Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/4/7/2)-(7/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(7/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/2)-(7/1/6/3)-(8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(8/5/2)-(2/7/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(2/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2)-(2/7/6/9)-(4/6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/9)-(2/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/9)-(2/7/6/9)-(2/7/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/9)-(4/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/9)-(4/6/5/3)-(3/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(3/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/9/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6)-(8/9/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEETMARYSMAN May25 May03 Apr26 Mar21 Mar13 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Jun15 May25 May03 Apr13 Mar13 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 13% 6.60    
PINNACLE REEF May25 May03 Mar13 Feb21 Feb08 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.00 57% 0.80    
ORANGEBURG Jun07 Jan12 Dec16 Dec05 Oct31 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
CURB THAT TIGER Jun13 May23 May02 Mar21 Feb21 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 119 2.50    
SCARE DEM Jun15 May09 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   07/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PEARL HART Jun06 Apr20 Apr13 Mar08 Feb23 (comi ralph)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 119 3.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FLEETNESS May30         (collins tim)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
HEY MACARENA Jun15 Jun06 May17 Apr25 Apr04 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 50.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of EXOTIC PRIDE by DESERT GOD)
THUNDAR CLOUD         (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LYRICALLY by THUNDER GULCH)
MISS SHACK ATTACK Mar02         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
SAFFRON Jun15 May30 May04     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 1.00 44% 1.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DANCE AGAIN by WILD WONDER)
MY SOFIA ROSE         (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 15.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of MOONING FOR YOU by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-3   07/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD UP         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Jun13 May31 Apr26 Apr06 Feb25 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 119 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of DBLSECRETPROBATION by PROUD CITIZEN)
CALL ME KAT Jun05 Apr24       (dollinger-)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of Q. T. KAT by STAR CAT)
TECH DUINN Jun13 Jun03 May04 Apr12 Oct20 (venham d)MAYHEW W 119 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
SCR  MY BUDDY FRANK         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 119 1.60    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DE MARQUEE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
JANES JENSEN         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SECOND MARRIAGE by NOT FOR LOVE)
RADAR ALERT Mar24 Feb10       (runco c)HO WESLEY 124 1.40 42% 1.40    
  (by IMAGINING out of WATERSIDE DREAM by GREAT NOTION)
SAME DAY AS L J May17 Apr27       (vick timo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 109 12.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of UMIGHTBEANEMPRESS by NICANOR)
 
CT-4   07/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY THE KID Jun26 May25 Apr13 Mar22 Mar01 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
DAN THE MAN CAN Jun20 May16 Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLAW Jun14 May24 May05 Mar29 Mar16 (maldon)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
BUBBA G Jun20 May25 Jan10 Nov24 Nov11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
GRAND FIBER Jun20 Jun08 May16 Apr20 Mar27 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 8% 12.00    
E J'S REVENGE Jun20 May30 May11 Apr26 Mar14 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50    
JAZZ MAN DO Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 (pennella rhea )REAP E 122 20.00    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jun20 May25 Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 (brown keith )LEWIS M 115 1.80 68% 0.50    
 
CT-5   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXTRA DIRTY Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr12 Feb11 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 15.00    
EIGHT OZ MOCHA         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 2.00 42% 1.40    
SUGGAFREE DAIQUIR May24         (rangel ri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 30.00    
MAIDENS BLUSH May30 May04 Apr13 Nov11   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
I'M FRIESAN Jun15         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
KATAKANA         (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 10.00 13% 6.50    
PASS THE CASH Jun15 May30 Mar27 Feb14 Jan24 (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 1.20 24% 3.10    
SCR  DAISY'S ANGEL Jun05 Oct14 Sep16     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00    
DEE DEE SIX Jun15 May24 May03 Mar27 Mar07 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jun29 Jun08 Jun01 Apr25 Apr11 (pennella )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
DOC ELM Jun07 Nov16 Oct19 Sep07 Aug03 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
CAJUN JOE Jun13 May23 May04 Apr27 Mar23 (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
STELLARS IN CHARGE May31 Apr29 Mar30 Feb16 Jan12 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
MISSIONARY May25 May16 May03 Mar30 Feb08 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
COLT ROCK Jun15 Jun04 May03 Apr18 Mar23 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jun15 May09 Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 12.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jun15 May18 Apr26 Apr06 Mar14 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTENDED STREAK Jun14 Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 Nov01 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Jun14 Jun06 May16 Apr20 Mar27 (caison l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
JUBA'S PUNCH Jun13 Jun07 May03 Apr18 Mar27 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
MAD SWANN Jun14 May03 Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  YES TO LOVE Jun14 May09 Apr27 Feb28 Feb15 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 118 3.50    
SYMPTOMATIC Jun08 May16 Mar20 Mar08 Feb16 (viands stace)LEWIS M 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Jun14 Jun08 May24 Apr18 Mar30 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REY O REYES Jun08 Apr13 Apr04 Feb28 Feb08 (pyke joseph)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Jun16 May31 Apr20 Apr13 Mar08 (parram de)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112 2.50 13% 6.60    
ROCKY DICE May24 May03 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (horn el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Jun27 Jun08 May11 Apr20 Apr13 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY CHAMP May25 May03 Mar20 Feb28 Jan24 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
CAYENNE CREEK Mar28 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Jan04 (davis r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANTIPOISON Jun14 Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 (maldonado joel)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
MARK DID IT Jun14 May25 May04 Apr12 Mar20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 38% 1.60    
MONTAUK DADDY Jun23 Jun01 May11 Apr26 Apr12 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.