Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
GPR-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/2)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GPR-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
GPR-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/5/2)-(1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
GPR-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GPR-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M OUTTA HERE Jul13 Aug13 Jul15 Jun18 Jun11 (miyashiro)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.20    
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Jun22 Jun09 Oct07 Sep24 Sep16 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
DISTINCT APPROVAL Jul21 Jun29 Jun09 Aug28 Aug02 (cameron dea)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80    
SOUTHERN LASS Jun22 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 5.00 7% 13.30    
 
GPR-3   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIZZLE N SUSIE Jul14 Jun08 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
SCR  LANDRY KYLE Jul14 Jun22 Jun08 Oct07 Sep24 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
BAKFIRE BABY Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 Jun01 May19 (coney jason)LUNAN RICHARD 124 1.40 30% 2.30    
SAYITALL Jul14 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 Oct07 (snider corey)NELSON RYAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Jul14 Jul07 Jun09 Apr23 Apr10 (weaselhead )GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00    
 
GPR-4   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDY BEAR Jul07 Jun23 Oct14 Sep23   (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
SILVER TIP Jul17 Jul05 Jun07     (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of RARE DELIGHT by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  PONCHOLIGHTSOUT Jul14         (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by LINE OF HEAT out of PONCHA PASS by TABIB)
NO MOR DISCO Jul07 Oct14 Oct01     (shearer krist)FUENTES FREDY 124 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DISCO DAMSEL by GILDED TIME)
GOODSTRIKER Jul06         (giesbrecht jocely)ROCHA O 124 3.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CHARITY DATE by BIRDSTONE)
VAPER Oct07         (perry carl)EDWARDS A 124 10.00    
  (by EL CHURRUCA out of ROCK D'OR by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
GPR-5   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Distaff Series ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May01 Apr16 (calfrobe sha)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of DEPUTY MISS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
CAUSIN MISCHIEF Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 Oct09 Sep24 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 0.80 62% 0.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DYNAMIC LADY by DYNAFORMER)
LOUD FUSAICHI Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 Jan06 Dec17 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 2.50    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SILENT FUSAICHI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SATURDAY SERVICE Sep30 Sep19 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 (weaselhead god)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SHELLPHONE Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 (weaselhead)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
 
GPR-6   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISING REVOLUTION Jul14 Oct07 Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 4.00    
ALTITUDE Jun28 Jun23 Jun09 Oct08 Oct01 (cameron dean)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
FULLOUT FIRE Jun28 Jun09 Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
YNOTGIVEITAGO Jul14 Jun28 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
REDNECK REMARK Jun29 Jun09 Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 8.00 5% 18.20    
FLYING SUN Jul13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr01 (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.50    
 
GPR-7   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST EMERALD Jul14 Apr18 Apr10 Mar21 Feb26 (weaselhead )GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  SASSY CINDERELLA Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun16 Oct21 (rycroft cli)EDWARDS A 124 8.00    
GWIZZ Jul21 Jun28 Oct22 Oct14 Oct01 (calfrobe kay)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
DYLAN'S SAVE Jul07 Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 Jul23 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 4.00    
DANCING ZAZINGA Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 Oct07 Sep09 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
READY TO ORBIT Jul21 Jun29 Sep24 Aug13 Jul29 (gwilliam )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPORAH Jul07 Oct07 Sep13 Aug28 Jul31 (snider corey)POWELL ANDRE 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.