Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7/9)-(1/6/4/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7/9)-(1/6/4/7/9)-(1/6/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7/9)-(4/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7/9)-(4/3/6/1)-(9/5/10/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/1)-(9/5/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/1)-(9/5/10/7/1)-(2/6/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/5/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/7/1)-(9/5/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/7/1)-(9/5/10/7/1)-(9/5/10/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/7/1)-(2/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/7/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(3/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(3/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(3/4/10)-(2/12/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/10)-(3/4/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/10)-(3/4/2/10/7)-(3/4/2/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/10)-(2/12/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/10)-(2/12/8/3)-(7/8/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/12/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/8/3)-(2/12/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/8/3)-(2/12/8/3/6)-(2/12/8/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/12/8/3)-(7/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/12/8/3)-(7/8/6/2)-(8/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/2)-(8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/2)-(8/1/6)-(4/5/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(4/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/10/1)-(4/5/2/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE OF CORK Jun27 Apr25 Apr11     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Aug24 Mar29 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
3  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Jun01 May10 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
4  SALTY STARKEY Aug24 Jun21       (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 2.50 17% 4.90    
5  GETTIN SPICY Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul18 Jul11 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 119 20.00    
6  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 May17 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.80 17% 4.90    
7  COLONIAL ROAD Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 (campbell larr)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEST HOP IS A DROP Sep14 Aug24 Jul11 Jun21   (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 118 12.00    
9  THOR'S LAD Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 Apr19   (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE TOY Aug24 Aug18 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCARLET REBEL Jun28 May07 Apr25 Mar27 Mar09 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
3  WHISKEY WILD Jul25 Jul11 Jul02 Jun15 May10 (mangual manolo)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
4  LUCYLOU WHO Jul11 Jun22 May25 Oct14 Sep22 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.80 65% 0.50    
5  RIVER REWARDS RVF Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
6  SWEET SHUGS Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May12 Apr20 (binning matt)LEWIS M 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GHOSTLY SQUALL Aug24 Aug03 Jun28 Jun13 Mar29 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
8  CONTROLLED TEMPER Jun21 May24 Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
SCR  CHEROKEE CASTLE Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jun28 Jun07 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
 
CT-3   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADIES PREMONITION         (jackson angelo)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by GRAYDAR out of ACQUIRED BY CUPID by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
2  SHESA BABE Aug01         (barber donald )CHILO MAXIMO 124 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LIL BALDIE by RUGBY)
3  I'M FLYING UP Aug23 Mar20       (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of ATHENA IN FLIGHT by BERNSTEIN)
4  HOLIDAY ODDS Aug23 Aug01       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of HOLIDAY MAGICIAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  THE GODMOTHER         (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 8.00 21% 3.90    
  (by JUBA out of DREAMS OF FREEDOM by DENIS OF CORK)
SCR  CRY TOUGH Aug01         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60    
  (by OUTWORK out of FADE TO BLACK by LASTING APPROVAL)
7  DANCESWITHGREATNES         (rangel ri)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00 9% 10.60    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of FEEL LIKE DANCING by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
8  BARAPHA Aug23         (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of SNOW RITE by SNOW RIDGE)
9  CRAZY ANITA Aug23 Aug01       (gomez r)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
10  PIPE DREAMIN Aug01 Feb23       (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VIA AURELIA by MARQUETRY)
 
CT-4   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Sep01 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 Jul06 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PINK DINGHY Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 May25 May03 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
3  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 May18 May10 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
4  BUDDY BUDDY Jul30 Jul20 Jun18 Oct28 Aug25 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Aug23 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 Nov09 (straughn )BOCACHICA J 122 30.00    
6  COLT ROCK Sep13 Aug28 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (dillon jacob)LEWIS M 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
7  UNCLE CHINITO Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May26 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00    
8  ONE CANDY CASTLE Aug15 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 10.00    
 
CT-5   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE PRESS Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May10 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
2  JUST CALL ME AL Feb02 Jan11 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00 ★    
3  SHOOT THE BREEZE Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
4  ZIGGY STARDUST Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MEGEEZER Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul20 Apr18 (huffman g)HO WESLEY 119 15.00    
6  DENIZETTI Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 Apr27 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
7  LOVE IS WICKED Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 Jun22 Apr13 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 118 10.00 ★    
8  TOWN HOT Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 May16 Apr25 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
9  W V LAD Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 May03   (gazzier kri)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 12.00    
SCR  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 Jun22 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  E J'S REVENGE Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
2  SHIP THE GOODS Sep12 Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 May17 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  FU MAN SUE Apr21 Mar16 Feb08 Jan06 Sep28 (sewell lenworth )MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TACO BEAN Jul12 May25 May08 Apr15 Mar26 (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
SCR  MACY'S BOY Dec15 Dec06 Nov24 Nov09 Apr21 (spriggs t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 May30 May04 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 ★    
7  ON THE COME UP Aug25 Jul05 Jun08 May19 Apr15 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
8  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Sep11 Aug04 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 (poole jami )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
9  KRUSIN ROCKET Sep11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (meeks karl)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 12.00    
SCR  MONTAUK DADDY Aug17 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00    
11  JIMMY THE KID Aug15 Jul06 Jun26 May25 Apr13 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
12  CLAW Aug25 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ROYAL SPY Sep01 Aug12 Jul12 May25 Apr27 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC LASS Aug28 Jul04 Jun13 May21 May07 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
2  QUEEN NEFERTARI Aug22 Jul04 Jun13 May23   (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUBA'S PUNCH Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 Jun07 May03 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 124 2.00    
4  SNEAKY LYNK Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May25 May11 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
5  PRINCESS MARGARET Aug24 Jul12 Jun13 Apr05 Mar15 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
6  SOMESUGARNSPICE Sep10 Jul24 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
7  SMOKIN LADY Jul20 Jun21 May23 Apr06 Mar14 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  MISS BEE BOP Aug23 Aug03 May25 Apr27 Mar27 (sandoval mich)BATISTA C 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-8   09/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Henry Mercer Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S HEART Aug09 Jul19       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by JUBA out of EMPRESS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
2  THIS JUICE B LOOSE Aug30 Aug03 Jul04     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  MY FATHER'S SON Sep13         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of LET ME BE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Sep13         (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  IM THE DIRECTOR Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
6  BOLD DESERT Sep13         (johnson de)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
7  SAPPHIRUS Sep13         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
8  ANNAPOLIS ROAD Sep13         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 47% 1.10    
  (by OUTWORK out of KENTUCKY ROAD by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CT-9   09/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE BILL Aug17 Jul27 Jun14 May18 May05 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AUBURN MILL Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May04 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  GABRIEL SEVEN Sep13 Jul25 Jun29 Jun15 May12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
4  RIDICULOUS Jun27 Jun07 May24 Apr12 Mar15 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.20 60% 0.70    
5  TAPIO (IRE) Aug22 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
6  MASAI MAN Aug17 Jul26 May03 Mar23 Mar16 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
7  INDIMAAJ Aug22 Jul19 Jul06 May25 Apr24 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 15.00    
8  PROTA Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May24 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
9  MISTER WINSTON Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 May24 May03 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
10  SARGENT KOBE Aug24 May23 May03 Apr04 Mar16 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  VESELSKY Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 Jun14 May24 (singh somraj)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  STRIKE THE TOP Jul07 Jun26 Jun10 Jun02 May13 (poole c)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
SCR  LAZARETTO Sep01 Aug20 Jul17 Jun18 May22 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
SCR  LOST WEEKEND Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.