Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-6   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-8   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-2   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCLUSIVELY NOBLE Jun14 May26 May19 Apr27 Apr05 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of EXCLUSIVE GAME by REDATTORE (BRZ))
2  GORMLEY GAL Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (perez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 4.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of LIP SYNC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
3  ZEPHYR CAT Aug31 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Jun15 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
4  INTRUSIVE Jul27 Jun29 Jun02     (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SAMEEHA by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Sep09 Aug18 Jul12     (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 6.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of APPOMATTOX by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  WHISKEY OUTLAW Aug16 May14 Mar19     (guerrero emili)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
GRP-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAKUNUI Sep01 Aug25 Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  HADLEES HONOR Sep01 Aug24 Aug17 Jul28 Jul07 (cantrell)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
3  BEDROCK (GB) Aug08 Jun21 Jun01 May19 Apr29 (pollard eli)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  SOCAL RED Sep09 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 Aug05 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 14% 6.10    
5  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 4.50    
 
GRP-4   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM WARRIOR Aug30 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 Apr02 (pollard eli)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00    
2  TOO TALL TO CALL Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 Jun15 Oct09 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
3  RAY OF THE SEA Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 Jun22 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRIBUNAL LOVE Aug30 Jul19 Oct22 Oct02 Sep03 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50 50% 1.00    
5  BEER BEGONE Sep09 Jul28 Jun16 May18 Oct08 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
6  DIVERSIFUL Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 Mar27 Mar14 (morris micha)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
GRP-5   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOMI LACKEE Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jul03 Jun07 (rosales )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50    
2  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Sep08 Aug30 Aug17 Aug11 Aug04 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00    
3  DISTINCTIVE DEB Aug25 Aug03 Jul27 Sep10 Aug27 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  VISION OF THE KAT Sep01 Aug07 Jun08 Jun01 Sep03 (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 10.00    
5  TEN THE SMART WAY Sep07 Jun21 Apr12 Mar10 Jan27 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  MO SUGAFOOT Sep02 Aug23 Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 Jun30 Jun16 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
GRP-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONGFORD Sep08 Aug07 Jul04 Jun22 Oct02 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
2  TAVERNELLE Aug09 Jul04 Jun16 May26 May04 (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  PRIME TIME PORTA Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (guerrero emilio)MEEKS MICAH 119 4.00    
4  DERBY BOY Aug25 Aug04 Jul12 May25 May11 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
5  CHANCELLORS BOOM Aug23 Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 Jun09 (morris m)MURO ISIDRO 124 8.00 ★    
6  LORD OF LIGHT Sep01 Aug09 Jun22 Jun09 May25 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  REAL THIRSTY Jun09 May25 Apr14 Mar16 Feb25 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 12.00    
8  CHINOOK BEND Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 (pollard eli)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PUTDADDYINACADDY Aug04 Jul26 Jul12     (homer jas)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 10.00 ★    
 
GRP-7   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN RUSH Aug30 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Jun01 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Sep09 Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 Jun07 (rodriguez )AMERICANO MANUEL 121 6.00    
3  PULPITS POWER Aug10 Aug08 Jun30 Jun23 Jun07 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.80 30% 2.30    
4  CABALLERANGO Sep09 Aug10 Jun22 Jun15 Oct09 (boyle ma)MURO ISIDRO 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  STARBOARD LIST Aug08 Jun23 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 3.50    
 
GRP-8   09/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECTER Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 Jul03 Jun08 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
2  BUZZED BY A TIGER Aug24 Jun23       (hurley den)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
3  CORAZON DE LUCIA Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Oct01 (guerrero emilio)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00    
4  ANTICIPATED Aug24 Aug10 Jun22 Jun09 Oct08 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  LUKA GRAZIE Jul03 Jun21 May19 Apr16 Apr03 (homer jason)SAMUELS JAKE 126 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 (craig james)GUERRERO C 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIMONSITO Aug25 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 May26 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.50 24% 3.30    
8  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Aug07 Jul27 (pollard e)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.