Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/4/9/6)-(5/1/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6)-(2/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/9/6)-(5/1/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/6)-(5/1/2/9)-(8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (5/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/9)-(5/1/2/9/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/9)-(5/1/2/9/11)-(5/1/2/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/9)-(8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/9)-(8/3/2)-(6/2/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-4   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(6/2/5/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2)-(6/2/5/7/8)-(8/1/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-5   WIN (6/2/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7/8)-(6/2/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7/8)-(6/2/5/7/8)-(6/2/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7/8)-(8/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7/8)-(8/1/7)-(1/12/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-6   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(1/12/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(1/12/7/6)-(2/7/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-7   WIN (1/12/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/7/6)-(1/12/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/12/7/6)-(1/12/7/6)-(1/12/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/12/7/6)-(2/7/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/7/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATTIVO RAGAZZO         (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
LADY LIBERTY BELLE         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 114 3.50 26% 2.90    
BOYD'S BAND Jul07 Jul13 Jun23 May27 Sep02 (cr)LUNA PAUL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
OVERSPENT Jul13         (hendriks ri)ROBLES O 112 4.50    
SKYLAR'S BROTHER Jun22 Jun09 May11     (capuano phillip)RUIZ JORGE 119 1.80    
SCR  SOUTHERN PASS TIME Jul11 Jun29 Feb28     (rodriguez j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 15.00    
 
DEL-2   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUNT BERRA Jul22 Jun18 May22 May06 Apr09 (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00    
WIN DIXIE RONNIE Apr28 Mar16 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
NAMI Jul17 Jun29 May10 Apr07 Mar30 (sa)LUNA PAUL 125 5.00    
SURVIVAL ROSE Jul24 Jun19 May22 May01 Apr19 (richards re)ROBLES O 111 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  ALL HAIL MO Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Nov28 Nov14 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
LADY LANCER Jul11 Jun19 May29 Apr12 Mar16 (sepulveda carl)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DUNE JUMPER Jun11 May22 May14 May01 Apr22 (hogan wil)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
NO MORE DIAMONDS Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (iannotti thoma)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
STYLISH ANNA Jul17 Jul04 Jun22 May25 May01 (richards re)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
 
DEL-3   07/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIKI BAR Jun29 Jun19 May29 Apr27 Apr06 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
DOWNTOWN KATIE Jul05 May29 Nov19 Oct14 Sep09 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  CARROLL GIRL Jul14 Jun26 Jun01 Apr26 Apr14 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 2.00    
LIFFEY Jul11 Jun22 May23 Mar28 Feb29 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SOURCE (GB) Jul08 Jun12       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 115 3.50 54% 0.90    
HERON BAY May01 Mar27 Dec31 Dec10 Aug03 (drysdale )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00    
JOY AND PROSPERITY Jul06 Jun02 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (ward dan)BRAVO J 120 8.00    
BLONDE SAMARITAN Jun29 Jun19 Oct13 Sep07 Aug24 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
BOARDWALK FRIES Jun27 Jun13 May25 Dec13 Oct29 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINE GRACE Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 May22 Apr17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.60    
11  PRECIOUS AVARY Jul13 Jun08 Apr22 Nov11 Oct14 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Jun29 Sep22 Aug19 Jul14 May11 (downing willia)ROCCO S 120 8.00    
 
DEL-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMANCE BY CHANCE Jul22         (hawthorne bob)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
DERBY EFFORT         (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 7% 12.70    
EXHALE Jun24         (solis jacinto)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
PRINCESS MIA         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 8.00    
ROSE'S WISH         (avila jua)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00    
XOCHIL Jul13         (rodriguez j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 12.00    
LINO AND ME Jul13 Jun20       (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
UPTOWN MISS Jul13 Jun20       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
SWEET AND FEISTY Jul13 Jun20       (nambo ces)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS MAVIS Jul13         (werneth robe)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
DEL-5   07/31/2024 5490ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEYTON ELIZABETH Jul14 Jun16 May16 Apr14 Feb02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.50    
GO BIG GREEN Jun28 Jun09 Apr19 Mar23 Feb17 (breen j)ROCCO S 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
MY THOUGHTS Jul24 Jul04 May24 Sep16 Aug04 (woolley tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
SAL'S BLUE JACKET Jun27 Jun08 Apr19 Oct01 Aug31 (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00    
PRINCESS JAVONCIA Jun29 May31 May03 Jan20 Dec30 (merryman eliz)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
WELL INTO Jul08 May06 May19 Apr08 Mar12 (thomas jona)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
BROADWAY BOOGIE Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 Oct23 Sep07 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
RAGTIME BELLE Nov02 Oct06 Aug24 Jul15 Jun24 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
THEREARENORULES Jun10 Oct31 Oct07 Sep06 Jul23 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
10  BRAMBLE BAY Jul06 Apr21 Feb21 Nov18 Oct06 (breen j)BRAVO J 120 4.50    
 
DEL-6   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKMAN Jul07 Jun07 May25 Apr16 Mar09 (compton gre)ROBLES O 114 6.00 13% 6.60    
CHIEF RON Jul07 Jun07 May16 Apr19 Mar10 (ward dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 123 4.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME May18 May01 Apr14 Apr06 Feb21 (yanez rey)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
CAPTAIN QUINT Jul08 Jun07 Apr21 Mar30 Feb23 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 8.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Jun27 May01 Apr14 Mar20 Feb18 (de kar)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
SYNTHESIS Jul14 May26 Apr20 Mar30 Mar07 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 3.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jul21 Jun22 Jun07 May22 Mar24 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPIKEZONE Jul03 Jun12 May25 Apr17 Mar23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
DEL-7   07/31/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMITHWICK'S SPICE Jul07 Jun16 Apr27 Apr07 Feb24 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
GROUCH Jul06 Jun09 Oct13 Sep04 Aug27 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 119 8.00    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Jul22 Jun12 Apr22 Mar22 Mar01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
SCR  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER Jul23 Jun30 Jun10 Apr21 Apr05 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  VANCE SCHOLARS Jun30 Jun14 May27 Apr13 Mar17 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 1.60    
CORONOVA Jul04 Jun15 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 (ashby lynn)BATISTA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISSION MAN Jul14 Jun23 May30 Apr19 Oct26 (merryman el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  DALINAR Jun07 May18 Feb04 Jan13 Dec17 (ashby lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 114 15.00    
RICCIO Jun15 Jun01 Apr27 Nov16 Sep10 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
SCR  ALWAYSINAHURRY Jun28 May25 May25 Apr29 Apr15 (capuano phillip)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.50    
11  THE COLORA KID Jul18 Jun29 Jun22 Jun01 Nov03 (smit)THOMAS GARFIELD 119 30.00    
12  APRIL FOOLS ANDY Jun30 May15 Mar01 Feb03 Dec23 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
DEL-8   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Jun14 Apr24 Apr09 Feb14 Jan26 (siculietano da)LUNDIE KEVIN 118 20.00    
RUSSIAN HAMMER Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May15 (posadas p)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
BIG TONE C Jul07 Jun26 Jun12 Jun01 May16 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 113 4.00    
I HAD ENOUGH Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May12 Apr26 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 8.00 17% 4.80    
NET WORTH Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun05 May22 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
LET IT RIDENESS Jul04 Jun26 May15 Apr13   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50    
WESLEY THOMAS Jun30 Jun20 May04 Apr06 Mar16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
NO WALK INTHE PARK Jun22 Jun08 May18 Apr27 Mar29 (pham van)IORIO MELISSA 108 20.00    
GRAND ROZZO Jun22 Jun12 Apr27 Jan26 Dec24 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.