Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/4/3/5)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/5)-(1/4/3)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/6/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/6/4/5)-(8/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(8/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/5)-(8/7/3)-(7/4/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(7/4/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3)-(7/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENETIC DAY Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 15.00    
2  OLD TOBY Mar18 Mar04 Jul13 Jun14 May30 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 8.00    
3  ALWAYS A KING Mar25 Mar08 Feb18     (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  LORD CREW Mar18 Nov13 Oct07 Sep14 Aug26 (davis d)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
5  COME BET Mar18 Oct11 Sep22     (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  WILD WING Mar25 Mar05 Dec13 Nov30 Oct13 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
WRD-2   04/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAY IT NICELY Nov13 Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Aug07 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
2  SHELL SHOCKER Mar12 Nov13 Nov03 Sep23 Sep13 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 125 3.00    
3  DIXIE FURY Mar12 Feb24 Dec14 Nov25 Nov13 (martin steve)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
4  SIDETOWN Mar12 Nov13 Oct19 Sep29 Sep14 (william)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  BANJO BEAR Mar12 Feb24 Nov30 Nov13 Nov01 (martin steve)QUINONEZ B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIRANDEN Dec13 Nov21 Nov14 Nov04 Sep16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  TIN BADGE Nov08 Oct14 Sep17 Aug25 Jul17 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00    
 
WRD-3   04/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAGGY EDGE Mar11 Dec16       (pruitt m)KIMES C 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of IKNEWGIRLNAMENIKKI by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
SCR  WON NINETY Mar07 Feb23       (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  WRINKLE ROAD Mar01 Feb04 Dec07 Nov18   (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SATURDAY LAUNCH out of ZELNA J by ROY)
4  MACH TWO Sep09 Aug10 Jul20     (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of YANKEE SWEETHEART by LION HEARTED)
5  DETERMINED LOVER Mar20 Mar05 Dec15 Dec08   (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 2.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ROMANTIC MYTH by ICE BOX)
6  HE'S ALL EARS Mar19 Mar05 Feb08 Jan20 Dec07 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
 
WRD-4   04/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO WORLDS Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 Sep29 Aug16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  WAVERUNNER Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct04 May02 (davis d)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  INCORRIGIBLE Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 Oct13 Jul31 (gibson jona)WETHEY JR 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  ONE TIME GEM Feb13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov23 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
5  DEL MOON Mar20 Mar04 Dec17 Nov11 Oct27 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 8.00    
6  LIMBO'S PROMISE Oct01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (coffey)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 20.00    
7  LIARS CLUB Mar20 Mar04 Feb19 Jan19 Jan07 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 119 4.00    
 
WRD-5   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBELENA Dec08         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 1.40 60% 0.70    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of MISS SNOW NOSE by BROKEN VOW)
2  K O AMERICAN PIE Mar18 Nov02 Sep07     (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SUGAR PIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  GOSPEL BLOSSOM Mar18 Mar04 Dec08 Aug18   (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
4  OPTIMISTIC WOMAN         (stephens jerry)LANDEROS C 125 12.00 8% 12.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of AMERICAN SOUND by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  HOLY AMA Dec14 Nov17 Oct25     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of SLEW WATER SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
6  CHEEKY KISS         (williams alan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 8% 10.80    
  (by LIAISON out of SOONER FITE by FISTFITE)
7  GOSPEL COZY Mar12         (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of A. P. OX by OXBOW)
 
WRD-6   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC LIAISON Mar18 Nov21 Oct19 Oct05 Sep08 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  CRAZY LOVER May15 May02 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 (espiritu lucio)MORA GERARDO 119 3.50    
3  CINCO STEVE Mar12 Nov30 Nov01 Oct06 Sep15 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET BAKER Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 (davidson brent)KIMES C 119 3.00    
5  EURO SUPRISE Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct27 Apr24 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 6.00    
SCR  KWIK Jul03 May17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 119 15.00    
7  HUNTER QUICK Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jan20 Dec28 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
8  JOLLY JUMPER Mar18 Jul19 Jun28 May24 May03 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
 
WRD-7   04/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN KISSES Mar11 Sep21 May15 Apr26 Mar28 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 5.00    
2  ALWAYS BE DANCIN Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00    
3  CUECA Nov25 Oct14 Sep24 Sep07 Aug24 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOSPEL SISTER Aug24 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 Dec14 (williams f)KIMES C 125 5.00 20% 4.10    
5  TWO HANDS FULL Mar08 Feb19 Jan26 Jan13 Nov11 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 125 4.00    
6  LA PARADISO JORDAN Dec09 Nov20 Oct18 Oct05 Sep15 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 125 15.00    
7  LADY ZEPHYR Mar18 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 Sep01 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
8  SWEET ATTITUDE Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Dec16 Nov02 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
WRD-8   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOJO Mar11 Dec09 Nov25 May12 Apr22 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 1.60 34% 1.90    
2  MY MAYBELENNE Mar18 Sep30 Sep16 Aug31   (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
3  JILL'S LEMON DROP Mar03 Dec07 Nov10 Aug04 Jul16 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
4  BATHING BEAUTY Dec13 Nov10       (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  REALITY CHECK Mar18 Dec09 Nov21 Nov10 Oct18 (stephens jerry)LANDEROS C 125 20.00    
6  PAGEANT PURRFECT Dec31 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Aug08 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
7  FREYAS CATZ Dec13 Nov21 Nov08 Oct11 Sep22 (baze t)KIMES C 125 3.50    
8  SPLITSECONDECISION Dec09 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May16 (davis d)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHEZONEZESTREET Sep09 Aug30 Aug09 Jul23 Jul01 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.