Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/2/5)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/4)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/2/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/2/4/5)-(5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/5)-(5/2/3)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/7/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-6   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(9/8/4/3/5)-(1/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-7   WIN (9/8/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/4/3/5)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/3/5)-(1/2/3)-(8/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-9   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE FUN Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 (bean a)CRUZ M 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  UNBRIDLED VIOLET Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRINCESS PAYTON Aug18 Jul20 Jun07 Sep16 Sep03 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50    
4  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 (navarro jose)OROZCO E 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  RIVER OF AMBITION Aug11 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 (perez s)REYES R 121 4.00    
6  BUCCHERA Aug16 Jul19 Jun02 Apr25 Oct21 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 119 5.00    
 
EMD-2   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVADO Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 May12 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
2  PARTY FOUL Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  MOONLIGHTNWINE Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 Jun08 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
4  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun07 May11 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 1.20 39% 1.60    
5  QUIET CHARM Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Sep25 (perez s)REYES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLUB MESQUITE Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun16 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 8.00    
 
EMD-3   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP CHART Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 May12 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 118 12.00    
2  I'M TELLING MOM Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 May31 Sep25 (toye joe)CRUZ M 118 3.50 ★    
3  SPECIAL DIVA Aug11 Jun15 Jun02 May11 Aug27 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 118 2.00    
4  CLASSIC AMERICAN Aug04 Jul14 Jun22     (martinez d)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHAI Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May19 Sep10 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 1.20 67% 0.50    
 
EMD-4   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCALLYWORLDFAMOUS Aug11         (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 120 5.00    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of CLASSY AND SASSY by MINESHAFT)
2  GOIN' SOUTH Aug11         (wright blaine)REYES R 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by OM out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  KISS THE TIGER Aug04 Jun09       (harwood ryl)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
4  SLEW O' MISCHIEF         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TENSHI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  WHISKEYTHENWINE         (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of EL BELL CAMP by MUNNINGS)
6  CHECKERED FLAG Aug11         (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED         (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 120 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MAMBO TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
EMD-5   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT CARO         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNION QUEEN by UNION RAGS)
2  CANTHANDLETHEGHOST Jun30         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TIZAHANDFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  SEAL THE DAY May19 Apr17       (salinas li)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of SEALINGTON by HARLINGTON)
4  CAPE BLOSSOM Aug11 Jul27 Jun09     (martinez david )CRUZ M 121 4.50    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
5  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Jul07 Jun09 May19 Aug06 Jul09 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PATH TO POWER by POLITICAL FORCE)
6  MY LITTLE LADY         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 4.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
 
EMD-6   09/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMIC CANDY Jul28 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 Jun15 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Aug23 Jul28 Jul13 Jun02 May04 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
3  BEAU MISCHIEF Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
4  REGULATION DAZED Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 122 4.50    
5  SENSEMAKER Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 Jun07 May12 (mccartney jack)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DYF Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 Oct02 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 122 15.00    
7  RHODIUM RUNNER Aug17 Aug09 Jul13 Jun02 May19 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
EMD-7   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE FOOTAGE Aug02 Jul14 May18 Aug25 Aug05 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
2  HEAT SEEKING LETA Aug16 Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun07 (dronen sam)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
3  MEAN SHARON Aug10 Aug02 Jul03 Jun09 May12 (garcia serjio)GUTIERREZ M 122 12.00 9% 10.40    
4  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 Jun30 Jun07 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 12% 7.60    
5  MO CONNELLY Mar19 Feb19 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 (johnston)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEISSA Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 May26 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 121 8.00    
7  JUSTIN'S LADY Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Apr10 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 4.50    
8  HEY BARMAID Aug25 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jul26 Jul13 Jun08 May26 Apr22 (bean a)REYES R 125 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-8   09/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRT ROAD RED Aug09 Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 May12 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 125 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  OVERLY FAST Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  NAPOLETANO Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAID IN FULL Aug11 Jul21 Jun28 May04 Apr16 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 125 1.80    
SCR  CHIPPEWA BUD Aug18 Jun12 May13 May01 Apr10 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 30.00    
6  THIRD WHEEL Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun23 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 4.50    
 
EMD-9   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNSET DRAGUNN Jul28 Jun29 Jul02 Jun17 Aug26 (christian s)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 20.00    
2  WEAR THE CROWN Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr15 Mar26 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Aug23 Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 Jun15 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DECIMATE Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 Jan28 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
5  MOJAVE (GB) Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
6  MY SUNSHINE Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00 8% 12.20    
7  WESTERN RULE Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 May12 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 125 12.00    
8  NEW EVERY MORNING Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun01 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.