Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(6/3)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(4/5/1)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(10/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-5   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(10/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(10/3/7)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (10/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/7)-(10/3/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/3/7)-(10/3/7/9)-(10/3/7/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (10/3/7)-(4/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (10/3/7)-(4/1/6)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/6)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
LRC-9   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAY FOR ME RAY Aug17 Aug13 Jul22 Jun19 May08 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  BRING HIM HOME Dec03 Oct08 Sep09 Jul29 Jun18 (kruljac eric)BAZE C 120 2.50 ★    
3  SURE PROSPECT Nov26 Oct01 Aug05 Sep04   (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NUMBER ONE SON Dec08 Sep15       (rivera sally)HARVEY B 120 30.00    
5  HILL SIXTEEN Dec08 Oct21       (miller peter)MALDONADO E 124 3.50    
6  IVORY SKY Dec09 Jan21 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 (gomez ruben)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
7  TOKAMAK Dec09 Oct27 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
8  I GOT A GUY Dec09 Sep23 Sep04     (morfin serg)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
 
LRC-2   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOUGIE LIKE Nov23         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
2  BLUE CLOUD Dec10         (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00    
3  JUST IS Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  RYDER'S CANDY Oct15 Sep22 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 4.00 ★    
5  PLUM CREEK Dec10 Nov25       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
6  ROSIE ANN RULES Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug13 (capestro pa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
 
LRC-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS SNOW         (cassidy james)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  SCREAMING VIRGINIA Dec03 Oct28 Oct15 Sep15 Sep04 (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 120 1.60    
3  EASTER COMING BACK Dec01 Sep10       (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
4  LADY CRUISER         (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  BELLE EPOQUE         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  MISTY RAIN         (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
 
LRC-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL CAN KNIGHT Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Feb11 Dec18 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  RED CROSS KNIGHT Dec09 Nov12 Sep15 Jan27 Dec10 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 120 2.00    
3  ESTABLISHED Nov26 Oct06 Sep23 Aug19 Jul30 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  GROWTH ENGINE Nov12 Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 (france reid)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  SIR LAUGHALOT Oct08 Oct01 Sep11 Aug26 Aug19 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 20.00    
6  EL DIABLO ROJO Dec09 Oct14 May28 Mar19 Jan21 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00    
7  PERFECT D Sep23 Sep15 Jul04 Dec09 Sep22 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 124 5.00    
 
LRC-5   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO ALPHA SIX Nov25 Oct28 Jun16 May26 Apr11 (william)CAMACHO JESUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONCH DADDY Dec09 Apr09 Mar12 Feb17 Jan22 (deleon )LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 8.00    
3  COMMANDER KHAI Oct09 Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (aquino m)HARVEY B 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  CATBERNAY Jul01 Apr01 Jan21 Dec18 Oct28 (nara)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
5  STAFFORD TO KUPP Dec10 Oct09 Aug13 Jul01 Oct16 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  THUNDERHEART Jun11 May26 Apr21 Mar19 Aug11 (craigmyle keit)GARCIA ERICK 122 3.50    
7  TRIBAL IMPACT Sep17 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (garcia jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
8  HIGH PRESS Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 Jun03 Apr29 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
LRC-6   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR COAST Nov18 Nov10       (papaprodromou )KIRRANE SEAN 122 15.00    
SCR  EDDIE'S WAVE Nov10         (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
3  TWILIGHT MOON         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  SMILING JOJO Nov24 Oct22       (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
5  WINNING BIG Dec01 Nov05       (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
SCR  TIGER BY THE TAIL         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 115 12.00 13% 6.60    
7  PICAHOUSE         (freeman edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 15.00 13% 6.50    
8  GRAZEN BOY Dec01 Nov05 Oct20     (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
9  UNCLE JUJU Nov10 Oct28 Sep08     (aguirre paul)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 2.50 ★    
10  LAST CALL PAUL Dec03 Oct20 Sep29 Sep04 Aug13 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  COACH RANDY B Oct29 Oct15       (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
 
LRC-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCH OF TIME         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNTOUCHED TALENT by STORM CAT)
2  BATTLE CRUISER         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of THATCHER by DIESIS (GB))
3  SHARP LORENZO Nov23         (campuzano lor)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of FUNTASIA by ACCLAMATION)
4  BENEFICIAL Sep02         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 44% 1.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MARIETTA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
5  SCATIFY         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BROADWAY RUN by PROSPECTIVE)
6  HONEST COOP         (headley gus)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LRC-8   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIFIED A. P. Dec01 Aug04 Jul01 Jun09   (free)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 3.00 ★    
2  BOSSY BRUIN GAL Dec03 Nov18 Nov05 Sep09 Aug27 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 117 4.00    
3  BELLA VIENNA Nov10 Oct22 Sep10 Jul22   (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 122 2.00    
4  MISS PIXY STIX Nov24 Oct22 Sep22 Aug17 Jul27 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 4.50    
5  WOK DON'T RUN Nov25 Nov05 Sep22 Jul29   (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  KATALEYA         (hurtado clemente)HARVEY B 122 20.00 14% 6.20    
 
LRC-9   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Los Alamitos Futurity Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONLIT SONATA Nov25         (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DISTORTED CHAMP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  WYNSTOCK Oct15 Sep30 Aug25     (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TIMBERLEA by FLATTER)
3  STRONGHOLD Nov19 Oct01 Aug27     (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECTATOR by JIMMY CREED)
4  ACE OF CLUBS Nov03 Oct08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RUSTIC CHIC by ORB)
5  COACH PRIME Nov10 Oct07       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ACT NOW by STREET SENSE)
6  WINE ME UP Nov03 Oct07 Sep02     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEANAALLEN'SKITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.