Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/6/8/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/6/8/1/9)-(3/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/6/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/8/1/9)-(3/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/1/9)-(3/4/2/6)-(7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(7/4/9)-(2/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/1/3/9)-(7/4/1/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/9)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9)-(2/8/1/7)-(7/8/3/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/7)-(7/8/3/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/7)-(7/8/3/9/1)-(1/6/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/8/3/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/9/1)-(7/8/3/9/1/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/9/1)-(7/8/3/9/1/10)-(7/8/3/9/1/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (7/8/3/9/1)-(1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUSCAN SAINT         (lorefice matt)SINGH R 117 8.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of GLITTERING SNOW by ROOKIE SENSATION)
2  CLASSIC EMBRACE         (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 8% 12.10    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WANNA CUDDLE by LEESTOWN)
3  ATTILA THE SPUN Jul12 Jun14       (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
4  CLEVER RACE Jul24 Jun28       (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of CLEVER MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV         (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 117 4.50 8% 11.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WANNA SNUGGLE by MASS MEDIA)
6  LUCKY GEM Jul24         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HOT AUTUMN by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  MOPAC TRAFFIC Jun29 Jun14       (gibson jona)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWIFTY VICTRESS by MACHO UNO)
 
LAD-2   08/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SAINT Jun04 May21 Apr26 Feb23 Jan05 (fogarty desmon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KENYA STRIKE Jul16 Jun18 Dec09 Nov09 Aug12 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  PAT HAND GIRL Jul01 Jun05 May18 Feb25 Feb09 (hargrave kennet)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
4  MO CLASSY Jul16 Jun18 Jun05 May21 May07 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
5  MIDNIGHT TRIP Aug02 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 (del er)RAMIREZ JR 117 6.00    
6  SHE TOLD YOU SO Jun25 Jun05 May21 Mar24 Feb23 (delany sarah)BOREL H 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  OUR AMEN Jul16 Jun18 Jun05 May22 May04 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
8  REALITOS Jun17 May08 Mar24 Feb25 Jun19 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 12% 7.40    
9  ANN'S STORM Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 Jun12 Feb25 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STAR'S DREAM Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 May08 Mar24 (hargrave k)RAMIREZ JR 117 15.00    
 
LAD-3   08/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL TOUCH Jul31 Jul04 Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50    
2  SUMMEROSA Jun30 Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 Feb09 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 6% 14.50    
3  SHEZA SALTY GAL Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Feb22 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  RON'S LAVENDER Jul30 Jun22 May26 Apr27 Mar29 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
5  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Jul31 Jun03 May11 Apr26 Apr06 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
6  MISS CHARGE IT Jul31 Jun18 May13 Mar15 Feb23 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00 6% 15.90    
7  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Jul31 Jul04 Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 (witt ii)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00    
 
LAD-4   08/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER Jul17 Jun18 May18 Feb02 Dec28 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 ★    
2  FABLED RULER Jul24 Jul02 Jun05 May06 Mar22 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
3  SHAMAYIM Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 May18 May08 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
4  MORE ICE Jul15 Jan25 Sep12 Jul23 Jun19 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  ZONG TOUGH Jul17 Jun08 May22 May07 Mar13 (foster m)BOREL H 119 8.00    
6  SNIVELING Jun26 Jun03 May08 Mar08 Feb25 (govea cesar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
7  PERFECT STAR Jul03 Jun12 Mar10 Feb24 Jan07 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
8  RUSSIAN TANK Jul24 Jul03 Jun07 May28 May08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
9  Z Z'S PRINCE Jun26 Jun03 May18 Mar23 Mar08 (zeringue j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ASSET BASIS Jul17 Jun18 May28 Apr22 Mar26 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
SCR  HELAIRE Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 May13 Mar16 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY BELLE Jun11 May13 Mar15 Feb29 Feb12 (duke steven)VARGAS P 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Feb23 Jan04 Dec15     (dandridge co)MURRAY M 120 5.00 45% 1.20    
3  MO DIXIE DIVA Jul02 Jun18 May28 May18 Apr26 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 3.50    
4  ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Jul18 Jun27 May30 Apr18 Mar09 (dandridge co)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
5  SPECIAL GIRL Jun25 Jun08 May06     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
SCR  RUN AWAY SAMARI Jul02 Jun18 May28 May04 Feb15 (roberson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00    
7  MY IDEA Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May27 May14 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  RONNIE'S DEAL Jul17 Jun27 May15 Apr28 Apr14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
LAD-6   08/12/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE OF THE PHARAOH         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 6% 15.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  CAT ATE THE CANARY Jun04         (jacks e)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LAZER LASS by FORT LARNED)
3  MAJESTIC TORNADO Jul09         (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of MAJESTIC HOLIDAY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  SHERRYS RIDGE Jul06 May11       (rangel raul)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
5  TRUST FUND BABY Jul30 Jul09 Oct29 Oct10 Sep14 (mickelson judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
  (by MR. SIDNEY out of LET HER MONEY GO by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Jul14 Jul03 May26 May05 Mar30 (govea cesar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 6.00    
  (by CORD'S KOKO NIGHT out of EMBRACETHELADY by EMBRACE THE STORM)
7  MERRILY RUSH Jul09 Jun08 Apr18 May29 May04 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of L X SUNRISE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
8  ADAMANTLY Jul15 Jul01 Jun08 May22 May03 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by ORDAINED out of SENNOCKIAN STORM by STORM CAT)
9  MISS GYPSY         (gomez rafa)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 12.00 6% 14.70    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Jul07 Jun07 Mar28 Feb23 Jan26 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of VATAYANA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
11  ALLEGRODIMOLTO Jun08 Feb09 Dec29     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHEZA DIVA by UNCLE MO)
12  QUEEN OF SALSA Jul12 Feb19       (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of MAJESTIC SMILE by SMILE)
SCR  KOLLYNS JULIE Jul07 Jun22 May19 Apr21 Mar29 (mallery von)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
LAD-7   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY OF THE FAMILY Jun02 May12 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 (martin kevin)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  BOY CHARLIE Mar10 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 Nov24 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
3  BLESSED VISION Jul16 Jul04 Jun24 May28 May05 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
4  CLASSY SHIPMAN Jun19 May06 Oct20 Jul03 Feb18 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HELLO MR COPELAND Jul18 May21 May06 Apr08 Mar25 (dixon tim)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00    
6  SCAT FREE Jul13 Jun14 Apr28 Apr06 Mar15 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jun28 Jun01 Feb04 Nov18 Sep12 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
8  YOU'RE ON MUTE Jul17 Jun25 Jun12 May04 Apr14 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.