Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/5/1)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
CTM-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/6/2/4)-(3/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-8   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 Oct01 Sep16 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  BURROW DOWN Jul12 Jun21 May31 Oct21 Sep18 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50    
PLUM BLUE Jul12 Jun21 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
MAJESTIC OOPS Jul10 Jun22 May31 May18 Feb24 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 9% 9.90    
ECHO CREEK Jul10 Jun21 May31 Oct15 Sep16 (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50    
 
CTM-4   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MCBRIDE Jun07 May25 Oct15 Sep17 Sep01 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MONOPOLIZE Jul19 Oct15 Sep17 Jun02 May26 (grieves ro)MALVEAZ MAURICAO 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
BROKEN PROMISES Jul17 Jun21 Jun07 Oct22 Sep16 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 118 3.50    
HIGHER IMAGE Jul12 Jul01 Jun14 May25 Jul22 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00    
RISING STRONG Jul19         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jun07 May04 Sep01 Aug19 Jul23 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
 
CTM-5   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK BAY QUALITY Jul19 Jul05       (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SIRACHA Jul12 Sep23       (palma m)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 115 3.50    
WORKIN FOR THE MAN Jul17 Jul05 Jun15     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.50    
TRUE ALYBYE Jul06         (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY KIND OF NITE Jun07 May04 Sep04 Aug21 Jul25 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 115 4.00 31% 2.20    
FLIRTATION CARD         (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 115 10.00    
SCR  QUINTO'S TIME Oct08         (pozzo j)CHASE RICHARD 120 15.00    
 
CTM-6   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALLISAR Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Jun08 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 120 12.00    
BIG AL'S VISION Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS MAN CAN Jul10 Oct21 Aug25 Jul23 Jun16 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 73% 0.40    
ADRIEN'S AURORA Jul17 May19 Oct14 Jul28 Jun03 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 6.00    
BEAUGATTI Jul10 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 Sep17 (tingle ke)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 10.00    
RUNNINFORCOVER Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Oct21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
MOONSHINE NOW Jul17 Jul01 Jun08 May24 Oct21 (smith craig)BECKLES JARELLE 125 4.00    
 
CTM-7   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY RIVER PANTS Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May10 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 15.00    
IT WORKED Jul06 Jun15 May25 Dec08 Nov17 (brown j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPORTSCARR Jul19 Jul06 Jun01 Oct21 Oct08 (heggie rod)BECKLES JARELLE 125 6.00    
BARE BACK JACK Jun22 Jun01 May19 Oct15 Sep30 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  THRILL OF THE NITE Jul12 Jun29 May31 May19 May04 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 2.50    
WEDGE POND Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May18 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
MUCHO MAGIC Jul19 Jun29 Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50    
 
CTM-8   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYSTONE Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 Apr04 Mar21 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50    
FOUR O SIX CREED Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May17 Oct22 (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 123 5.00 12% 7.00    
KEEN FLATTER Jul19 Jun28 May17 May04 Dec03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
I'M DASHING Oct15 Sep24 Aug25 Jul22 Jun24 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERSIDE Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 Apr24 Apr04 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
GLAVA Jul12 Jun08 May31 May10 Oct21 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
IT'S A FACT Jul05 May31 Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00    
 
CTM-9   08/02/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABBYSONHOLIDAY Jul17 Jun21 May31 Apr07 Mar15 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 15.00    
POINT TO THE STARS Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May18 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00    
DECOY Jul12 Jun21 May31 May10 Oct21 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
DERZKII Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May17 Dec15 (oberhol)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 4.00    
SMART PLAY Jul17 Jun28 May31 May17 Oct15 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00    
FLASHFORDANI Jul17 Jun28 Jun08 May17 Oct21 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
COOLWIND Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.