Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (10/4/9/1/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/1/13)-(10/4/9/1/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/1/13)-(10/4/9/1/13)-(10/4/9/1/13) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (10/4/9/1/13)-(4/2/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (10/4/9/1/13)-(4/2/5)-(6/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/1/5)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/4)-(2/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/6/3)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/1)-(7/1/4/11/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(7/1/4/11/10) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(7/1/4/11/10)-(4/8/2/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/1/4/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/11/10)-(7/1/4/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/11/10)-(7/1/4/11/10)-(7/1/4/11/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/1/4/11/10)-(4/8/2/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/11/10)-(4/8/2/5)-(11/12/2/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/2/5)-(11/12/2/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/12/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/2/8/10)-(11/12/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/2/8/10)-(11/12/2/8/10)-(11/12/2/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   12/30/2023 4290ft TURF RC13 GOOD Joe Hernandez Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SCORE Nov04 Oct08 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 (casse mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 5.00 6% 14.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MISS MATZO by ROYAL ACADEMY)
BALNIKHOV (IRE) Nov25 Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 May29 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 123 4.00    
  (by ADAAY out of LEEWARD by FIRST DEFENCE)
DANIEL'S MAGIC Dec02 Oct29 Oct09 Sep10 Aug17 (harty eoin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 12.00    
  (by MAGICIAN out of LOVE AND WAR by WAR CHANT)
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM May27 Mar11 Dec26 Nov20 Oct01 (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
PEACEFUL WATERS Nov25 Jul29 Apr16 Oct14 Aug20 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
I'M A GAMBLER (IRE) Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 Jul23 Dec26 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of WE ARE NINETY by THEWAYYOUARE)
SCR  LOVESICK BLUES Nov23 Oct09 Sep22 Aug19 Jun24 (miyadi steven)BAZE C 121 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
JOHNNY PODRES Dec02 Oct15 Sep16 Jul29 Jun10 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 121 30.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALIBU HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
TAHOE SUNRISE Nov24 Sep03 Jul21 Jun04 May06 (baffert bob)ESPINOZA V 119 4.00 7% 14.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KOODORI DAWN by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  TURN ON THE JETS (IRE) Dec02 Oct20 Sep02 Aug04 Jun16 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MEHMAS out of CHICLET by DANDY MAN (IRE))
11  OLYMPIC RUNNER Oct07 Sep09 Aug05 Apr29 Mar04 (casse mark)MALDONADO E 121 8.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of NADADORA by CARSON CITY)
12  FRONT RUN THE FED Nov25 Sep09 Jul22 Jun10 Apr22 (car)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
13  DANCING BUCK Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 Nov25 Oct01 (dutrow richard )MALDONADO E 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
 
SA-2   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 35 ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS RYDER Dec08 Nov12 Oct06 Sep15 Aug06 (oviedo phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 8.00    
KING ZOG Dec15 Dec08 Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
VENOM Dec09 Nov24 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
GRAND TIGER Nov17 Oct29 Sep29 Aug11 May28 (koriner brian)BAZE C 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
MONGOLIAN GOLD         (ganbat eneb)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
THE GIANTS CANDY Dec03 Jun18 Mar27 May07 Mar20 (mcanally ron)VERENZUELA L 124 2.50    
 
SA-3   12/30/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 GOOD Robert Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKOTA SPIRIT Nov26 Sep30 Aug26 Apr23 Jun25 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of MILAM by STREET SENSE)
REBEL GIRL Nov12 Jul29 May29 Mar04 Feb04 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHE'S A BEAUTY by STORM CAT)
ANGEL NADESHIKO Sep23 Aug05 Jun18 May20 Feb04 (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of CIANCHETTA by ARCH)
LUMINIFEROUS Nov26 Oct28 Sep30 Sep03 Aug12 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
OAKHURST Nov23 Oct09 Sep09 Jul23 Feb04 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
YERWANTHERE (IRE) Nov11 Oct28 Aug26     (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MARKAZ out of FAST JAZZ by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
 
SA-4   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SETTECENTO Nov24 Oct21 Jul21 Jun11 May21 (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 5.00    
BIG BUZZ Nov24 Oct21 Aug19 Jul21 Jun03 (ellis ronald)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 123 2.00    
GOOD JUJU Nov24 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 Jul21 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
DIRECT LINE Aug12 Dec03 Jul24 May28 Apr03 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Dec15 Nov12 Oct21 Sep10 Jul01 (knapp steve)BAZE C 123 4.00    
 
SA-5   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK KATE Dec01         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JEN'S TRIBE by TRIBAL RULE)
LAMPORGHINI Nov23 Oct29       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 12% 7.20    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STORM LAMP by STORM BOOT)
BE A GOLDFISH Oct29         (kruljac ian)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASTILLA by BOLD REASON)
ALMOST GOT LUCKY Dec10 Nov05       (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 120 8.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of THIRD TIME LUCKY by GILDED TIME)
O K ROSE Nov23 Oct20 Aug25     (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 13% 7.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of SHEEZA MILKY WAY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
SNEAKER         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LIME BEACH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SIGNORA VITTORIA Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 Sep30 Sep10 ( )TBA null      
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SA-6   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL MAR JERRY Nov05 Oct09 Aug13 Jul21 Jun04 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
BENDETTIJOE Nov10 Oct06 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 125 2.00    
HONDO CROUCH Nov10 Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 Jan08 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
DUAL THREAT Nov17 Oct15 Aug24 Jul22 Sep10 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 8.00    
QUINCY MARKET Dec03 Jan22 Dec26     (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 117 4.50    
 
SA-7   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. CHIVAS Dec08 Sep04 Aug10 Jul29 Jun11 (knapp steve)BAZE C 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
AUDIBLE SILENCE         (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 121 15.00    
LETSHAVEONEMORE         (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 8.00    
SMILING JOJO Dec16 Nov24 Oct22     (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Oct20 Sep08       (alvarado rub)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 30.00    
NAUKANAUKA Dec01         (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 121 20.00    
MIDNIGHT LOVE Dec09 Oct28 May29 May12   (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
SHARP LORENZO Dec16 Nov23       (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00    
SCR  LETTHELIQUORTALK Dec03         (mullins jef)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 4.00    
10  POLIS         (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SUNSET STORM Dec01         (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUNNING TIGER Dec08         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 35 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXVILLE Nov19 Oct22 Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 15.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
ANTIBES Nov19 Oct21 Sep29     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GET THE GOLD Aug31 Jul23 Jun24 May12 Apr28 (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.50    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of HONDO'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DARK MARCUS Dec08 Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 Jul28 (miller pete)HERRERA A 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MARALAGO by THUNDER GULCH)
GHOSTLY ACT Nov19 Oct01 Sep03 Aug11 Jun02 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 8% 10.90    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
BERT'S PROSPECT Nov05         (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of BERT'S MELODY by BERTRANDO)
TOPPERS WAGER Nov19 Oct22 Sep29 Aug11 Feb18 (polanco mar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
BE PUNCTUAL May28 Apr21 Mar25 Mar05   (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of EDWINA E by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-9   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCH DADDY Dec16 Dec09 Apr09 Mar12 Feb17 (deleon rafael)TORREALBA JG 119 30.00    
ELEVADO Nov26 Oct21 Oct07 Sep03 Mar12 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
MUHAMMAD ALI (PER) Aug11 Jul22 Jun25 Aug05 Jun19 (vallejo genar)VALDIVIA JR 124 20.00    
HOT MEMORIES Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 Jun25 Jul10 (rhei)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
CURLY ESA Oct07 Sep24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun25 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00    
SCR  BUCK OWENS Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Oct27 Sep24 (valenzuel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
SCR  CROSSKIRK Dec08 Sep11 Jul01     (nunez jesus)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 30.00    
FEROCIOUSLY Nov23 Nov03 Oct09 Apr07 May19 (moger )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
BIG SPLASH Jun24 Jun10 May14 Apr28 Apr02 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
10  TENTH STREET DON Nov26 Jun03 May20 Apr29 Mar26 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 5% 17.50    
11  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Dec08 Jan20 Dec16 Oct16 Sep18 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
12  LANSDOWNE (GB) Dec27 Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 Nov18 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.