Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/7/3/1)-(5/8/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1)-(5/8/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(5/8/4/9)-(3/5/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/9)-(5/8/4/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/9)-(5/8/4/7/9)-(5/8/4/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/4/9)-(3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/9)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(3/2/1/5)-(2/6/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(2/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(2/1/5)-(4/8/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA CHI RHO Jul05 Jun14 Feb06 Dec16 Oct28 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 0.60 64% 0.60    
2  MISTER WINSTON Jun13 May24 May03 Mar21 Feb04 (shanley tim)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE May31 Jan31 Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
4  DUDE AND JUMPER Jul18 Jul12 Jun24 May06 Apr02 (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 ★    
5  BAHAMA CHANNEL Jun26 Jun12 May16 Apr12 Mar17 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
6  KRUG Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 May23 May03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
7  MASAI MAN May03 Mar23 Mar16 Mar08 Mar01 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
8  CLAW Jul12 Jul06 Jun14 May24 May05 (maldonado joe)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
 
CT-2   07/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUZIA Jun20 Nov29 Sep23 Aug25 Jul22 (gazzier kris)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jul13 May30 May16 May04 Apr18 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
3  CUT HIM LOOSE Jun08 May16 Apr18 Mar08 Feb02 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jun28 Jun08 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 (pennella rh)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 15.00    
5  PALACIO Jun28 Jun06 May16 Apr27 Apr20 (tobin edwi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 15.00    
6  FLORIDIFIED Jun28 Jun08 May17 Feb22 Jan27 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
7  GHOST OF ALCINA Jul13 Jun20 May16 Apr20 Jan04 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
8  SWIPE THAT CANDY Jul13 Jun07 May17 Apr20 Apr05 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00    
 
CT-3   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRAYAL Jul05 Jun29 Jun13 May23 May02 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
2  COLONIAL ROAD Jul18 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Apr25 (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
3  MY BUDDY DUANE Jun24 Jun18 Apr28 Mar30 Nov01 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
4  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 Jun01 Apr25 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 111 12.00 15% 5.80    
5  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jul05 Jun13 May23 May02 Apr12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
6  DOG TOWN ALLEN Jun29 Jun08 May18 May02 Apr06 (harrison n)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
7  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Jul05 Jun13 May23 May11 Jan11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.50 ★    
8  RIDE THE BRAND Jul13 Jun20 May10 Apr05 Mar13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 8.00 29% 2.40    
9  ROAD PUNCH Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Nov16 Oct19 (johnson jamey)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   07/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPACHILL Jul12 May31 Feb21 Jan26 Dec15 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 20.00    
2  BINGO WAS HIS NAME Apr26 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 7% 13.80    
3  STELLARS IN CHARGE Jul06 May31 Apr29 Mar30 Feb16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  UNCLE CHINITO Jul04 Jun13 May26 Apr28 Apr07 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. BUSTA Jul05 Jun04 May14 Apr20 Mar30 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  ONE TRUTH Jun20 Jun11 May24 May09 Apr09 (dimitriou harr)REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
7  RESTLESS Jul13 Jun02 May11 Apr21 Mar30 (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 3.50    
SCR  FREE DROP BACH Jun15 May23 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
 
CT-5   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jul05 Jun14 May23 May03 Apr04 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jun08 May03 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  THEWITCHISGONE Jul05 Jun14 May18 Apr27 Mar16 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  ROCKET APPEAL Jun14 Jun01 May16 May03 Apr19 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
5  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Jul09 Jun16 Jun09 May27 Dec13 (dixon geoffr)WHITACRE GRANT 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN APPEAL Jul05 Jun14 May23 May04 Apr13 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50    
7  AUBURN MILL Jul05 Jun14 May04 Mar28 Mar07 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.00    
 
CT-6   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA BABY Jul07 Apr11 Mar22 Feb29 Feb09 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 12.00    
2  FOXY SISTA May23 May09 Oct14 Sep09 Aug25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.80 65% 0.50    
3  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 May25 Mar22 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
4  LUCKY BLONDE Jul13 Jun22 May23 May03 Apr11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 12.00    
5  SWEET MISS MAGGIE Jul08 May16 Apr17 Dec31   (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUBASLILBALLERINA Jul11 Jun22 May30 May23 May03 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
7  NO DENYING DENIS Jul04 Jun22 May23 May03 Apr11 (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEN MASTER Jul01 Jun01 May09 Apr12 Feb16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
2  AL LOVES JOSIE Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  DEBIT CARD Jun12 Mar18 Feb18 Feb09 Jan06 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 3.00    
4  FANCY CONCHO Jul09 Jun27 May16 Oct14 Sep09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50    
5  ROYAL PAIN May19 May05 Apr20 Mar27 Feb17 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOTIVATING Jun29 May30 Apr18 Mar27 Mar09 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   07/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSUPTOME Jul05 Jun14 May24 Oct06 Sep21 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIT OF BLESSINGS Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May02 Apr21 (collins tim)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 124 3.50    
3  ORO OSCURO         (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  CARMELIZED Jul05 Jun14 Jun08 Jul01 Jun01 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  VIESTE Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May24 Apr20 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
6  RUMORGOINGAROUND Feb28 Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec14 (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 20.00    
7  SWISS HORIZON Jul05 Jun14 May24 May02 Apr11 (pyke joseph)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
8  FUNNY ROAD         (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
9  CLASSY FOE Jun14 Jun07 May09     (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.