Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/4/1)-(1/2/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/2/6)-(2/1/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/1/3)-(6/1/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/1/7)-(6/7/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/7)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(6/7/1)-(2/7/1/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TICKET Jun26 Jun12 May21 Sep20 Sep11 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
KITON Jun19 May27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul26 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.00    
MORO OUTLAW Jun19 Jun03 May21 Aug30 Aug23 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 0.60 39% 1.60    
STONE CAFE Jun26 Jun12 Aug22 Aug08 Sep25 (zawislak da)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 25.00    
ASANO'S BACK Jun18 Jun05 Apr22 Apr13 Mar10 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-2   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE MAKER Jun26 Jun12 Jun04 May21 Apr27 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDENEYED Jun18 Sep06 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 122 3.00    
MARK YE WELL Jun17 Jun03 May20 Aug23 Aug07 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 4.00    
EXCHEQUER Jun18 Jun04 Sep06 Aug14 Jul25 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
SENOR JOBIM Jun18 Apr20 Apr06 Feb28 Feb10 (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.20 25% 3.00    
 
ASD-3   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE STORM Jun19 Jun12 Mar27 Mar18 Feb27 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 0.80 31% 2.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SINISTER TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
DISTINCT TALE Jun26         (hrymak bren)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of DISTINCTIVELY by AWESOME AGAIN)
PINO BAMBINO Jun26 Jun11 May28 Sep18 Aug29 (gaskin)PATTERSON R 116 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
TEAPARTYTODAY Jun19 Jun04 Dec17     (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 119 10.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of ZAFRINA by GHOSTZAPPER)
MOR OF TADAA Jun26 Jun11 May28 Aug29   (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 4.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TADAA by GOING COMMANDO)
DOUBLE CORUBA Jun04 May21       (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of J'S HOT SHOT LADY by BADGE OF SILVER)
 
ASD-4   07/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASINO QUEEN Jun25 Jun03 May21 Mar29 Mar15 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 23% 3.30    
HALFINTHEWRAPPER Jun25 Jun04 May21 Oct22 Oct05 (moreno c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 0.40 33% 2.00    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Jun25 May18 Oct15 Sep06 Aug09 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAJESTIC GIG Jun25 May12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar15 (anderson we)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 10.00    
MAIBELLA Jul01 Jun19 Jun05 May21 Sep19 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 15.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Jun12 Oct22 Oct14 Oct01 Sep12 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 121 25.00    
 
ASD-5   07/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLY ESA Jun26 Apr30 Apr04 Mar19 Mar04 (delaronde l)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
HIGH PRESS Jun18 Jun05 May21 Apr15 Mar09 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 124 5.00    
SCR  TOTALIZER Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 May20 Sep11 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00    
EXOTIC'S BEAR Jun26 Jun05 May21 Apr20 Apr05 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 12.00    
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Jun26 May05 Sep25 Jul23 Jun04 (anderson we)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00    
KATE'S PRINCESS Jun25 Jun12 Jun03 May20 Sep12 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.60 23% 3.30    
MISTER MCLEAN Jun05 Apr19 Apr05 Mar09 Sep11 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   07/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN OUR DREAMS Jun19 Jun05 Nov11 Oct12 Sep23 (anders)PATTERSON R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRESS ON BABY Jun05 Apr07 Mar22 Feb18 Feb04 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 107 4.00    
B B BEAR Jul01 Jun03       (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 117 25.00    
BLUE TANGO (GB) Jun25 Jun03 May20 Nov03 Oct19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 1.80    
BOTTLES AN BIBLES Jun19 Jun05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 20.00    
AWARENESS AUTISM Jun19 Jun05 May27 Apr30 Apr22 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 117 1.20 68% 0.50    
BAD PIXIE Jul01 Jun10 Jun05 May27 Sep26 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-7   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Frank Arnason Memorial Sire Purse ($40K) 3 C/G PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCINGINTHECREEK Jun26 Jun11 May28 Aug09 Jul04 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 8.00 9% 9.90    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MIDNIGHT SHADOW by TRAJECTORY)
SILVER JAGUAR Jun26 Jun12 Jul04     (moreno c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
J L COPPER Jun26 Jun12 Sep18 Aug29   (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 30.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
NO SHOW NO CALL Jun26 Jun12 May28 Apr13   (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 122 0.60    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
SCR  JUSTLEMMEATEM Jun26 May28 Sep19 Aug30 Aug14 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
MOONMAN RULES Jun26 Jun11       (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 117 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
L M TUCKER Jun26 Jun11 May28     (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
NO MAGIC Jun26 Jun11       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of TERRI THE MAGIC by DEHERE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.