Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/5/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-6   WIN (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/4)-(2/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-7   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTM-9   WIN (5/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/8)-(7/5/4/9)-(1/2/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-10   WIN (7/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/9)-(7/5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/9)-(7/5/4/9)-(7/5/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/9)-(1/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-11   WIN (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/8/5)-(1/2/7/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIZNESS ACCOUNT         (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of COUNT THE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
ZIP IT WRIT         (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
BIZ BABE         (nichols)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of EIGHT THIRTYONE by GRAYDAR)
MAKALEI BEACH         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 4.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of VIVA PER LEI by SHAKIN IT UP)
SCR  G T RAY SIR         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by GAYEGO out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
ALLURING ALI         (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 4.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
ITALIAN GRIZ         (leech willia)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
 
CTM-4   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILIN EVIE Jul26 Dec10 Nov24 Oct21 Oct07 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
TEXAS TIDELANDS Jul24 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May19 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00 14% 6.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Aug03 Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 12.00    
SCR  FLORAL Jul12 Jun14 May31 May18 Nov04 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
JOY IN GRACE Aug03 Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80    
MOHAYMEN DAY Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 May19 May04 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 32% 2.10    
LIGHT FAST FEET May19 Oct15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
CTM-5   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRIT IN STONE         (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CONQUEST REBEL by DIXIE UNION)
POCKETFULOFDREAMS Jul17         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
TANGO FOR THE SOUL         (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 119 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
NASAS PRINCESS         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 3.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CANAVERAL LEADER by CAPE CANAVERAL)
HABADABADOO         (russel)STEADMAN LEON 122 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HABIDA by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
ASDEVOTED         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRUE DEVOTION by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
IT'S A GOLD AFFAIR         (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 119 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of WILD DEUCES by FORMAL GOLD)
SEATTLE STING         (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SEATTLE SPLASH by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
CTM-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT LITTLE LADY         (leech wil)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of EVENT OF DEFAULT by HARD SPUN)
NO REJOYCE Jul17         (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 117 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
H K MIMI         (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
MAMA'S QUEEN         (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HEARTLESS SOFIYA by CAPE CANAVERAL)
OKI Jul17         (leech willia)NATERA KEIHTON 122 12.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
KITTY HOUSE Jul17         (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
MY SOCKS ROCK         (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 122 10.00    
  (by IT'S A DANZIG out of WHITE CHAI by STREET HERO)
NO MORE LIES         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
 
CTM-7   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jul19 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 May17 (coney jason)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
LANNY MAC Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May31 (rycroft tom)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00 43% 1.30    
TUCKER TIME Jul31 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 Oct21 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50    
LIL ZAPPER Jul26 Jul10 Jun28 Jun15 May24 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
A MAN'S MAN Jul12 Jul06 Jun01 Apr24 Dec31 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 6.00 19% 4.20    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May17 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
EXAMINER Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 Jun08 May25 (smith )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80    
 
CTM-8   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIZZLIN ROSE Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May19 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 120 6.00    
CINNAMON SAINT Jul26 May17 Jun09     (marks l)CHASE RICHARD 120 12.00    
TENDER LOVE Jul26 Jun28 Jun15 May24 Oct15 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
RUN MYA RUN Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15   (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 20.00    
OOPS (GB) Jul26 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May19 (o'haga)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 1.50 56% 0.80    
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Jul26 Jun15 Jun01 Sep24 Aug19 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 25.00    
PARZANNI Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May17 (davies deann)HUGHES RASHEED 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ISLA VIEW Jul13 Jun29       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
 
CTM-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC COPE Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Aug06 Jul23 (grieves ron)CARTER KYLE 123 12.00    
BON PRIX Jul19 Jul06 Jun01 May18 May04 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.50    
DRINKING AGAIN Jul24 Jul05 Jun21 May31 May17 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50    
CHASE THE SUN Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Aug20 Aug01 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
DON'T LET ME DOWN Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May31 Mar14 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
ZICATELA Jul13 Jun29 Oct08 Sep16 Jul23 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
THALES Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 May27 May04 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00    
LINCHPIN STORM Jul19 Jun09 Oct21 Aug11 Jul23 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-10   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LATE ONE Jul31 Jun22 Jun07 Apr30 Mar25 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.50    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 Jun01 May17 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 12.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC CAFE Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Nov04 Oct21 (ananas edwi)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
PUMP THE BRAKES Jul24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 May17 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 13% 6.90    
WYE CROSS Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
AMUSING WAY Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 May19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50    
JULIUS THE GREAT Jul31 Jul10 Jun29 Jun08 May25 (webster alfred)BRYAN D 125 8.00 22% 3.50    
BRATTON Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May31 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 12.00 8% 11.50    
RUNNINFORCOVER Aug02 Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00    
 
CTM-11   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. DAVE Jul17         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
BRODY'S PAL Jul31 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 May25 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
TRAPEZE Jul26 May31 May18 Oct08 Oct01 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 12.00    
LATE NIGHT LIVING Jul17 Jun08 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 (grieves ron)HUGHES RASHEED 120 5.00    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 Apr24 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
THISCATSGOTSPEED Jul31 Jul19 Jun07 May25 May04 (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 118 10.00    
HANDSOME HENRY Jul17 Jul05 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00 6% 15.20    
ALL RUN Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May18 (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 123 6.00    
SILENT COUNT Jul13 Jun22 May04 Mar24   (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.