Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-5   WIN (4/1/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7/6)-(4/1/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-7   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-8   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-9   WIN (8/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-10   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-5   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALESVILLE Sep14 Aug31 Aug17     (cantrell margi)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by STANFORD out of FILM ACTRESS by ESKENDEREYA)
2  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 Jul26 Jul12 (bozell alan)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 12.00    
  (by LINCHPIN out of ROXY SKYLAR by HAMPTON BAY)
3  MIDNIGHT CASH         (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 8.00 11% 8.20    
  (by FINALLY CASH out of SOPHIE'S CHOICE by BERTRANDO)
4  HOLDMYGOLDMISSY Jun30 Jun15 Sep16     (beckner l)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MS. MISSY MIESQUE by MINGUN)
5  GOIN SEVENTY FIVE Aug31 Sep03       (bozell alan)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of FOLLOW YOUR SHOT by SIR CAT)
6  PARTY TIME GAL Sep09 Aug08 Jul11 Jun30 Jun22 (cox jo)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of CELEBRATE EVERYDAY by BEAU GENIUS)
7  ZEPHYR CAT Sep16 Aug31 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 15.00 8% 10.90    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
8  MALIBU MARCIA Sep08         (hernandez)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by AFRASHAD out of KARENS CHARM by REMARKABLE CHARM)
9  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Sep16 Sep09 Aug18 Jul12   (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 6.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of APPOMATTOX by STRAVINSKY)
10  INTRUSIVE Sep16 Jul27 Jun29 Jun02   (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SAMEEHA by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
GRP-6   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD FOCUS Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jun08 Jun01 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
2  RAY OF THE SEA Sep16 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 (lyons s)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00    
3  CABALLERANGO Sep16 Sep09 Aug10 Jun22 Jun15 (boyle mar)JENSEN P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUTISM WARRIOR Sep16 Aug30 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 (polla)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00    
5  TRIBUNAL LOVE Sep16 Aug30 Jul19 Oct22 Oct02 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  WORKDAY Sep09 Jun30 Jun08 Mar22 Feb24 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
7  BIG BAD BRIAN Aug31 Aug25 Aug09 Jun09 Sep17 (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00 10% 8.70    
8  DERBY BOY Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 Jul12 May25 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
GRP-7   09/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRISE FASHION Sep23 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 Aug04 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  DANCE COMPANY Aug18 Jun30 Jun22 Oct22 Sep24 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 15.00    
3  MISSED CALL Sep08 Sep01 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 4.00    
4  MASHHAD FLATS Sep23 Aug31 Aug25 Aug10 Jun30 (cantrell margie)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DENNARD Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 11% 8.00    
6  SUMMER SHANDEE Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 Aug16 Jul28 (perez hilari)MARTIN A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  HADLEES HONOR Sep16 Sep01 Aug24 Aug17 Jul28 (cantrell)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.50    
 
GRP-8   09/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHEN JAMES Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 (pirone mary )MARTIN A 126 4.50    
2  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Sep16 Sep09 Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 (rodrig)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 15.00 11% 7.80    
3  NEW EVERY MORNING Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
SCR  MATTAWA N THAT Sep15 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 (boyle mar)JENSEN P 126 6.00 31% 2.20    
5  RUN SNAPPY Sep09 Jul20 Jun23 May26 Apr29 (lowe nic)MURO ISIDRO 126 1.20 33% 2.10    
6  SPEEDY TOM Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 Jun23 (lyons)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  POLACCO Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 Jun29 Jun07 (cantrell margi)SAMUELS JAKE 126 10.00    
 
GRP-9   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO BEACHES Jul14 Jun30 Jun21 Jun02 May05 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00    
2  BIKINI NATION Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  SENSATIONAL CITY Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Aug07 Jul04 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00 7% 13.40    
4  LASSIE CAT Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Sep16 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASK ALICE Sep08 Aug30 Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 (bozell alan)MARTIN A 126 15.00    
6  SAINT HELEN Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul04 Jun30 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVELY NOBLE Sep16 Jun14 May26 May19 Apr27 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
8  SHESALILRUNAWAY Sep15 Sep08 Aug10 Jun29 Aug18 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 46% 1.20    
9  JAN'S BEST Aug16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 Jul04 (hernan)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 20.00    
 
GRP-10   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAID IN GOLD Sep08 Jul28 May19 Mar09 Nov02 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 3.50    
2  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Sep15 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun23 (boyle mar)JENSEN P 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Sep16 Sep08 Aug30 Aug17 Aug11 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00    
4  BETHEL RIDGE Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul04 (maelfeyt bruno)MEEKS MICAH 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  BLOWING BAYOU Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 Sep17 Sep02 (abrahamson mar)SAMUELS JAKE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEISSA Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 (mobley broo)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.