Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/2/4)-(3/5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/5/6/2)-(4/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/2)-(4/3/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(3/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(3/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(3/8/2)-(8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(8/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(8/3/4)-(5/1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/6/1)-(8/3/4/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(5/1/7/6)-(8/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(8/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/9)-(8/7/9/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/9)-(8/7/9/6/10)-(8/7/9/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYFIELD STRONG Feb21 Feb02 Dec18 Dec01 Sep01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 1.40 53% 0.90    
2  SLICK COUNTRY BOY Mar04 Dec13 Oct07 Aug26   (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 5.00    
3  IMMORAL Mar02 Jan05 Dec15 Nov14 Oct28 (jansen kenn)WETHEY JR 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  GOSPEL TRUMPET Mar04 Nov01 Oct05 Sep06 Dec16 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 8.00    
5  WEST JET Mar04 Dec07 Nov11 Oct06 Sep21 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 13% 6.60    
6  SAZON Mar04 Dec14 Nov30 Nov13 Oct26 (espiritu lucio)MORA GERARDO 125 10.00    
 
WRD-2   03/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL PRECIOUS Oct11 Sep23 Sep01     (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 8.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL CHOICE by CRAFTY SONG)
2  MY MAYBELENNE Sep30 Sep16 Aug31     (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by KLIMT out of RAGS O' GOLD by UNION RAGS)
3  STONE COLD LOVER Dec14         (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of FULL OF SASS by BORREGO)
4  MICHAEL'S DREAMS         (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of POUPON POLKA by YOUR EMINENCE)
5  GRACE THE KINGDOM         (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 12.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of WIND CHEATER by FORESTRY)
6  BOSS ON THE RUN Nov09 Oct21 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (gladd andy)BIRZER E 122 1.00 33% 2.10    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MADDIE P by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
WRD-3   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALITY CHECK Dec09 Nov21 Nov10 Oct18 Sep15 (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
2  RAINBOW SMILES Mar04 Dec09 Dec01 Nov21 Nov10 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CANDY'S A DANDY Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 Sep07 May10 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  SWEET ATTITUDE Mar04 Feb19 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.50    
5  SEXY BROWN Mar04 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  OKIE LOVE Mar04 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep23 (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Mar04 Feb17 Dec28 Dec14 Nov09 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
WRD-4   03/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMIE D Nov17         (cummins david)LANDEROS C 120 20.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of GOSPEL TARACAUGHTA by DESERT KEY)
2  O S U BUDKE Apr26 Apr04 Mar20     (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KICK ON out of DANE TO DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  GOSPEL BLOSSOM Mar04 Dec08 Aug18     (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
4  LET HER BUCK Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Dec14   (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ADDABUCK by BELONG TO ME)
5  K O AMERICAN PIE Nov02 Sep07       (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SUGAR PIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  PAULA M Dec14 Nov17 Nov01     (williams alan)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of RED CONSTITUTION by BERNARDINI)
7  AUNT LOTTIE Sep22 Jun29 Jun08 May08 Dec08 (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SEBASTIAN COUNTY out of ZAMBA CANUTA by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
 
WRD-5   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPGUN Nov24 Nov01 Oct20 Sep22 May16 (lee mark)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
2  DOCTOR TINK May15 May02 Apr12 Apr05 Mar13 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 Oct14 Sep22 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 125 2.50 60% 0.70    
4  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Dec07 Nov21 Nov04 Sep23 Sep06 (davidson )TRIANA JR 125 12.00    
5  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 (mcdaniel brianna)QUINONEZ B 125 12.00    
6  TAP N PLAY Dec13 Nov20 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 8.00    
7  DANCING DEVIL Nov09 Oct13 Sep08 May02 Apr04 (hale james )WETHEY JR 125 6.00 ★    
8  MISSIN HOLLYWOOD Nov24 Nov01 Oct13 Sep08 May03 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
WRD-6   03/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER QUICK Mar05 Feb17 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00 ★    
2  MAJESTIC LIAISON Nov21 Oct19 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 122 6.00    
3  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Dec07 Jul17 Mar20 Dec13 Nov30 (williams f)KIMES C 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  WRANGLERED Sep13 Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 May15 (buehrer w)BIRZER E 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  MEGA BOND Mar05 Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
6  WHIP Dec02 Nov01 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 ★    
7  EL CHIHUAS Apr11 Mar06 Aug19     (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 122 20.00    
8  JOLLY JUMPER Jul19 Jun28 May24 May03 Apr12 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
9  EURO TRACKING Feb11 Jan26 Nov30 Nov14 Nov01 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
 
WRD-7   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Blue Ribbon Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Jul29 Jul16 (sims matthew )CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
2  RED ROSE CAFE Feb24 Jan27 Dec08 Nov17   (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FREE BIRD FLY by BIANCONI)
3  RAINBOW ANGEL Mar04 Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 Oct05 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of STREET ANGEL by PICCOLINO)
4  READY Mar04 Feb19 Dec14 Dec02 Oct05 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
5  KISS AND TELL Oct20 Sep23       (williams alan)BIRZER E 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of NO KISSES FOR POPS by AIR COMMANDER)
6  XYNGIN SPITFIRE Dec14 Nov01       (caster boyd)KIMES C 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of READY GET SET GO by READY'S IMAGE)
7  LADY ZEPHYR Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 Sep01 Jul04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of KATABATIC by ARCHARCHARCH)
8  OKIE TROUBLE Mar04 Dec14 Oct20 Sep24 Aug18 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
  (by CHITOZ out of REATA OKIE by CAVVY)
 
WRD-8   03/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD TOBY Mar04 Jul13 Jun14 May30 May15 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 125 12.00    
2  LORD CREW Nov13 Oct07 Sep14 Aug26   (davis )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 20.00    
3  MR SEEKER Feb23 Feb04 Nov13 Oct21   (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 120 20.00    
4  COME BET Oct11 Sep22       (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
SCR  ALWAYS A KING Mar08 Feb18       (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
6  SLEW'S LIAISON Nov08 Oct26 Oct06     (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 6.00 ★    
7  CHEYENNE WIND Dec14         (oyster h)COLLIER T 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  SUIT OF WANDS Mar04 Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Dec30 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
9  DANTHECONCRETEMAN Dec15 Nov20 Oct21 Sep23   (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  C J'S LEGACY Dec16 Nov25 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 ★    
11  MAJESTIC FLASH Nov20 Oct04 Sep14 Jul12 Jun14 (caster boyd)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.