Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(7/1/5/3)-(2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTSCARR Jul06 Jun01 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 (heggie rod)BECKLES JARELLE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BON PRIX Jul06 Jun01 May18 May04 Oct15 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 May17 May04 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
4  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jun29 Jun15 May31 May10 Oct07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
5  WEDGE POND Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May18 May04 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  MUCHO MAGIC Jun29 Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
7  LINCHPIN STORM Jun09 Oct21 Aug11 Jul23 Jun30 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 125 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
CTM-4   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sonoma Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILKSTONE Jul10 Jun07 Oct22 Oct07 Aug25 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 117 2.00 19% 4.30    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
2  OOPS AND DOWNS Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May19 Jan15 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 6.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS OOPS by OLMODAVOR)
3  ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO Jun21 Jun07 May18 Apr20 Aug19 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CHAPEL DANCER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
4  WHO'S THAT BABY Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 Dec02 Nov02 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 10.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RING IN THE NITE by WHERE'S THE RING)
5  KELROSIE Jul06 Jun07 May24     (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GENTEELA by SUAVE)
6  MARAMAX Jul05 Jun07 May19 Oct14   (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
CTM-5   07/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Count Lathum Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY CITY Jul06 Jun07 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CITY SECTION by CITY ZIP)
2  SKIPPER'S PRIDE Jul05 Jun07 May18 Oct14 Aug05 (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by KLIMT out of ZAPHIA by BERNSTEIN)
3  ITSALLGOODMAN Jul05 Jun07 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  NORTHERN FORCE Jun22 Jun08 May17 Oct14 Sep16 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 10.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NORTHERN STORM by ROSBERG)
5  TAYLOR FIELD Jun22 Sep23       (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 116 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KEEP IT A SECRET by THUNDER GULCH)
6  TICKET TO THE TOP Jul05 Jun08 May18 Feb28 Feb16 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 121 2.50 11% 8.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of FINE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CTM-6   07/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT TO THE STARS Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May18 Dec10 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00    
2  SAXON SAGA Jul01 May31 May01 Oct22 Oct07 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 6.00    
3  WALKTHELINE Jul05 Jun21 Jun01 Oct21 Oct07 (oberholtzer ke)MARTIN ANDRE 123 12.00    
4  COOLWIND Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr07 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  KEEN FLATTER Jun28 May17 May04 Dec03 Aug06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 ★    
6  DON'T LET ME DOWN Jul05 Jun21 May31 Mar14 Feb21 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  RAILWAY Jul05 May31 May17 Sep16 Aug26 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK BAY QUALITY Jul05         (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
2  LEGAL ASSASSIN Jul06 Jun08       (heggie rod)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
3  DEFINITELY ITALIAN         (heggie rod)BECKLES JARELLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DA BOSS         (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 5.00    
5  PADDY'S SPEEDSTER Jul06 Jun08       (humbke )CHASE RICHARD 115 10.00 16% 5.10    
6  MORE THAN A FLASH Jul06 Jun08       (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 25.00    
7  THISCATSGOTSPEED Jun07 May25 May04 Sep30 Sep23 (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
8  CAPE'S LEGACY Jun22 Jun07 May17 May04 Sep30 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 120 3.00    
9  FULL MEASURE Jun07         (humbke ch)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 120 20.00    
 
CTM-8   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICK DIAL Jun14 May31 May18 Aug11 Jul16 (wendland wy)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
2  MONOPOLIZE Oct15 Sep17 Jun02 May26 Oct29 (grieves ro)MALVEAZ MAURICAO 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  SINGING BELL Jul06 Jun22 May31 Oct01 Sep16 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jun07 May04 Sep01 Aug19 Jul23 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
5  JODEYS LIL PAIN Jun07 May18 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 118 6.00    
6  ANN Mar15 Mar01       (c)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00    
7  RISING STRONG         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHY NOT DANCE Jun28 Aug04 Jul21     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.