Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DMR-2   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(2/8/14/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-3   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(2/8/14/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(2/8/14/3/4)-(2/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-4   WIN (2/8/14/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/14/3/4)-(2/8/14/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/14/3/4)-(2/8/14/3/4)-(2/8/14/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/14/3/4)-(2/1/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/8/14/3/4)-(2/1/4)-(6/7/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/7/2/5)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-6   WIN (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/5)-(2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/5)-(2/1/5)-(7/3/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
DMR-8   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/9/4/6)-(7/3/8/9/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD PENNY Aug02 Jun15 May03     (papaprodromo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of CHICAGO ANGEL by ILLINOIS STORM)
SCR  SHOOT FOR THE SKY Jun29 May03       (gaines carla)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of TEAM BUILDER by BROKEN VOW)
NOTHING IS FOREVER Jun15 May18 Apr07     (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 120 5.00 7% 14.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of LADY ROSBERG by ROSBERG)
GLACIER RIM Jul26 Jun15 May18 Apr21 Mar01 (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 125 8.00    
  (by SABURO out of NOTHINGLIKEGOLD by MORE THAN READY)
LAST ELIZABETHAN Jul26 Jun15 May18 Apr06 Oct21 (mullins jeff)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SURF by TAPIT)
COMANCHE GAL Jul26 Jul04       (lewis a)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 0.80 66% 0.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of WILLING AND ABLE by MORE THAN READY)
 
DMR-2   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T GET IT Jul20 May27 Apr27 Mar16 Apr08 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 4.00    
CUPID'S CRUSADER Jun16 Aug26 Apr29 Mar17 Jan27 (marquez alf)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
GUCCI BOY Jul20 Jun23 May17 Mar16 Feb10 (williams sean)BAZE C 125 6.00 25% 3.00    
UNCLE JOHN Aug03 May25 Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 (eurton peter)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.50    
FROST ALERT Jul05 Sep16 Sep02 Jun16 May07 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 2.00    
PASS THE BATON Jul27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Jan07 (mclean bill)FRESU ANTONIO 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SUMMER SOLSTICE (IRE) Jul04         ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-3   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 2 F PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLE VALLEY GIRL Jul26         (deleon rafael)FREY KYLE 120 3.00    
DYIN A THIRST Jul26 Jul05 May26 Apr25   (brinkerhoff )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET GRAZEN         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
LITTLE DUMPLING Jul05         (valenzuela ma)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
PEBBLES B AWESOME Jul26         (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
PRINCESS DADDY         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
RECYCLEYOURHEART Jul26 Jun22       (mathis andy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
BUDS N SUDS Jul20 Jul06       (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
DMR-4   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIRAG Jul07 Apr29       (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 15.00    
MENDELSSOHNS MUSIC Jun22 May05       (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Sep16 Aug27 Jul31     (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
ST. ELIGIUS         (cerin vlad)ORANTES R 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVE LYON         (koriner brian)BAZE C 120 4.50    
WESTERN GRIT Jul28 Jun09 May12 Apr20 Jan13 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 8.00    
OCASEK Jul25 Jun13 Jul14 May20 Mar26 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 124 10.00 25% 3.00    
MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Jul25 Jul07 Jun23 Feb02 Dec30 (lucas rober)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
10  SUMMER CHIEF Jul25 Jun16 May04 Aug06   (dunham danie)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 10.00    
11  L SQUARED Jun30 Apr07       (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 6.00    
12  DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Jul21 Jul07 May24 Apr05   (bryant steve)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
14  BILLY JOE SHAVER Jan28 Dec08 Nov18 Sep29   (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  GETEMDUSTY Jul05 Jun23 May18 Mar24 Mar16 ( )TBA null      
SCR  SUNSET STORM Mar17 Feb02 Dec30 Dec01   ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-5   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROL FUNCTION Jun02 May10 Mar29 Feb18 Jan12 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
PORT ELLEN (IRE) May24 Apr13 Oct20 Aug27 Jun18 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  PINK ACE Jun13 May10 Sep02 Aug10 Apr22 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 123 2.00    
GILA Jul04 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 Nov23 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
STRANGE ADDICTION Jul28 Apr28 Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 (mclean bill)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 15.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER Jun13 May24 Apr28 Mar29 Mar01 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
ANKYRAH Jul26 Jun08 Apr28 Mar22 Feb15 (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 2.50    
 
DMR-6   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLASHED IN GOLD Jul25 Jun09       (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 125 12.00    
BIG DRINKER Jun15 May17 Apr19 Mar23 Jan14 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 125 2.50 13% 6.50    
SYNTACTIC Jul05 Jun15 May24 Apr27 Apr07 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 125 5.00    
SUPERMAX Feb11 Nov24 Jun04 May27 Sep04 (hollendorfer jerr)FREY KYLE 125 15.00    
SIPPIN WHISKEY May04 Apr08 Mar26 Sep11 Aug27 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
KEEN TO GO Jun08 Aug05 Jul21 Jun02 Apr23 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
MIDNIGHT MOJO Jun22 Aug27 Jun25 May27 May13 (hollendorfer)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
DMR-7   08/16/2024 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM CTT Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET GLORY (IRE) Jul21 Apr27 Oct23     (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by COTAI GLORY out of GIANT DANCER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LINDA'S GIFT Jun15 May27 Feb24 Jan21 Nov23 (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 0.80 35% 1.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of AMERICANA by TAPIT)
SCR  ABHITA Jul21 May25 Apr28 Mar29 Mar15 (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 30.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WILD CAROLINE by WILDCAT HEIR)
DUVET DAY (IRE) Jun15 May11 Feb24 Jan21 Jun18 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
FEDERALIST PAPERS Aug31 Aug06 Jun11 Oct07 Sep01 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of INFAMOUS by GALILEO (ARG))
SUN OF HILL (BRZ) Jul21         (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 12.00    
  (by CAMELOT KITTEN out of POSITANO by FIRST AMERICAN)
MUSICAL RHAPSODY (IRE) Jun15 May11 Apr04 Feb24 Jan21 (damato philip)SMITH E 125 4.50    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of COLOUR RHAPSODY by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
SCR  ZEYARAAT Jul26 Jun08 May12 Apr26 Feb02 ( )TBA null      
  (by HONOR CODE out of BUNEYA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
DMR-8   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUSTY RUSTY Jul21 Jun23 May31 Apr27 Apr05 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
LANSDOWNE (GB) Jul21 Jul07 May31 Apr27 Apr07 (sweezey kent)BAZE C 122 10.00    
SUNRISE JOURNEY Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 Mar13 Feb19 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
PLAYING HARDBALL Jun23 Oct15 Oct01 Sep03 Jul23 (mccanna tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SOLOMONS GOLD Jun06 May09 Apr07 Mar20 Jan10 (hernandez san)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00    
STONEVICIOUS Jul20 Apr17 Mar07 Feb16 Jan26 (ortiz manue)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 12.00    
SHASHASHAKEMEUP         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 38% 1.60    
RIVOLI Aug04 May25 May03 Apr12 Feb23 (papaprodromou)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PIPER'S CAUSEWAY Jul07 Dec03 Mar17 Feb11 Jan22 (uranga jesu)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
10  CLAMPETT Mar12 May08 Apr08 Mar13 Feb19 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50    
11  EL DIABLO ROJO Aug04 Jul07 Jun08 May27 May05 (williams s)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.