Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/6/2)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SUN-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6)-(5/8/2)-(4/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-8   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   02/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMMY'S UP Oct14 Jun17 May29 Apr30 Mar12 (hudson jeff)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 3.50    
2  IFFY ASSET CLASS Feb01 Jan19 Apr27 Apr02 Feb10 (orona martin)MEDELLIN A 123 1.80 38% 1.70    
3  KAMMYS KASH Jan12 Nov27       (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 5.00 6% 16.40    
4  SUMMER PUDDING Sep14 May13 Apr30 Jan15 Dec06 (gonzalez jose)MARQUEZ LARRY 118 6.00    
5  SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST Jan19 Oct18 Apr04 Oct11   (acosta gabri)MEDINA ANTHONY 118 15.00    
6  BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Oct14 May21 Feb19 Feb07 Jan10 (marquez l)CARRENO J 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
SUN-2   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER DADDY Jan25 Nov21 Oct15 Sep17 Jul08 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 4.50    
2  BIG LEAGUE BENNY Jan25 Dec11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep24 (trujillo jeffrey)TOHILL S 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  WILLTOBELUCKY Feb02 Jan18 Dec18 Nov28 Oct25 (marquez l)ROSENDO J 123 5.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  JOHNNY Jan25 Nov06 Oct18 May13 May01 (acosta gabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
5  LET THERE BE PEACE Feb01 Jan11 Dec05 Oct13 Sep30 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50    
6  MAGIC MOSCO Feb01 Jan18 Dec18 Nov21 Oct29 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
SUN-3   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY ECHO Jan26 Jan11 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
2  VODKA TWIST Jan26 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 (muniz j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00 12% 7.30    
3  LOTTA GUSTO Jan19 Nov21 Oct20 Sep30 Sep03 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
4  BULLAWAY Jan18 Nov13 Oct22 Oct06 Sep09 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  GORDY'S RULES Jan26 Jan18 Nov21 Oct27 Oct04 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 4.50    
6  GOGO OXBOW Jan26 Dec18 Jun19 Apr29 Apr16 (rust terri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 13% 6.50    
 
SUN-4   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Nov20 Aug06 Jul21 Jun09   (barton )FUENTES T 121 8.00    
2  QUEEN HADASSAH Jan05 Dec19 Oct08 Sep08   (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  HONKY TONK HONEY Jan18 Dec19       (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 4.50    
4  CHIPZ Nov06 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 2.50    
5  STORM IN THE VALLE Nov27 Nov06 Sep08 Aug06 Jul21 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  WILDCAT REESE Jan18 Dec05 Nov13     (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
SUN-5   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE MONEY Feb01         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SWEET IRISH EASTER by IRISH OPEN)
2  TAZ MARKING Feb01 Nov13 Sep04     (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MARKING out of SCAMMONY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  COMFORT J BYRD Dec20 Nov20 Nov13 Sep04 Aug19 (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
  (by COMFORT out of MOCKINGJAY by BROKEN VOW)
4  ETHAN Nov07 Oct11 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 10.00    
  (by SONG OF NAVARONE out of INDYELLEN by CONGRATS)
5  LET EM RIP Jan05 Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Sep14 (martinez e)CARRENO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of BELLA ANATOLA by ESKENDEREYA)
6  HARDY BOY Jan05 Dec11 Aug06 Dec01 Nov01 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 2.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of ZASHA by DESERT GOD)
7  RAPPING RUMOR Feb01 Jan11 Nov07     (barrios bern)VILLANUEVA C 124 4.00 6% 16.20    
  (by RAPPER S S out of SWEET RUMOR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
SUN-6   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJORWAYHOME Jan25 Jan12 Dec12 Nov21 Oct20 (munoz guadalupe )TOHILL S 123 5.00    
2  STYLE BENDER Feb01 Jan12 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  LIL LATIGO Feb02 Jan25 Dec19 Nov20 Oct27 (lavanway day)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 8.00    
4  WHERES BRAYDEN Feb01 Jan05 May20 Mar07 Mar27 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  STORMIN FAST Feb01 Oct13 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 (rojero luis)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLLYWOOD TIZ Dec05 Nov07 Sep03 Aug04   (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 123 15.00    
SCR  DIABOLICAL FIRE Jan05 Dec11 Nov20 Sep10 Jul16 (fincher w)CARRENO J 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
SUN-7   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KELL'S KISS Jan25 Jan05 Dec18 Dec05 Nov21 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 8.00    
2  TIZ FOR REAL Dec12 Oct18 Sep10 Aug26 Jul28 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 4.00    
3  ROCKIN MARIE Jan11 Dec18 Dec11 Nov14 Oct11 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  SIERRA SUMMER Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Oct07 Sep11 (armstrong sherr)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
5  FOR FUN Feb01 Jan19 Jan11 Dec19 Nov01 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  GRAN MANNA Jan11 Dec15 Nov11 Aug25 Jul28 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
7  WILLSHERWONTSHE Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 Oct14 Sep27 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
8  LA DIAMANT Jan25 Jan12 Dec11 Nov13 Oct13 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
 
SUN-8   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOGETEMGRACIE Nov21         (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of TIA TIA by PINE BLUFF)
2  MOON PIE MONEY         (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MOON RISING by ATTILA'S STORM)
3  MI PRINCESA Jan12 Nov27 Nov07 Oct21 Sep09 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 124 6.00    
  (by G G FLAG out of HOT FOR YOU by LARRUPIN')
4  PEPPERS RAMPAGE Jan03         (villalobos )ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of ROHANA by FUSAICHI ZENON)
5  ART CURATOR Jan12 Nov27 Nov07 Apr22 Apr02 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FAVORITE FLAG by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
6  SWEET BUT FIERCE Dec19 Dec05 Jun09     (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LITTLE MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
7  KAYE Jan12 Aug05 Jul14     (marr h)TOHILL S 124 1.80 ★    
  (by PROCEED out of DAWN IS AFFIRMED by SHOOTER)
8  MUSICAL MONEY         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 6% 15.10    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SONGCRAFT by MR. GROUSH)
 
SUN-9   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME COMPANY Jan26 Dec18       (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
2  HENNESSY LOOKER RF Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Oct18 Sep20 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  NOGAL CANYON Jan26 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Nov07 (munoz guadalupe)ROSENDO J 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  MAXIMUM BULL Jan19 Dec12 Oct08 Sep03 May21 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  ATTILAS TORNADO Jan11 Nov21 Oct28 Oct18 Sep17 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00    
6  FORWARD OBSERVER Jan11 Dec05 Oct13 Sep20 Sep03 (gonzalez sa)ORTEGA O 123 20.00    
7  SPEED BUMP BOB Jan26 Jan11 Dec12 Nov07 Sep24 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
8  DEACON BEACON Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Aug21 (young d)FUENTES T 123 8.00    
9  MIST N SEVEN Feb01 Jan11 Dec18 Nov27 Nov07 (martinez a)TORRES J 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.