Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-5   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (7/2/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/4/3)-(7/2/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/4/3)-(7/2/8/4/3)-(7/2/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/4/3)-(3/5/7/2)-(6/1/8/10/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CTM-9   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/4/2)-(3/5/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(6/1/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTM-10   WIN (6/1/8/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/10/2)-(6/1/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/10/2)-(6/1/8/10/2)-(6/1/8/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Beaufort Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Aug03 May25 May04 Aug25 Aug05 (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  SAWCHUK Aug30 Aug16 Jul28 Jul17 Jul05 (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  J J'S CAPER Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 124 2.50    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
4  ITSALLGOODMAN Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CTM-4   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Fall Classic Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM BLUE Aug30 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Oct21 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
2  DANCE SHOES Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 Jun22 Oct21 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.00    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
3  BIG HUG Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 126 1.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  MONOPOLIZE Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Oct15 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of MONONO by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTM-5   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AL REICHERT Aug13 Jul13 Jun28 May25 Oct14 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Aug24 Jul17 Jun21 May31 Apr07 (bott sharon)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 10.00    
3  AMERICAN BLAZE Aug24 Jul12 Jun15 May18 Oct21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50    
4  GLAVA Aug27 Jul12 Jun08 May31 May10 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 6.00    
5  COOLWIND Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  NICE GUY EDDIE Aug24 Jul31 Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
CTM-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Red Diamond Express Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMOHR REIGNS Aug09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug04 Jul22 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OXBOW out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Aug23 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May31 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 8.00    
  (by MANK out of LIL MISSKNOWITALL by KAFWAIN)
3  TUCKER TIME Sep07 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 Jun29 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 115 3.50    
  (by DECLASSIFY out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  SOLO RING Jul31 Jul10 Jun08 May24 Sep16 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of DRUM SOLO by DR. ADAGIO)
5  JEFF FA FA Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun05 May20 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  BARE BACK JACK Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 Jun01 May19 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 4.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of THESEFOOLISHTHINGS by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
 
CTM-7   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Breeders' Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZICATELA Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Oct08 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 4.50 27% 2.60    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of HARLICAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SMART PLAY Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 May31 May17 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 3.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
3  FLASHFORDANI Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 Jun08 May17 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BRODY'S PAL Sep06 Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jul05 (biggs seymo)BECKLES JARELLE 117 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
5  H K RAPPER Aug25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul12 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 10.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
6  SILVERFOOT Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 Oct21 (nicholson david)CARTER KYLE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of SILVER SEVEN by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  THESHACK Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun01 Sep30 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of SOUTH SEA PEARL by FOREST CAMP)
 
CTM-8   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Alberta Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE THE FRINGE Aug17 Aug03 Jul12     (biggs )PATTERSON R 124 4.50    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
2  JODEYS LIL PAIN Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 May18 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
3  KELROSIE Aug16 Jul27 Jul19 Jul06 Jun07 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GENTEELA by SUAVE)
4  SADIE MY LADY Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
5  MORNING RAIN Aug09 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May18 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of CALL ME CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
6  KULSUM Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 Jun07 May04 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 124 10.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
7  DARE TO COMPARE Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Aug05 (smith k)NATERA KEIHTON 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
8  BROKEN PROMISES Aug30 Aug02 Jul17 Jun21 Jun07 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 5.00 6% 14.70    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
9  DESTIN TO BE GREAT Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 May25 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
CTM-9   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Alberta Premier's Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROWDY TOWN Aug23 Aug03       (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SHE'SADOWNTOWNGIRL by MORE THAN READY)
2  COAL BOY Aug28 Aug21 Jul16     (anders)PATTERSON R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SOLON'S WARNING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  G T RAY SIR Aug31         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by GAYEGO out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
4  HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Aug23 Aug03 Jul17     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 ★    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  ZIP IT WRIT Aug31 Aug10       (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
6  BIZNESS ACCOUNT Aug31 Aug10       (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 124 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of COUNT THE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  WRIT IN STONE Aug31 Aug10       (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CONQUEST REBEL by DIXIE UNION)
8  WHATWOMENWANT Aug23 Aug03 Jul17     (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SWAYING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  STONE HOUSE Aug31         (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 124 25.00    
  (by LEMON DROP MOUSSE out of PURPLE BARBIE by FLATTER)
10  SMOKE DADDY Aug31         (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 124 5.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISS ALTAMIRA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
CTM-10   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Sturgeon River Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIZ BABE Aug10         (nichols)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of EIGHT THIRTYONE by GRAYDAR)
2  POCKETFULOFDREAMS Aug23 Aug10 Jul17     (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
3  ABSOLUTE PLEASURE         (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 20.00    
  (by ABSOLUTELY STYLISH out of NIGHTLY PLEASURE by FINALITY)
4  SEATTLE STING Aug31 Aug10       (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 122 5.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SEATTLE SPLASH by CHIEF SEATTLE)
5  SOLAR FORCE Aug23         (vanoverschof)HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of SOLAR SALLY by CAPE CANAVERAL)
6  NO MORE LIES Aug23 Aug10       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
7  TANGO FOR THE SOUL Aug31 Aug10       (robertson j)BECKLES JARELLE 122 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
8  AH TOUCHE Aug31         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
SCR  GINGER FED         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of GINGER SMASH by CAPE CANAVERAL)
10  NASAS PRINCESS Aug23 Aug10       (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00 8% 12.10    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CANAVERAL LEADER by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.