Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/3/1)-(8/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(8/2/3)-(2/7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/1/5/3)-(8/2/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/3/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/5)-(2/3/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/5)-(2/3/7/10)-(5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10)-(2/3/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/10)-(5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/10)-(5/4/8)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(4/6/2)-(9/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(9/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THAT I AM Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 Apr16 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SHARP SHOT Jul10 Jun13 May06 Apr12 Mar01 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 1.20 40% 1.50    
MAKE WAY Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 (gilles)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 30.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Aug16 Aug03 Jun14 Jun02 May24 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
MARK DID IT Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
WELLING Aug29 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 Jun07 (spriggs toschia)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul22 Jul08 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
 
CT-2   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT ON THE WIND Aug16 Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr04 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS ARGENTINA Aug16 Mar15 Mar06 Feb24 Jan31 (gomez anali)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
ODDS ON MISCHIEF Aug15 Jul25 Apr18     (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 Jun07 May17 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
FROSTY RIA Aug16 Jun06 Apr27 Mar15 Mar06 (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00    
MITOLE CANDY Aug22 Aug15 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 61% 0.60    
TAPTAP Aug21 Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 Jan12 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
KEY TO THE CASTLE Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 May17 (espinosa victo)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
 
CT-3   09/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN RUN Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 May17 Apr20 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
SWAG SHOP Jun06         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
SALLY GIRL Jun05 May10 Nov03 Oct13   (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
OSO Sep06 Jul27 Jun19 May15 Apr24 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
P B FOXY Aug23 May30 May04 Apr12 Apr04 (venham d)MAYHEW W 118 4.00    
GREYGRAZIE Aug22 Aug16 Aug01 Jul20   (huffman ke)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 20.00    
GATOR TWENTY FIVE Aug23 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Jan20 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
BREAKING RULES Aug24 Mar16 Feb10 Dec29 Nov23 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
HIDDEN RIVER Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 Jun15 May30 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
 
CT-4   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL NATION Mar27         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
BANANA SPLIT Sep06 Jul25 Jun21 May31 Apr26 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ICE CREAM by BERNARDINI)
ADIOS MEISTER Aug15 Jul24       (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LADRONA by BODEMEISTER)
WAC IS FAST Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun06 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
RAPID MISS TAPIT Aug21 Aug07 Apr17 Feb11 Jan21 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MAGICAL DREAM by DOUG'S MY DOC)
SWAN Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 May11   (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 1.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
MALTESE ROSE Aug16 Jun21 May03 Mar22 Feb15 (haynes m)ACOSTA D 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DOGWOODS JUNE Aug22 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13   (huffman ke)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
 
CT-5   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE ALERT Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 Jun18 Jun01 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Aug16 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 May24 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
RESTLESS Aug31 Jul26 Jul13 Jun02 May11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun29 May31 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
ANGEL OF ATTACK Aug25 Jul25 Jun15 Sep09 Aug13 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
HAPPY YEARS Jun15 May31 May03 Nov06 Sep19 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 117 30.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE Aug30 Jul11 Jun12 May30 May15 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 120 12.00    
SCR  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Sep03 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 May17 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00    
10  YANGARRA Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul27 Jul05 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SAM WHEAT Sep03 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (huet k)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY BLONDE Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 May23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 15.00    
SCR  AIM'S JUBILEE Aug23 Aug03 Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
FOXY SISTA Aug16 Jul26 May23 May09 Oct14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
OVERNIGHT POW WOW Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.60 46% 1.20    
ROMAN CANDLE Jun25 Jun14 May30 May17 Apr18 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 30.00    
SCR  O K SMARTY PANTS Aug20 Jul19 Jun15 Mar22 Feb03 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SAFFRON Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 May30 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO BODY LIKES ME Aug22 Aug01       (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIONISM Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 May30 Jan13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00    
 
CT-7   09/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST John McKee Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY K P Aug15 Jul18 Jun28     (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
FLYING TO NEPTUNE Sep01         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of I LOVE TO FLY by NOT FOR LOVE)
MARILYN MOONROE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
DIAKONISSA Aug31 Aug03 Jul18     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of FLORID by LEMON DROP KID)
AUDIBLE THE PLAY Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 Jun01   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MANTEKILLA by LEMON DROP KID)
OVER THE BULL Aug15 Jun28       (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 120 8.00 27% 2.60    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
HOLY JOANIE Aug15 Jul27       (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 6.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HEAD START JOANIE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
MACNICK TIME Sep13         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-8   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN APPEAL Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May23 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MONTAUK DADDY Aug17 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (spriggs toschia)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr27 Apr12 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 117 6.00 16% 5.20    
MYSTIFIED Mar22 Mar01 Jan24 Jan03 Sep29 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
DESERT RULER Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May29 Apr14 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50    
SCR  LIKE SEGAL Aug26 Jul18 Jun23 Feb16 Jan26 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Aug24 Aug10 Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
ELVIRUS Aug30 Aug20 Aug02 Jul15 Jul03 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
SILVER MOON ROAD Jun11 May16 Apr17 Oct16 Sep20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  E J'S REVENGE Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (hurley ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.