Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Timonium
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIM-1   WIN (8/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/6)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/6)-(4/6/3)-(3/7/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/7/1/8)-(2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-3   WIN (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8)-(2/1/3)-(7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(7/2/4)-(5/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-5   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/4)-(6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/7/3)-(7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-8   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TIM-9   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIM-1   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROPPING LEMONS Jun22 Jun08 Jan12     (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
2  RED HAT HANNA         (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 121 4.50    
3  X GENE         (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MER SOLEIL Jul26 May04 Feb11     (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 12.00    
5  DIAMOND SUE Jul21 Jun08 Apr01 Mar17 Feb17 (mancilla oscar )MENA E 126 6.00    
6  RASCALLION         (gaudet lacey)CRUZ ANGEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIRST TO ARRIVE Jul26 Jun08 May15 Nov23 Oct01 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 121 3.00 12% 7.40    
8  DESIGNER (GB) Sep10         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
 
TIM-2   08/30/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIENNA'S TWIRL Jul19 Jun21 May10 Apr20 Mar23 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 126 4.00    
2  SAY NO MORE Jul21 Jan01 Dec13 Nov21 Nov14 (captan b)RODRIGUEZ L 115 30.00    
3  DIVINE MAGIC Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 Oct07 Sep10 (salzman tim)CHATRIE E 107 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOLLY OF STRATFORD Aug04 Jul14 Jul05 May31 May05 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  MISS PEARL HART Aug01 Jul06 Jun06 Apr20 Apr13 (comi ralph)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 117 1.80    
6  SHARED AUTHORITY Aug17 Aug04 Jul25 Jul07 Jun15 (shankle)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
TIM-3   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTFACTORED Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul24 Jun30 (brooks gerald )TORREALBA JG 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
2  RAZORETTE Jun22 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Dec31 (ambrogi)BRICENO GREGOR 126 12.00    
3  CATALINA CRUZIN Aug10 Jul17 Jul08 Jun15 May26 (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  BLUE TRILLION Aug17 Jul14 Jun02 May09 Apr05 (dilodov)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 2.00    
5  IMINCHARGENOW Aug16 Jul18 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 126 30.00    
6  SMART RED Aug23 Aug03 Oct06 Sep04 Jul15 (captan b)RODRIGUEZ L 119 30.00    
7  FROSTY MAYA Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 May11 Mar02 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
8  AUNT JO Aug21 Aug14 Jul11 Jun25 Jun12 (smith m)ACOSTA D 126 12.00 9% 10.20    
 
TIM-4   08/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jul13 Jun09 Apr26 Mar26 Feb27 (gaudet lacey)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  VIENNESE WALTZ Aug18 Jul20 Jul06 Nov17 Nov02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  QUEEN OF THE DANCE Aug02 Jul13 Jun07 May03 Mar30 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANGELOFCANTERBURY Jul12 Jun08 May12 Apr13 Mar29 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
5  GO SHERRY GO Jul21 Jul11 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 117 2.00    
6  SANDRA D Aug10 Jun14 Feb28 Feb11 Jan13 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 4.00    
 
TIM-5   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAHOMES MONEY Jul21 Mar23 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 (captan b)RODRIGUEZ L 115 30.00    
2  FAST BREAKIN CASH Dec30 Dec08 Nov27 Oct18 Sep08 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  MASTERMIND Jun01 May10 Apr19 Apr05 Mar29 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
4  BACKNTHEWOODS Aug11 Jul21 Mar24 Mar10 Feb18 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  B WEST Jul26 Jun30 May16 Jul30 Jul09 (magee kie)CAMACHO JR 118 2.50    
6  CAJUN DREAM Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 May17 Apr27 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 122 3.50    
7  DEE JAY Aug15 Jul19 Jun26 May31 May11 (lawrence ja)ROBLES O 113 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
TIM-6   08/30/2024 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SERENITY Aug02 Jul07 May12 Mar01 Feb04 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 122 4.50    
SCR  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 117 6.00    
3  POGGIBONSI Dec23 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  HATEFUL Aug04 May09 Apr28 Mar29 Mar08 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MENDYS HONEY Aug01         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  BANDITS WARRIOR Jul12 Jun23 May16 Apr21 Apr06 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 124 2.00    
 
TIM-7   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Aug02 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 122 4.00    
2  CANOODLE Jul28 Jul10 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (keefe )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
3  SULTRY SALLY H Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 Jun23 Jun16 (vick timot)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 15.00    
4  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Jul21 Dec07 Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 (leaf jr)ACOSTA D 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
5  ROCK ROSE Aug02 Jul03 Jun21 May31 Nov27 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION Aug02 Jul12 Mar29 Mar08 Jan26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00    
SCR  DULCE KIARA Jun27 Jun01 May17 May03 Apr19 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 122 8.00    
 
TIM-8   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOWER MOUND Aug17 Jul08 Jun14 May03 Feb14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 3.00    
2  ISABELLA'S GLORY Jul27 Jun15 May31 May16 May03 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 115 3.50    
3  TRAIN WRECK Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May07 (lane j)LEWIS M 119 15.00 7% 12.70    
4  MARLEY'S GHOST Jul12 May05 Apr07 Feb23 Jan27 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
5  GHEE FOR THE WIN Jun27 Jun08 May24 Apr21 Mar09 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 117 10.00    
6  STICKWITHTHECOLORS Aug04 Jul19 Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 (salzman john )ALVELO C 121 1.60 57% 0.80    
7  SHAKE IT BABY Dec23 Nov25 Oct23 Oct07 Aug12 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
TIM-9   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUBTIMSIAM Aug17 Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun23 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
2  MONCRIEF Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 May27 May05 (robb troy)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALL THE WAY Aug03 Nov03 Sep29 Sep08   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 10.00 28% 2.50    
4  BUCKIN' DREAMER Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50    
5  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Aug17 Jul26 Jun21 May31 Apr28 (keil caitlin)ALVELO C 121 6.00    
6  DUNPHY Aug17 Jul19 Jun30 May29 May16 (ness jamie)ACOSTA D 117 4.00 ★    
7  DUTCH MILLS Aug03 Jul13 Jun13 Apr27 Mar10 (compton gre)ROBLES O 116 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  GET LIKE MIKE Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May26 May12 (klesaris rober)TORREALBA JG 117 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.