 119 15.00    
SCR  BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Nov15 Oct13 Sep17     (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00    
DOS DE OROS Sep16 Sep04 Jun04 May22 Apr24 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 12.00    
SCR  KHOPESH Sep16 Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 May28 (guerrero m)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 5.00    
FIRST SQUAD Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 Aug01 Aug23 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.50 10% 9.40    
SHEER DOMINANCE Sep18 Aug18 Jul24 Jul06 May21 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNING EMBERS Sep17 Aug20 Jul07 Jun17 May21 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTED DIAMOND Sep11 Jul23 Jun26 Jun10 May22 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 0.80 57% 0.80    
ONE OF THE ONES Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 Jun10 May22 (smylie timot)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
BRIGHT KOHANA Sep17 Sep01 Aug16 Jul12 Jun09 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
BROOKLYN HEIGHTS Sep17 Sep09 Aug21 Jun26 Jun11 (st lewi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
MADE BIRDIE Sep14 Aug17 Jul12 Jun30 Jun15 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00    
ALL HAIL MO Sep03 Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
 
PRX-7   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY FUNNY Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26   (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
CHINESEIAM Sep18 Aug24 Jul31 Oct31 Sep12 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
CRACK THE CODE Sep18 Aug27 Jul22 Jul10 Jun03 (conrad paul)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul10 Jun18 May29 May02 Jan31 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00    
GRAHMALAMADINGDONG Sep09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 Jun18 (kirby t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
SCR  THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00    
TRY HARDER Aug27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Oct11 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
SOZE Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 Jan12 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
PRX-8   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EASY DAY Sep04 Jul22 Jul07 Jun25 May16 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00    
MIDLANER Sep02 Jul22 Apr14 Mar16 Feb23 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
ENFORCER Sep04 Aug19 Jul23 Jun16 Mar11 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 8.00    
NOBLE GASTON Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 Aug16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NINJA PRIZE Sep04 Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 Mar27 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
AMUSING MISCHIEF Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May28 Dec27 (graham ed)VARGAS A 122 15.00    
EGO MAN Sep17 Aug19 Aug02 Jul23 Jun26 (maymo )GONZALEZ JR 125 5.00 42% 1.40    
FINAL SHOT Jun26 Jun11 May26 Mar20 Nov20 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PRX-9   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONTHISHARVESTMOON Sep09 Aug21 Jul24 Jul08 Apr23 (bullock jor)DE KEMICH 117 12.00    
JOB'S NOT FINISHED Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 May25 May10 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  FAST GAL Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jul08 Jun25 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
SCR  SWEETEST MOMENT Sep16 Aug21 Jul24 Jul08 Jun25 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
INDEPENDENT Aug21 Nov25 Oct21     (ness jamie)AGUILAR JEAN 114 3.00 35% 1.90    
TREASURE PEACE Sep02 Jun25 May28 May04 Apr15 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
FLAG SONG FLYIN Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 (castillo m)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 7% 13.00    
FIVE STAR FRAN Sep09 Jul24 Jun25 May06 Apr09 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
REVOLU Sep01 Jul21 Jun16 May19 May05 (santaella-cal)RANGEL JOEZER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  FANCY SCEPTER Sep09 Aug21 Jul26 Jun12 Mar13 (shaw j)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
11  PRETTY LILY Sep11 Aug24 Jun15 Mar27 Feb29 (servis )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.